FinalWin Prob.pScore
835%95
95
265%100
85
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
102.29390.4
ORL logo ORL
91.49396.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALORL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL95
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)94
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLHoward Dunk (29 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)93
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLNelson Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)91
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 290
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0DALTerry Layup (14 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)90
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 1:06DALTerry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 1:08ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup88
98.6%
81
1.4%
Q4 - 1:20DALKidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)88
97.2%
81
2.8%
Q4 - 1:42DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
89.4%
81
10.6%
Q4 - 1:43ORLMISS Carter 12' Floating Jump Shot85
87.6%
81
12.4%
Q4 - 2:01ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
81.8%
81
18.2%
Q4 - 2:02ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
87.5%
81
12.5%
Q4 - 2:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)85
81.9%
81
18.1%
Q4 - 2:14DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Fadeaway Jumper85
84.8%
81
15.2%
Q4 - 2:39ORLNelson 7' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
90.1%
81
9.9%
Q4 - 2:52DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)85
90.3%
79
9.7%
Q4 - 3:12DALMavericks Rebound83
87.4%
79
12.6%
Q4 - 3:12ORLMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
85.4%
79
14.6%
Q4 - 3:26ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
79.7%
79
20.3%
Q4 - 3:26DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper83
82.6%
79
17.4%
Q4 - 3:44ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)83
81.5%
79
18.5%
Q4 - 3:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 283
83.3%
78
16.7%
Q4 - 3:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)83
81.1%
78
18.9%
Q4 - 3:44ORLMISS Carter 11' Fadeaway Jumper83
85.0%
78
15.0%
Q4 - 3:59DALCarter STEAL (1 STL)83
81.4%
78
18.6%
Q4 - 4:11DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)83
87.0%
78
13.0%
Q4 - 4:12ORLMISS Howard 10' Hook Shot83
85.6%
78
14.4%
Q4 - 4:25DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)83
81.8%
78
18.2%
Q4 - 4:49DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
76.0%
78
24.0%
Q4 - 4:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 281
74.9%
78
25.1%
Q4 - 4:50ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)81
70.9%
78
29.1%
Q4 - 4:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)81
75.4%
77
24.6%
Q4 - 4:52ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup81
80.4%
77
19.6%
Q4 - 5:03ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
71.2%
77
28.8%
Q4 - 5:03DALMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot81
73.4%
77
26.6%
Q4 - 5:26DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
78.1%
77
21.9%
Q4 - 5:26ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot81
76.2%
77
23.8%
Q4 - 5:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)81
71.5%
77
28.5%
Q4 - 5:42DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot81
73.7%
77
26.3%
Q4 - 5:47DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
78.2%
77
21.8%
Q4 - 5:49ORLMISS Lewis Layup81
76.3%
77
23.7%
Q4 - 6:08DALTerry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)81
67.9%
77
32.1%
Q4 - 6:21ORLNelson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T13)81
74.6%
77
25.4%
Q4 - 6:30ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
68.1%
77
31.9%
Q4 - 6:31DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot81
70.2%
77
29.8%
Q4 - 6:51ORLNelson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)81
74.8%
77
25.2%
Q4 - 7:06DALTerry 13' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
76.6%
75
23.4%
Q4 - 7:23ORLCarter 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)79
71.9%
75
28.1%
Q4 - 7:42DALHaywood Layup (15 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)79
76.8%
73
23.2%
Q4 - 8:02ORLHoward Layup (25 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)77
69.2%
73
30.8%
Q4 - 8:09ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
74.6%
71
25.4%
Q4 - 8:11DALHoward BLOCK (5 BLK)77
76.0%
71
24.0%
Q4 - 8:24DALTerry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
79.1%
71
20.9%
Q4 - 8:26DALTerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
79.1%
71
20.9%
Q4 - 8:26DALMISS Terry Tip Shot77
76.1%
71
23.9%
Q4 - 8:28DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot77
76.1%
71
23.9%
Q4 - 8:45ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
79.2%
71
20.8%
Q4 - 8:54DALKidd 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)77
83.2%
69
16.8%
Q4 - 9:14DALMavericks Rebound75
76.9%
69
23.1%
Q4 - 9:14ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Hook Shot75
75.6%
69
24.4%
Q4 - 9:36DALHaywood 4' Hook Shot (13 PTS)75
72.6%
69
27.4%
Q4 - 10:02DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
65.4%
69
34.6%
Q4 - 10:03ORLMISS Redick Layup73
63.8%
69
36.2%
Q4 - 10:18DALHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)73
60.2%
69
39.8%
Q4 - 10:27ORLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)70
49.1%
69
50.9%
Q4 - 10:48DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)70
43.5%
69
56.5%
Q4 - 11:08ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)67
32.9%
69
67.1%
Q4 - 11:18ORLMAGIC Rebound67
28.5%
69
71.5%
Q4 - 11:18ORLMISS Redick Driving Layup67
31.5%
69
68.5%
Q4 - 11:28DALTerry 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)67
28.5%
69
71.5%
Q4 - 11:38DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
24.2%
69
75.8%
Q4 - 11:40ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
23.0%
69
77.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL65
20.6%
69
79.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T9)65
21.3%
69
78.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
24.5%
69
75.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Anderson 11' Jump Shot65
23.5%
69
76.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0DALTerry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)65
21.2%
69
78.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)62
15.0%
69
85.0%
Q3 - 1:01DALNowitzki 8' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)62
13.1%
69
86.9%
Q3 - 1:19ORLCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)60
10.9%
69
89.1%
Q3 - 1:34DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)60
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 1:49ORLBarnes Layup (6 PTS)58
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 1:51ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 1:53ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot58
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q3 - 2:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)58
9.7%
67
90.3%
Q3 - 2:11DALMISS Kidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 2:29DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 2:29ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot58
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 2:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)58
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 2:46DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot58
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 2:54DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 2:56ORLMISS Howard Driving Reverse Layup58
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 3:11ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
10.1%
67
89.9%
Q3 - 3:11DALMISS Butler 9' Running Jump Shot58
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 3:35ORLHoward 10' Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)58
12.0%
67
88.0%
Q3 - 3:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)58
13.9%
65
86.1%
Q3 - 3:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
13.7%
65
86.3%
Q3 - 4:22ORLLewis 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barnes 4 AST)56
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q3 - 4:39DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)56
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 4:39DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
16.8%
63
83.2%
Q3 - 4:40DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Reverse Layup56
14.9%
63
85.1%
Q3 - 5:06ORLCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Barnes 3 AST)56
17.0%
63
83.0%
Q3 - 5:24ORLMAGIC Rebound56
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 5:25DALMISS Kidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
22.9%
60
77.1%
Q3 - 5:42DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
25.3%
60
74.7%
Q3 - 5:43ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Hook Shot56
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q3 - 6:08DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS)56
22.2%
60
77.8%
Q3 - 6:27ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)54
19.8%
60
80.2%
Q3 - 6:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)54
22.2%
58
77.8%
Q3 - 6:36DALHoward BLOCK (4 BLK)54
23.1%
58
76.9%
Q3 - 6:47ORLHoward Hook Shot (19 PTS)54
25.4%
58
74.6%
Q3 - 7:03DALMarion Backcourt Turnover (P1.T7)54
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 7:15DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
31.7%
56
68.3%
Q3 - 7:15ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q3 - 7:34DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)54
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 7:36DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
31.7%
56
68.3%
Q3 - 7:38ORLMISS Barnes Layup54
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q3 - 7:57DALButler 3' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)54
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 8:09ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)52
25.4%
56
74.6%
Q3 - 8:32DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)52
31.3%
53
68.7%
Q3 - 9:03ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)50
28.3%
53
71.7%
Q3 - 9:03ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)50
29.3%
52
70.7%
Q3 - 9:24DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)50
31.3%
51
68.7%
Q3 - 9:30DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
25.4%
51
74.6%
Q3 - 9:31ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q3 - 9:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
22.6%
51
77.4%
Q3 - 9:41DALMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot47
23.4%
51
76.6%
Q3 - 9:53DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
25.4%
51
74.6%
Q3 - 9:55ORLMISS Barnes Layup47
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q3 - 9:56ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
22.6%
51
77.4%
Q3 - 9:58ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
22.6%
51
77.4%
Q3 - 9:58ORLMISS Barnes Tip Shot47
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q3 - 9:59ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Hook Shot47
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q3 - 10:16DALButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)47
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 10:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
18.2%
51
81.8%
Q3 - 10:20ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.5%
51
82.5%
Q3 - 10:31ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
16.1%
51
83.9%
Q3 - 10:32DALMISS Haywood Layup44
16.7%
51
83.3%
Q3 - 10:43ORLHoward 6' Jump Bank Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)44
18.2%
51
81.8%
Q3 - 11:06DALHaywood Dunk (8 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)44
20.6%
49
79.4%
Q3 - 11:10DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
18.5%
49
81.5%
Q3 - 11:12DALMISS Marion Driving Reverse Layup42
17.0%
49
83.0%
Q3 - 11:30ORLBarnes Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)42
18.5%
49
81.5%
Q3 - 11:46ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
20.5%
47
79.5%
Q3 - 11:46DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot42
21.3%
47
78.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL42
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound42
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Butler 46' 3PT Jump Shot42
21.3%
47
78.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLCarter Driving Dunk (11 PTS)42
23.1%
47
76.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
26.2%
45
73.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 241
25.8%
45
74.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0ORLCarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)41
25.6%
45
74.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)41
23.6%
45
76.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)39
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 1:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 1:06DALMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot39
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 1:15DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
25.6%
43
74.4%
Q2 - 1:16ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
25.0%
43
75.0%
Q2 - 1:34ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 1:35DALMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot39
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 1:59DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
25.6%
43
74.4%
Q2 - 1:59ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot39
25.0%
43
75.0%
Q2 - 2:08ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
23.4%
43
76.6%
Q2 - 2:10DALPietrus BLOCK (1 BLK)39
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 2:16DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q2 - 2:16ORLMISS Pietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
25.2%
43
74.8%
Q2 - 2:23ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
23.4%
43
76.6%
Q2 - 2:24DALHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)39
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 2:39DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q2 - 2:41ORLMISS Carter Driving Layup39
25.2%
43
74.8%
Q2 - 2:47DALButler 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)39
23.5%
43
76.5%
Q2 - 3:12ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)37
21.6%
43
78.4%
Q2 - 3:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 3:15ORLMISS Nelson 10' Fadeaway Jumper37
20.9%
43
79.1%
Q2 - 3:33DALButler Driving Dunk (8 PTS)37
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 3:46ORLNelson 10' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 3:58DALMarion 11' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)35
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 4:09DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
17.7%
41
82.3%
Q2 - 4:11ORLMISS Howard 7' Running Hook Shot33
17.1%
41
82.9%
Q2 - 4:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
15.8%
41
84.2%
Q2 - 4:30DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 233
16.1%
41
83.9%
Q2 - 4:30DALHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
17.0%
41
83.0%
Q2 - 4:45ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)32
16.0%
41
84.0%
Q2 - 4:45ORLMAGIC Rebound32
14.3%
41
85.7%
Q2 - 4:45ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 4:47ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
14.3%
41
85.7%
Q2 - 4:50ORLMISS Carter 11' Running Jump Shot32
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 5:11DALHaywood Layup (5 PTS)32
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 5:14DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
13.2%
41
86.8%
Q2 - 5:15DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot30
12.3%
41
87.7%
Q2 - 5:34ORLPietrus Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)30
13.2%
41
86.8%
Q2 - 5:40ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
14.7%
39
85.3%
Q2 - 5:41DALMISS Butler 22' Turnaround Jump Shot30
15.1%
39
84.9%
Q2 - 6:16ORLGortat 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)30
16.7%
39
83.3%
Q2 - 6:25ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
18.1%
37
81.9%
Q2 - 6:26DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot30
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 6:47DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 6:48ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot30
19.5%
37
80.5%
Q2 - 7:03DALNajera 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)30
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 7:17DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 7:17ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 7:25ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 7:26DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot27
14.2%
37
85.8%
Q2 - 7:45DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 7:46ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot27
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 8:05DALBarea Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)27
14.2%
37
85.8%
Q2 - 8:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 8:12ORLMISS Gortat Layup25
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 8:28DALWilliams STEAL (1 STL)25
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 8:36DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 8:37ORLMISS Pietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 8:47DALPietrus STEAL (1 STL)25
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 8:55ORLGortat Layup (2 PTS)25
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 8:58ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 9:00ORLMISS Anderson Layup25
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 9:15ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 9:16DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Turnaround Jump Shot25
14.7%
35
85.3%
Q2 - 9:28ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 9:44ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 9:44DALMISS Barea Free Throw 1 of 125
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q2 - 9:50DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
13.1%
35
86.9%
Q2 - 9:51ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 9:58ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
11.9%
35
88.1%
Q2 - 9:59DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Turnaround Jump Shot23
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 10:11DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
13.5%
35
86.5%
Q2 - 10:12ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 10:27DALBarea Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 10:40ORLBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 10:46ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
12.1%
35
87.9%
Q2 - 10:47DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
12.5%
35
87.5%
Q2 - 10:51DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 10:51DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
12.5%
35
87.5%
Q2 - 11:22ORLHoward 8' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)23
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q2 - 11:39ORLMAGIC Rebound23
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 11:40DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot23
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL23
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLBarnes Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)23
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALMISS Najera 15' Jump Shot23
18.5%
31
81.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)23
19.3%
31
80.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0DALLewis STEAL (2 STL)23
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)23
19.3%
31
80.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)23
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0DALMISS Butler Layup23
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q1 - 1:02DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q1 - 1:03DALMISS Najera 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q1 - 1:18ORLHoward Dunk (9 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)23
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q1 - 1:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q1 - 1:40DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot23
25.3%
27
74.7%
Q1 - 1:51ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
26.2%
27
73.8%
Q1 - 1:51ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
26.5%
26
73.5%
Q1 - 2:03DALButler 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)23
28.7%
25
71.3%
Q1 - 2:22ORLLewis 10' Fadeaway Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)21
26.6%
25
73.4%
Q1 - 2:43ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q1 - 2:43DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
29.2%
23
70.8%
Q1 - 2:54DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
30.4%
23
69.6%
Q1 - 2:55DALMISS Kidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
29.2%
23
70.8%
Q1 - 3:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q1 - 3:06ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
29.8%
23
70.2%
Q1 - 3:23ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28.5%
23
71.5%
Q1 - 3:24DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot21
29.1%
23
70.9%
Q1 - 3:42ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)21
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q1 - 3:50ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q1 - 3:51DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Driving Bank Shot21
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 4:10ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)21
36.1%
20
63.9%
Q1 - 4:20DALLewis STEAL (1 STL)21
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 4:26DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
42.6%
17
57.4%
Q1 - 4:27ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot21
41.9%
17
58.1%
Q1 - 4:37DALTerry 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)21
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 4:53ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)19
38.3%
17
61.7%
Q1 - 5:04ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
39.9%
15
60.1%
Q1 - 5:06ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 219
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 5:06ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
40.8%
15
59.2%
Q1 - 5:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
42.0%
14
58.0%
Q1 - 5:08ORLMISS Barnes Driving Layup19
43.6%
14
56.4%
Q1 - 5:20DALNajera 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)19
42.0%
14
58.0%
Q1 - 5:36DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 5:36ORLMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot17
39.4%
14
60.6%
Q1 - 5:51DALKidd 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)17
37.9%
14
62.1%
Q1 - 5:55DALMavericks Rebound15
36.0%
14
64.0%
Q1 - 5:55DALHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)15
34.5%
14
65.5%
Q1 - 6:17ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS)15
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 6:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 6:43DALMISS Butler 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot15
38.2%
12
61.8%
Q1 - 6:50DALMavericks Rebound15
39.7%
12
60.3%
Q1 - 6:51DALMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot15
38.2%
12
61.8%
Q1 - 7:03ORLHoward Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)15
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 7:16DALNowitzki Layup (6 PTS)15
41.1%
10
58.9%
Q1 - 7:30DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 7:30ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot13
38.6%
10
61.4%
Q1 - 7:46DALButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)13
37.2%
10
62.8%
Q1 - 8:03ORLCarter Driving Layup (6 PTS)11
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 8:18DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 8:18DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
36.6%
8
63.4%
Q1 - 8:22ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 8:30DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)9
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 8:39ORLCarter Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 8:52DALHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 9:12ORLNelson Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)4
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 9:23DALNowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 9:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 9:35ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot2
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 9:41ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
28.2%
4
71.8%
Q1 - 9:44DALHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)2
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 10:05ORLCarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 10:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 10:22DALMISS Marion 9' Jump Hook Shot2
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 10:33DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 10:34ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 10:53ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 10:53DALMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot2
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 11:06ORLLewis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 11:19DALButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)2
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 11:47ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Haywood: Tip to Nelson0
31.2%
0
68.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.00 50.0%
ORL
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
13
23
57%
ORL
21
34
62%
Midrange
DAL
20
46
43%
ORL
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
ORL
4
6.0
25
16%
24%
Free Throws
DAL
14
18
78%
ORL
9
12
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2346%11.5 / 25
C. Butler1642%8.0 / 19
J. Terry1662%8.0 / 13
B. Haywood1568%7.5 / 11
J. Kidd1063%5.0 / 8
J. Barea675%3.0 / 4
E. Najera563%2.5 / 4
S. Marion429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2960%14.5 / 24
V. Carter1653%8.0 / 15
J. Nelson1653%8.0 / 15
R. Lewis1255%6.0 / 11
M. Barnes633%3.0 / 9
M. Gortat467%2.0 / 3
M. Pietrus217%1.0 / 6
J. Williams0-0.0 / 1
J. Redick0-0.0 / 4
R. Anderson0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
83
+11
-10
94
ORL
81
+14
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.00 50.0%
ORL
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
111.5
DAL 102.2
ORL 91.4 +10.8
Pace
92.6
92.0
DAL 90.4
ORL 96.1 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.7
DAL 15.9
ORL 15.0 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
53.6%
DAL 48.2% +4.5%
ORL 43.7%
TO %
13.2%
14.8%
DAL 10.7% +1.6%
ORL 12.3%
ORB %
24.3%
24.6%
DAL 18.6%
ORL 24.5% +5.9%
FTrt
27.7
34.0
DAL 21.4 +7.6
ORL 13.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
53.7%
DAL 60.5% +10.5%
ORL 50.0%
STL %
8.1%
6.8%
DAL 9.7% +4.3%
ORL 5.4%
BLK %
8.5%
8.6%
DAL 11.3% +2.6%
ORL 8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
55.8%
DAL 50.0% +5.3%
ORL 44.7%
Rim FG%
58.4%
61.6%
DAL 56.5%
ORL 61.8% +5.3%
Mid FG%
42.9%
42.3%
DAL 43.5% +4.2%
ORL 39.3%
3P %
37.2%
37.5%
DAL 33.3% +17.3%
ORL 16.0%
FT %
81.7%
72.4%
DAL 77.8% +2.8%
ORL 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
33.0%
DAL 27.4%
ORL 39.1% +11.7%
Mid Att. %
47.1%
32.0%
DAL 54.8%
ORL 32.2% +22.6%
3P Att. %
22.2%
35.0%
DAL 17.9%
ORL 28.7% +10.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsDALORL
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes24.723.2
Points9585
Rebounds4547
Assists2318
Steals95
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals38-8436-87
At-the-Rim FG13-2321-34
Midrange FG20-4611-28
2-Point FG33-6932-62
3-Point FG5-154-25
Free Throws14-189-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 37
39.9
10
63%
8
8
4
0
3
2
0
8
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
F · 7'0" 245 · 32
38.5
23
46%
4
5
2
3
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
9-23
39%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 228 · 30
38.4
16
42%
7
2
2
1
0
2
2
5
2-3
67%
7-15
47%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 263 · 30
35.5
15
68%
9
1
0
2
0
3
2
7
3-4
75%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 32
33.2
4
29%
6
3
0
0
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
33.8
16
62%
7
4
0
0
2
1
3
4
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
12.6
5
63%
4
0
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
8.1
6
75%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29
G · 6'6" 212 · 29
#7 · F · 6'10" 240 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
50%
45
23
9
7
10
0
8
37
14-18
78%
33-69
48%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.