FinalWin Prob.pScore
2238%99
101
1662%103
107
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
100.0101103.0
NOH
105.910199.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0IND101
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDPacers Rebound101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0INDGranger Driving Layup (29 PTS)101
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 299
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)99
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDMISS Watson Layup99
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)99
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)99
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)99
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 0:26.0NOHMISS Thornton 10' Jump Shot99
3.3%
103
96.7%
Q4 - 0:46.0INDHibbert 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)99
3.4%
103
96.6%
Q4 - 0:56.0NOHWest 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)97
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 1:18INDGranger Driving Reverse Layup (27 PTS)97
6.3%
101
93.7%
Q4 - 1:24INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
4.2%
101
95.8%
Q4 - 1:25NOHMISS West 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot95
3.6%
101
96.4%
Q4 - 1:47INDDunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)95
3.3%
101
96.7%
Q4 - 1:53NOHCollison 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)92
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 2:20INDDunleavy Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)92
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 2:28INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 2:29NOHMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 2:48INDDunleavy 28' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)90
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 3:02NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)87
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 3:02NOHHORNETS Rebound87
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 3:02NOHMISS West Layup87
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 3:26NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 3:27INDMISS Granger 13' Jump Shot87
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 3:47NOHCollison Layup (15 PTS)87
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 3:51INDCollison STEAL (3 STL)87
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 4:17NOHOkafor 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Collison 12 AST)87
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 4:41NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 4:42INDMISS Ford Layup87
3.4%
95
96.6%
Q4 - 4:47INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q4 - 4:48INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 5:07NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Posey 4 AST)87
6.3%
95
93.7%
Q4 - 5:26INDGranger 11' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS)87
11.4%
92
88.6%
Q4 - 5:47NOHCollison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (West 7 AST)85
8.4%
92
91.6%
Q4 - 6:10INDDunleavy 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)85
17.1%
89
82.9%
Q4 - 6:21NOHOkafor Driving Layup (11 PTS)83
13.4%
89
86.6%
Q4 - 6:39NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
17.0%
87
83.0%
Q4 - 6:40INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot83
18.4%
87
81.6%
Q4 - 6:50NOHCollison Traveling Turnover (P8.T19)83
22.0%
87
78.0%
Q4 - 7:02NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)83
18.3%
87
81.7%
Q4 - 7:03NOHMISS Collison 12' Jump Shot83
21.7%
87
78.3%
Q4 - 7:18INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)83
18.2%
87
81.8%
Q4 - 7:18INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)82
17.7%
87
82.3%
Q4 - 7:21NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T18)81
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q4 - 7:36INDHibbert Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)81
11.3%
87
88.7%
Q4 - 7:48INDHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
9.0%
87
91.0%
Q4 - 7:49NOHMISS Okafor Layup79
8.2%
87
91.8%
Q4 - 8:21INDFord 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)79
8.1%
87
91.9%
Q4 - 8:48NOHWest 16' Step Back Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Collison 11 AST)76
4.9%
87
95.1%
Q4 - 8:59INDFord Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)76
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q4 - 9:00INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
8.0%
85
92.0%
Q4 - 9:01NOHMISS Collison Layup76
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q4 - 9:08NOHHORNETS Rebound76
7.5%
85
92.5%
Q4 - 9:10NOHMISS West Tip Shot76
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q4 - 9:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
7.5%
85
92.5%
Q4 - 9:11NOHMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot76
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q4 - 9:30INDDunleavy Running Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)76
7.4%
85
92.6%
Q4 - 9:46NOHWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T17)74
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q4 - 9:56INDWest STEAL (1 STL)74
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q4 - 9:58INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q4 - 9:59NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 10:09NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q4 - 10:10INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q4 - 10:20NOHCollison 13' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q4 - 10:34INDHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)74
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q4 - 10:41NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)71
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q4 - 10:50NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 10:52NOHMISS Thornton 12' Jump Shot71
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q4 - 11:05NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q4 - 11:07INDCollison BLOCK (1 BLK)71
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q4 - 11:16NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)71
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q4 - 11:39NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)71
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q4 - 11:40INDMISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot71
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH71
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q3 - 0:14.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)71
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 271
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHHORNETS Rebound71
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0INDMISS Head 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0NOHMISS Thornton Layup71
7.6%
82
92.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0NOHHORNETS Rebound71
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q3 - 1:03INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q3 - 1:04NOHMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q3 - 1:28INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Head 2 AST)71
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q3 - 1:49NOHPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 6 AST)68
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q3 - 2:02NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q3 - 2:03INDMISS Watson 21' Jump Shot68
8.1%
79
91.9%
Q3 - 2:26NOHOkafor Putback Dunk (9 PTS)68
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q3 - 2:26NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)68
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q3 - 2:27NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup68
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q3 - 2:55INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Murphy 4 AST)68
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q3 - 3:09INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 3:10NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 265
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q3 - 3:10NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 265
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 3:21NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)65
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q3 - 3:23INDMISS Granger 22' Jump Shot65
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q3 - 3:47NOHPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Collison 10 AST)65
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 3:53NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)65
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 3:54INDMISS Murphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 4:01INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
13.9%
74
86.1%
Q3 - 4:03NOHMISS Peterson 22' Jump Shot65
13.2%
74
86.8%
Q3 - 4:19INDGranger Dunk (18 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)65
11.6%
74
88.4%
Q3 - 4:24NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)63
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q3 - 4:44INDRush Driving Layup (9 PTS)63
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 5:03NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)61
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 5:03NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)61
7.9%
73
92.1%
Q3 - 5:03NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 5:04NOHMISS West Layup61
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q3 - 5:20INDWatson Layup (11 PTS)61
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 5:25INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 5:26NOHMISS Okafor Layup59
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 5:33NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q3 - 5:34INDMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot59
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 5:49NOHCollison Foul Turnover (P4.T13)59
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 5:52NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)59
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q3 - 5:53INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 5:59INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 6:00NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup59
7.3%
72
92.7%
Q3 - 6:17INDHibbert 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)59
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q3 - 6:32NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)57
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 6:47INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 6:47INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q3 - 7:02NOHStojakovic Tip Shot (13 PTS)55
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 7:02NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 7:03NOHMISS Collison Layup55
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 7:07NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)55
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 7:08INDMISS Murphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 7:31NOHWest Layup (20 PTS) (Collison 9 AST)55
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 7:51INDMurphy 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)55
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 8:10NOHStojakovic 14' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Collison 8 AST)53
6.8%
68
93.2%
Q3 - 8:26INDGranger 15' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST)53
7.8%
66
92.2%
Q3 - 8:36INDPacers Rebound51
6.8%
66
93.2%
Q3 - 8:36INDMISS Watson Layup51
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 8:44NOHWest 12' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS) (Collison 7 AST)51
6.8%
66
93.2%
Q3 - 8:52NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)51
7.8%
64
92.2%
Q3 - 8:54INDMISS Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 9:08NOHOkafor Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)51
9.3%
64
90.7%
Q3 - 9:22INDGranger Layup (12 PTS)51
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 9:24INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 9:26INDMISS Watson 16' Jump Shot49
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 9:42INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 9:43NOHMISS Okafor Tip Shot49
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q3 - 9:43NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 9:44NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup49
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q3 - 10:01INDRush Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)49
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 10:25NOHCollison 21' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 10:32NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 10:33INDMISS Hibbert 9' Hook Shot47
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q3 - 11:01INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 11:02NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 247
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 11:02NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 247
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 11:18INDGranger Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)47
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 11:34NOHPeterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)45
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 11:43INDWatson Layup (9 PTS)45
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 11:47NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)43
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH43
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound43
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Thornton 31' 3PT Jump Shot43
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0INDMISS Murphy 8' Jump Shot43
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0NOHCollison 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
5.0%
62
95.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDHead Driving Layup (8 PTS)43
5.8%
60
94.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0NOHWright Layup (5 PTS)41
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q2 - 1:09INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q2 - 1:09INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q2 - 1:16INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q2 - 1:17NOHMISS Wright Layup39
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q2 - 1:27INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q2 - 1:27INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)38
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q2 - 1:30INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 1:32INDMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot37
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 1:57NOHWright 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (3 PTS)37
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 2:07NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 2:08INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q2 - 2:21NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q2 - 2:21NOHMISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 237
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q2 - 2:29NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q2 - 2:31INDMISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot37
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q2 - 2:45INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q2 - 2:46NOHMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 237
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q2 - 2:46NOHWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q2 - 2:53NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)37
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q2 - 2:54INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot37
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q2 - 3:06NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)37
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q2 - 3:06NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)37
7.5%
53
92.5%
Q2 - 3:17INDGranger 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q2 - 3:24NOHThornton 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 5 AST)34
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 3:41INDWatson Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)34
7.2%
50
92.8%
Q2 - 4:00NOHThornton 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)32
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q2 - 4:06NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)32
8.5%
47
91.5%
Q2 - 4:07INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 4:10INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q2 - 4:11INDMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot32
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 4:23NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)32
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q2 - 4:23NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)32
9.7%
46
90.3%
Q2 - 4:46INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)32
10.6%
45
89.4%
Q2 - 4:55INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
8.5%
45
91.5%
Q2 - 4:56NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot29
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q2 - 5:15NOHHORNETS Rebound29
8.0%
45
92.0%
Q2 - 5:15INDMISS Jones Layup29
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q2 - 5:19INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 5:21NOHMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot29
8.6%
45
91.4%
Q2 - 5:32NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
8.0%
45
92.0%
Q2 - 5:33INDPosey BLOCK (2 BLK)29
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q2 - 5:44NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 5:44NOHThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 5:47INDCollison STEAL (2 STL)29
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 5:53NOHPosey Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)29
11.0%
43
89.0%
Q2 - 5:58NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
12.2%
41
87.8%
Q2 - 6:00INDMISS Dunleavy 4' Jump Shot29
12.6%
41
87.4%
Q2 - 6:07INDPacers Rebound29
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 6:07INDThornton BLOCK (1 BLK)29
13.0%
41
87.0%
Q2 - 6:19NOHThornton Foul Turnover (P1.T8)29
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 6:47INDWatson Layup (5 PTS)29
12.5%
41
87.5%
Q2 - 6:53NOHGray Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)27
11.5%
41
88.5%
Q2 - 6:56NOHGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
10.2%
41
89.8%
Q2 - 6:57NOHMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot27
11.1%
41
88.9%
Q2 - 7:14INDHead 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
10.6%
41
89.4%
Q2 - 7:21INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.6%
41
90.4%
Q2 - 7:22NOHMISS Thornton 15' Jump Shot25
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 7:45NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)25
8.6%
41
91.4%
Q2 - 7:46INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q2 - 7:57INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
9.6%
41
90.4%
Q2 - 7:59NOHMISS Collison 18' Jump Shot25
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 8:11NOHGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 8:12INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 225
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q2 - 8:12INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 8:29NOHStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)24
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 8:32NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 8:35INDPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)24
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 8:39NOHOkafor Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)24
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 8:47NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 8:48INDMISS Head 17' Jump Shot24
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 9:00NOHOkafor 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)24
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 9:21INDWright STEAL (1 STL)24
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 9:34NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
12.5%
38
87.5%
Q2 - 9:55INDHead 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)24
14.9%
35
85.1%
Q2 - 10:03INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.0%
35
86.0%
Q2 - 10:04NOHMISS Thornton Layup22
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 10:07NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 10:10NOHMISS Stojakovic 15' Jump Shot22
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 10:19NOHHORNETS Rebound22
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 10:19NOHMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 10:56INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Head 1 AST)22
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 11:15NOHThornton 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)19
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 11:18NOHHORNETS Rebound19
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q2 - 11:18NOHMISS Okafor Layup19
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 11:18NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)19
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q2 - 11:20NOHMISS Thornton Layup19
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 11:25NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q2 - 11:26INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot19
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q2 - 11:38NOHOkafor Layup (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)19
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 11:43NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q2 - 11:44NOHMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot19
15.2%
31
84.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND19
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
16.0%
30
84.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)19
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0NOHStojakovic Layup (6 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)16
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDCollison STEAL (1 STL)16
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0NOHThornton Layup (2 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)16
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 1:05INDHead Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)16
19.4%
25
80.6%
Q1 - 1:09INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q1 - 1:10NOHMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot14
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 1:24INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 1:32NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q1 - 1:33NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 1:34INDMISS Ford Layup14
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q1 - 1:41NOHStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 4 AST)14
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q1 - 2:01INDFord 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)14
19.7%
23
80.3%
Q1 - 2:10NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)12
18.0%
23
82.0%
Q1 - 2:14NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)12
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 2:15INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 2:30INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
22.5%
20
77.5%
Q1 - 2:31NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot12
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 2:47NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)12
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 2:48INDMISS Hibbert Layup12
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 3:06NOHCollison Layup (2 PTS)12
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 3:11NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 3:12INDMISS Murphy Layup12
24.9%
18
75.1%
Q1 - 3:23INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
26.2%
18
73.8%
Q1 - 3:24NOHMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 3:31INDPeterson STEAL (1 STL)12
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 3:38INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
26.2%
18
73.8%
Q1 - 3:39INDMISS Dunleavy Layup12
24.9%
18
75.1%
Q1 - 3:57NOHPeterson 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 3 AST)12
26.2%
18
73.8%
Q1 - 4:12NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
27.9%
16
72.1%
Q1 - 4:13INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 4:20NOHWest Layup (9 PTS)12
29.8%
16
70.2%
Q1 - 4:22NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 4:23NOHMISS Peterson 23' Jump Shot12
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 4:29NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 4:31INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup12
32.2%
14
67.8%
Q1 - 4:49NOHStojakovic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 2 AST)12
33.7%
14
66.3%
Q1 - 4:58INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)12
35.6%
12
64.4%
Q1 - 5:02NOHStojakovic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)9
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 5:34NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
29.8%
12
70.2%
Q1 - 5:37INDOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)9
30.4%
12
69.6%
Q1 - 5:47INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
31.8%
12
68.2%
Q1 - 5:48NOHMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 6:03INDWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
29.8%
12
70.2%
Q1 - 6:08NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
31.6%
12
68.4%
Q1 - 6:17NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
29.8%
12
70.2%
Q1 - 6:18INDMISS Granger Layup9
30.3%
12
69.7%
Q1 - 6:30NOHOkafor Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)9
31.7%
12
68.3%
Q1 - 6:39NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
33.4%
10
66.6%
Q1 - 6:40INDMISS Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
34.0%
10
66.0%
Q1 - 7:04NOHWest 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)9
35.3%
10
64.7%
Q1 - 7:26INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
37.1%
8
62.9%
Q1 - 7:26INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)8
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 7:29INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 7:30NOHMISS Collison 18' Jump Shot7
34.7%
8
65.3%
Q1 - 7:47INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 7:47NOHHORNETS Rebound7
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 7:47INDMISS Granger Tip Shot7
33.9%
8
66.1%
Q1 - 7:48INDMISS Watson 8' Jump Shot7
33.9%
8
66.1%
Q1 - 7:56NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)7
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 7:56NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 27
35.5%
7
64.5%
Q1 - 7:57NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
35.2%
7
64.8%
Q1 - 7:58NOHMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
36.6%
7
63.4%
Q1 - 8:18NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 8:19INDMISS Watson Free Throw 2 of 27
35.4%
7
64.6%
Q1 - 8:19INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
36.6%
7
63.4%
Q1 - 8:29NOHStojakovic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 8:41NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
33.3%
7
66.7%
Q1 - 8:42INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 8:52INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 8:54NOHMISS West Layup6
34.5%
7
65.5%
Q1 - 9:07INDMurphy Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)6
33.5%
7
66.5%
Q1 - 9:17INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
35.2%
7
64.8%
Q1 - 9:18NOHMISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot6
34.7%
7
65.3%
Q1 - 9:25NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
33.5%
7
66.5%
Q1 - 9:26INDMISS Granger 7' Jump Shot6
34.0%
7
66.0%
Q1 - 9:43NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
35.2%
7
64.8%
Q1 - 9:43NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 10:00INDHibbert 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
37.2%
5
62.8%
Q1 - 10:12INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.3%
5
64.7%
Q1 - 10:13NOHMISS Okafor 10' Hook Shot4
34.7%
5
65.3%
Q1 - 10:32INDHibbert 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)4
33.4%
5
66.6%
Q1 - 10:52NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)2
31.9%
5
68.1%
Q1 - 11:08INDRush 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)2
33.5%
3
66.5%
Q1 - 11:21NOHPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)0
31.9%
3
68.1%
Q1 - 11:30NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 11:33NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:47NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 11:48INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Hibbert: Tip to Watson0
36.5%
0
63.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.02 51.0%
NOH
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
34
50%
NOH
15
32
47%
Midrange
IND
12
29
41%
NOH
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
NOH
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
IND
13
15
87%
NOH
22
32
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2958%14.5 / 25
M. Dunleavy1575%7.5 / 10
R. Hibbert1372%6.5 / 9
E. Watson1139%5.5 / 14
L. Head1161%5.5 / 9
B. Rush975%4.5 / 6
T. Murphy519%2.5 / 13
T. Ford542%2.5 / 6
D. Jones330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2966%14.5 / 22
D. Collison1860%9.0 / 15
P. Stojakovic1761%8.5 / 14
E. Okafor1350%6.5 / 13
M. Thornton1240%6.0 / 15
M. Peterson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Wright542%2.5 / 6
J. Posey220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
91
+8
-10
99
NOH
82
+20
-19
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.02 51.0%
NOH
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
107.3
IND 100.0
NOH 105.9 +5.9
Pace
97.0
92.7
IND 103.0 +3.9
NOH 99.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.5
IND 14.0 +0.6
NOH 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.6%
IND 48.9%
NOH 50.6% +1.7%
TO %
14.7%
13.7%
IND 9.4% +7.5%
NOH 16.9%
ORB %
21.6%
24.8%
IND 12.8%
NOH 34.1% +21.3%
FTrt
29.6
24.3
IND 16.7
NOH 38.1 +21.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
57.5%
IND 61.5%
NOH 69.2% +7.7%
STL %
7.4%
8.2%
IND 7.9% +2.0%
NOH 5.9%
BLK %
8.0%
5.8%
IND 12.1% +4.2%
NOH 7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.9%
IND 51.0%
NOH 52.5% +1.5%
Rim FG%
57.4%
58.6%
IND 50.0% +3.1%
NOH 46.9%
Mid FG%
39.8%
42.6%
IND 41.4%
NOH 50.0% +8.6%
3P %
34.8%
36.3%
IND 37.0%
NOH 38.9% +1.9%
FT %
77.5%
77.8%
IND 86.7% +17.9%
NOH 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
33.3%
IND 37.8%
NOH 38.1% +0.3%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
43.8%
IND 32.2% +8.3%
NOH 40.5%
3P Att. %
27.8%
23.0%
IND 30.0% +8.6%
NOH 21.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDNOH
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points101107
Rebounds3556
Assists2427
Steals86
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)41 (4)
Field Goals39-9039-84
At-the-Rim FG17-3415-32
Midrange FG12-2917-34
2-Point FG29-6332-66
3-Point FG10-277-18
Free Throws13-1522-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 27
38.5
29
58%
6
3
2
2
0
4
2
4
6-6
100%
7-14
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'1" 199 · 31
33.7
11
39%
2
4
1
0
2
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 270 · 23
31.1
13
72%
6
2
0
4
0
4
1
5
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 245 · 30
29.1
5
19%
7
4
0
0
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-7
14%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
22.2
9
75%
5
0
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29
22.1
15
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
21.6
11
61%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29
19.3
3
30%
4
2
2
0
0
4
1
3
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 27
18.5
5
42%
2
6
1
0
4
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
· 6'10" 240 · 23
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
G · 6'2" 195 · 23
#12 · G · 6'1" 175 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
51%
35
24
8
8
10
0
6
29
13-15
87%
29-63
46%
10-27
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.