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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1976ers42%9390
21Bulls58%96122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
35.2
38.8
23
64%
6
5
0
2
3
5
2
4
6-7
86%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.7
29.3
25.9
13
44%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
5-13
4-9
38%
45%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.9
26.8
32.3
7
34%
13
2
0
1
0
0
6
7
3-5
60%
2-8
6-13
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.7
23.7
34.2
5
42%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
42%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
17.1
23.2
6
60%
8
0
0
0
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
26.1
28.2
17
62%
8
1
0
1
0
1
6
2
4-6
67%
5-10
5-9
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
24.3
25.0
10
42%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
19.9
13.9
6
43%
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.0
16.3
2.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-4
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.9
15.2
11.4
2
25%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
6.2
6.8
1
20%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
8.9
0
1-2
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.0
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
38.4
26.5
20
67%
13
1
1
1
2
0
5
8
2-2
100%
9-14
4-7
64%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
33.8
34.2
17
48%
4
6
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
6-15
8-16
40%
51%
1-1
100%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
32.1
34.7
12
48%
7
5
4
1
0
0
2
5
10-10
100%
1-7
7-13
14%
50%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
26.1
36.3
17
77%
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
3-4
75%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.9
21.8
31.5
15
57%
10
1
0
1
0
1
2
8
6-7
86%
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
28.3
18.7
12
46%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
25.1
20.7
15
59%
9
3
0
0
2
0
5
4
3-4
75%
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
10.1
7.1
7
79%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-3
1-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
9.5
12.9
3
30%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.0
6.7
17.4
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
4.1
4.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.1
4.1
1.9
3
80%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.3
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.