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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 19, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors60%102106
28Nets40%9989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.3
32.5
34.9
13
60%
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
3-4
75%
5-8
5-11
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.9
28.4
25.2
14
55%
6
6
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-4
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
28.1
19.4
18
80%
5
10
0
1
0
4
0
5
4-5
80%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.7
25.6
1.8
16
73%
7
4
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
8-11
0-1
73%
52%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.5
23.1
20.8
14
73%
6
0
2
1
0
0
2
4
2-6
33%
6-7
3-7
86%
50%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
26.3
28.1
16
90%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
55%
2-3
67%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
26.3
24.4
2
25%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.8
24.3
15.8
10
71%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
60%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.8
11.4
5.9
2
20%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
1-4
1-1
25%
46%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
9.0
6.6
1
27%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.6
5.0
24.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.3
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.9
39.6
33.3
22
80%
8
1
0
1
1
3
2
6
4-4
100%
9-12
6-12
75%
54%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
39.0
31.5
17
63%
3
1
2
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
49%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
38.3
32.7
19
65%
2
11
4
1
0
1
0
2
6-8
75%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.3
31.6
27.6
5
18%
7
1
0
1
3
1
2
5
1-2
50%
2-13
4-9
15%
44%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.5
28.9
27.9
5
25%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
1-8
13%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
21.4
15.4
8
58%
4
3
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
2-2
100%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.8
18.9
17.8
8
44%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-3
17%
47%
2-3
67%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
8.1
20.6
3
54%
1
0
0
1
2
3
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
4-8
0%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.2
8.1
8.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
6.0
15.0
2
35%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 31.0
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.4
3.7
0
0-1
42%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.7
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.