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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 19, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bulls60%101100
29Timberwolves40%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
38.6
31.8
19
51%
8
5
1
1
0
3
1
7
3-4
75%
8-16
8-16
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
38.1
35.7
20
73%
3
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
46%
2-4
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
36.2
34.1
18
39%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
8-14
57%
5-16
7-13
31%
50%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.9
35.6
29.5
8
35%
10
4
0
1
0
1
3
7
2-3
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-3
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
26.7
27.0
14
84%
9
0
1
1
1
1
3
6
2-3
67%
6-7
4-8
86%
50%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
30.5
5.3
10
38%
9
1
0
0
0
2
6
3
0-0
-
5-13
1-2
38%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
18.9
18.8
8
45%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
9.5
15.3
3
44%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
41%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
5.9
7.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
12.6
0
2-4
47%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
5.3
0
0-1
42%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.1
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.3
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.2
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.1
32.5
26.4
10
38%
5
1
1
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-13
6-12
38%
51%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.0
30.5
22.9
14
50%
7
6
0
1
0
3
1
6
1-2
50%
5-11
3-7
45%
44%
1-2
50%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.5
30.1
29.0
10
39%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.0
30.1
25.7
19
47%
5
3
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-5
20%
6-13
3-7
46%
45%
2-5
40%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.4
27.7
16.8
9
78%
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
4
3-4
75%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 30.1
23.4
21.4
4
40%
7
3
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.5
20.9
26.2
9
39%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
1-7
4-9
14%
49%
2-4
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.2
17.9
18.1
9
92%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
17.5
23.5
7
60%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.3
9.3
8.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-1
100%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 24.2
11.3
0
1-3
47%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.0
5.1
0
1-2
45%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.4
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.