FinalWin Prob.pScore
2522%87
91
578%98
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.88682.3
DAL logo DAL
110.28892.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL91
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem Running Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)91
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)89
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)87
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALMISS Kidd Free Throw 1 of 285
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)85
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAHeat Rebound82
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)82
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)82
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIABeasley 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T17)82
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 1:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)82
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 1:10DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot82
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 1:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 1:44DALButler 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Haywood 4 AST)82
3.8%
88
96.2%
Q4 - 2:09MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)82
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 2:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 2:18DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot79
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 2:34DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot79
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 2:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)79
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 2:38MIAKidd BLOCK (1 BLK)79
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 2:57DALHaywood Putback Layup (11 PTS)79
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q4 - 2:58DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)79
4.5%
84
95.5%
Q4 - 2:59DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q4 - 3:08DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot79
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q4 - 3:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)79
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q4 - 3:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)79
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 3:36DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)79
13.0%
82
87.0%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot79
14.4%
82
85.6%
Q4 - 3:47DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)79
18.1%
82
81.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)79
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q4 - 4:21DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)79
17.8%
82
82.2%
Q4 - 4:34MIAChalmers Driving Layup (11 PTS)79
31.4%
79
68.6%
Q4 - 4:43MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
24.2%
79
75.8%
Q4 - 4:44DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot77
21.9%
79
78.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)77
18.8%
79
81.2%
Q4 - 5:29DALKidd Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)77
24.8%
79
75.2%
Q4 - 5:29DALKidd Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)77
25.9%
78
74.1%
Q4 - 5:29DALKidd Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)77
27.2%
77
72.8%
Q4 - 5:48MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)77
39.0%
76
61.0%
Q4 - 5:59DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)74
24.8%
76
75.2%
Q4 - 6:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
36.9%
73
63.1%
Q4 - 6:32MIAHaslem Putback Dunk (2 PTS)74
36.9%
73
63.1%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot72
26.0%
73
74.0%
Q4 - 7:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
30.6%
73
69.4%
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
25.3%
73
74.7%
Q4 - 7:06MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
29.5%
73
70.5%
Q4 - 7:08DALMISS Haywood Layup72
27.6%
73
72.4%
Q4 - 7:11DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
23.6%
73
76.4%
Q4 - 7:12DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
27.6%
73
72.4%
Q4 - 7:30MIACook Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)72
23.6%
73
76.4%
Q4 - 7:46MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
29.6%
73
70.4%
Q4 - 7:47DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot72
27.7%
73
72.3%
Q4 - 8:02MIACook 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)72
23.9%
73
76.1%
Q4 - 8:17MIAHeat Rebound70
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q4 - 8:18DALMISS Butler Running Layup70
18.2%
73
81.8%
Q4 - 8:27DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
15.8%
73
84.2%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot70
16.8%
73
83.2%
Q4 - 8:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)70
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q4 - 8:48DALMISS Terry 7' Floating Jump Shot70
18.2%
73
81.8%
Q4 - 9:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot70
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q4 - 9:18DALTerry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)70
19.8%
73
80.2%
Q4 - 9:37MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q4 - 9:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q4 - 9:53DALMISS Haywood 9' Jump Shot68
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q4 - 10:19MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (16 PTS)68
11.1%
73
88.9%
Q4 - 10:46DALKidd Driving Layup (9 PTS)66
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q4 - 11:03DALMAVERICKS Rebound66
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q4 - 11:14DALButler Foul Turnover (P2.T5)66
13.9%
71
86.1%
Q4 - 11:30MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q4 - 11:30MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
11.3%
71
88.7%
Q4 - 11:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q4 - 11:39DALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot64
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q4 - 11:51MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)64
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot64
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot64
8.8%
71
91.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0DALButler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)64
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAKidd STEAL (3 STL)64
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALMISS Kidd 15' Jump Bank Shot64
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 1:10DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
8.5%
71
91.5%
Q3 - 1:11DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot64
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 1:21DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
8.5%
71
91.5%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot64
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 1:50DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)64
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q3 - 2:12MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T11)64
14.2%
68
85.8%
Q3 - 2:29DALMarion 11' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)64
16.7%
68
83.3%
Q3 - 2:37DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
19.5%
66
80.5%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot64
20.4%
66
79.6%
Q3 - 3:03DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Kidd 11 AST)64
22.1%
66
77.9%
Q3 - 3:13DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
25.1%
64
74.9%
Q3 - 3:14DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 3:36MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T10)64
25.2%
64
74.8%
Q3 - 3:52DALKidd 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 4:16MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)64
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q3 - 4:34DALHaywood Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)62
28.9%
62
71.1%
Q3 - 4:50MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)62
32.0%
60
68.0%
Q3 - 5:09DALMarion 5' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)60
28.0%
60
72.0%
Q3 - 5:15MIANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)60
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 5:30MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)60
35.3%
58
64.7%
Q3 - 5:45DALMarion Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)59
31.6%
58
68.4%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMarion STEAL (1 STL)59
34.8%
56
65.2%
Q3 - 6:08DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)59
37.9%
56
62.1%
Q3 - 6:08DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)59
38.2%
55
61.8%
Q3 - 6:25DALMAVERICKS Rebound59
41.3%
54
58.7%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
42.7%
54
57.3%
Q3 - 6:51DALHaywood Putback Layup (7 PTS)59
45.8%
54
54.2%
Q3 - 6:54DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
49.4%
52
50.6%
Q3 - 6:55DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
52.6%
52
47.4%
Q3 - 7:19MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)59
47.5%
52
52.5%
Q3 - 7:19MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
51.7%
52
48.3%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot59
48.8%
52
51.2%
Q3 - 7:44DALHaywood Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)59
51.8%
52
48.2%
Q3 - 8:06MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)59
46.4%
52
53.6%
Q3 - 8:21DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)56
39.4%
52
60.6%
Q3 - 8:31DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot56
36.7%
52
63.3%
Q3 - 8:49MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
39.4%
52
60.6%
Q3 - 8:52DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper56
38.2%
52
61.8%
Q3 - 9:03MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)56
34.9%
52
65.1%
Q3 - 9:18DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Haywood 3 AST)56
38.5%
52
61.5%
Q3 - 9:40MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
42.0%
50
58.0%
Q3 - 10:16DALNowitzki 12' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)54
37.4%
50
62.6%
Q3 - 10:37MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
40.8%
48
59.2%
Q3 - 10:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)52
37.5%
48
62.5%
Q3 - 10:47DALMISS Butler 11' Turnaround Jump Shot52
36.4%
48
63.6%
Q3 - 10:56DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
34.1%
48
65.9%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot52
35.1%
48
64.9%
Q3 - 11:15DALHaywood Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)52
36.5%
48
63.5%
Q3 - 11:22DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
39.6%
46
60.4%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot52
40.7%
46
59.3%
Q3 - 11:40DALNowitzki 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)52
43.2%
46
56.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL52
46.5%
44
53.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIACook 10' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
45.8%
44
54.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)50
41.8%
44
58.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0DALMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 250
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMISS Butler Driving Layup50
44.3%
43
55.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIACook Dunk (10 PTS) (Beasley 5 AST)50
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
38.6%
43
61.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0DALMISS Najera 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
37.9%
43
62.1%
Q2 - 1:09DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 1:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
37.8%
43
62.2%
Q2 - 1:27DALMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 248
37.5%
43
62.5%
Q2 - 1:27DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
35.1%
43
64.9%
Q2 - 1:37DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)48
38.7%
42
61.3%
Q2 - 1:59MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)48
41.9%
41
58.1%
Q2 - 2:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 2:06DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot45
33.4%
41
66.6%
Q2 - 2:15MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)45
31.4%
41
68.6%
Q2 - 2:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 2:22DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot45
33.5%
41
66.5%
Q2 - 2:28DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
31.4%
41
68.6%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
32.3%
41
67.7%
Q2 - 2:36MIAHeat Rebound45
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 2:36MIAHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)45
32.3%
41
67.7%
Q2 - 2:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 2:52DALMISS Haywood 4' Jump Shot45
33.5%
41
66.5%
Q2 - 3:06MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
30.6%
41
69.4%
Q2 - 3:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)43
28.5%
41
71.5%
Q2 - 3:50MIARichardson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Beasley 4 AST)43
33.4%
38
66.6%
Q2 - 4:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)41
30.2%
38
69.8%
Q2 - 4:03DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
29.3%
38
70.7%
Q2 - 4:30MIABeasley Driving Dunk (11 PTS)41
27.5%
38
72.5%
Q2 - 4:47DALKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
25.4%
38
74.6%
Q2 - 4:47DALKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 5:04DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 5:28DALHaywood Layup (3 PTS)39
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 5:30DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
32.3%
34
67.7%
Q2 - 5:30DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
34.1%
34
65.9%
Q2 - 5:45MIACook Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)39
32.3%
34
67.7%
Q2 - 6:05DALMarion 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)36
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 6:13DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
29.2%
32
70.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot36
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 6:34DALMarion Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)36
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 6:43MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 6:54DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)34
32.1%
30
67.9%
Q2 - 6:54DALMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 234
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 6:57DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot34
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 7:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)34
33.6%
29
66.4%
Q2 - 7:14DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
32.8%
29
67.2%
Q2 - 7:26MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)34
31.0%
29
69.0%
Q2 - 7:51DALNajera Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)31
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q2 - 7:56MIAKidd STEAL (2 STL)31
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q2 - 8:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)31
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot31
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q2 - 8:23DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 8:23DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
30.7%
26
69.3%
Q2 - 8:24MIAKidd STEAL (1 STL)31
32.7%
25
67.3%
Q2 - 8:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
35.2%
25
64.8%
Q2 - 8:36DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q2 - 8:57MIACook Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)31
32.7%
25
67.3%
Q2 - 9:11DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)29
29.7%
25
70.3%
Q2 - 9:11DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)29
30.0%
24
70.0%
Q2 - 9:17DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
31.9%
23
68.1%
Q2 - 9:17DALMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot29
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q2 - 9:32DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
31.9%
23
68.1%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot29
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q2 - 9:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
34.4%
23
65.6%
Q2 - 9:43DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot29
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q2 - 9:52MIANajera STEAL (1 STL)29
31.9%
23
68.1%
Q2 - 10:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q2 - 10:07DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot29
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 10:20MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q2 - 10:45MIAHeat Rebound27
29.7%
23
70.3%
Q2 - 10:47DALMISS Barea Driving Layup27
28.9%
23
71.1%
Q2 - 10:58MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)27
27.3%
23
72.7%
Q2 - 11:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
29.3%
23
70.7%
Q2 - 11:08DALMISS Barea 14' Jump Shot27
28.7%
23
71.3%
Q2 - 11:14DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
27.2%
23
72.8%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot27
27.8%
23
72.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
29.4%
23
70.6%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Running Jump Shot27
27.8%
23
72.2%
Q2 - 11:46DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)27
29.4%
23
70.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
31.4%
21
68.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
33.8%
21
66.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Terry 7' Floating Jump Shot27
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
30.9%
21
69.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.5%
21
71.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 225
28.2%
21
71.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
27.1%
21
72.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.9%
20
71.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q1 - 1:01MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
29.8%
20
70.2%
Q1 - 1:02DALMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot25
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q1 - 1:16MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)25
28.5%
20
71.5%
Q1 - 1:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 1:36MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot22
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 2:02DALButler 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)22
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 2:25MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)22
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 2:31MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 2:32DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 2:52MIAChalmers Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)20
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 2:57DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 3:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 3:21MIAAnthony Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot16
17.1%
18
82.9%
Q1 - 3:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
18.0%
18
82.0%
Q1 - 3:34DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot16
17.6%
18
82.4%
Q1 - 3:57MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)16
16.7%
18
83.3%
Q1 - 4:07MIAWright Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)13
14.1%
18
85.9%
Q1 - 4:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot12
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 4:40DALButler Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)12
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 4:53MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 4:53MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 5:13DALButler Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)10
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 5:33MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
14.3%
14
85.7%
Q1 - 5:42MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.3%
14
86.7%
Q1 - 5:44DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot8
13.0%
14
87.0%
Q1 - 5:58MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
12.3%
14
87.7%
Q1 - 5:58MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 6:15DALButler 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haywood 2 AST)6
11.3%
14
88.7%
Q1 - 6:30MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)6
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 6:51DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)4
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 7:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot4
12.3%
10
87.7%
Q1 - 7:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
13.0%
10
87.0%
Q1 - 7:30DALMISS Marion 9' Turnaround Jump Shot4
12.7%
10
87.3%
Q1 - 7:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot4
12.3%
10
87.7%
Q1 - 7:50MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.0%
10
87.0%
Q1 - 7:51DALMISS Haywood Finger Roll Layup4
12.7%
10
87.3%
Q1 - 7:52DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 7:53DALMISS Haywood Layup4
12.7%
10
87.3%
Q1 - 8:11MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
11.9%
10
88.1%
Q1 - 8:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
11.1%
10
88.9%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot2
10.5%
10
89.5%
Q1 - 8:32DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)2
11.1%
10
88.9%
Q1 - 8:56DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot2
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 9:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
12.9%
8
87.1%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot2
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 9:39DALButler 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)2
12.9%
8
87.1%
Q1 - 9:54DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 9:55MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
14.2%
6
85.8%
Q1 - 10:20DALButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)2
15.0%
6
85.0%
Q1 - 10:28DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
15.9%
4
84.1%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot2
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 10:49DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)2
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 11:07MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 11:30DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)0
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 11:40DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup0
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Haywood vs. O'Neal: Tip to Arroyo0
18.8%
0
81.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 52.9%
DAL
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
19
84%
DAL
12
19
63%
Midrange
MIA
14
42
33%
DAL
18
38
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
DAL
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
MIA
10
10
100%
DAL
28
33
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Cook2265%11.0 / 17
J. O'Neal1860%9.0 / 15
M. Beasley1246%6.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1155%5.5 / 10
Q. Richardson850%4.0 / 8
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
C. Arroyo440%2.0 / 5
D. Wright338%1.5 / 4
J. Jones350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2858%14.0 / 24
J. Kidd2188%10.5 / 12
C. Butler2059%10.0 / 17
B. Haywood1150%5.5 / 11
S. Marion1179%5.5 / 7
J. Terry417%2.0 / 12
E. Najera250%1.0 / 2
J. Barea0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+14
-16
84
DAL
81
+9
-7
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 52.9%
DAL
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
109.2
MIA 105.8
DAL 110.2 +4.4
Pace
89.6
92.6
MIA 82.3
DAL 92.2 +9.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.7
MIA 17.5
DAL 15.6 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
50.6%
MIA 50.6% +3.3%
DAL 47.3%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
MIA 16.8%
DAL 7.4% +9.4%
ORB %
26.0%
24.3%
MIA 30.8% +8.3%
DAL 22.5%
FTrt
29.6
27.7
MIA 12.5
DAL 45.2 +32.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
61.1%
MIA 48.6%
DAL 72.7% +24.1%
STL %
8.1%
8.1%
MIA 3.5%
DAL 8.0% +4.5%
BLK %
9.4%
8.5%
MIA 3.5%
DAL 4.9% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.6%
MIA 52.9%
DAL 53.9% +1.0%
Rim FG%
62.0%
58.4%
MIA 84.2% +21.0%
DAL 63.2%
Mid FG%
40.8%
42.9%
MIA 33.3%
DAL 47.4% +14.1%
3P %
34.6%
37.2%
MIA 36.8% +18.0%
DAL 18.8%
FT %
75.2%
81.7%
MIA 100.0% +15.2%
DAL 84.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
30.8%
MIA 23.8%
DAL 26.0% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
47.1%
MIA 52.5%
DAL 52.1% +0.4%
3P Att. %
21.9%
22.2%
MIA 23.8% +1.8%
DAL 21.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9197
Rebounds4336
Assists1824
Steals37
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals37-8033-73
At-the-Rim FG16-1912-19
Midrange FG14-4218-38
2-Point FG30-6130-57
3-Point FG7-193-16
Free Throws10-1028-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
34.9
18
60%
13
1
0
2
4
2
5
8
0-0
-
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
31.4
12
46%
3
5
1
0
3
5
0
3
6-6
100%
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
28.1
8
50%
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
18.4
4
40%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'9" 205 · 24
17.7
3
38%
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
33.9
22
65%
4
1
0
0
2
1
0
4
3-3
100%
5-11
45%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
29.6
11
55%
2
8
0
0
2
5
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
19.3
8
57%
8
0
0
0
3
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
16.3
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
10.4
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
53%
43
18
3
2
16
0
12
31
10-10
100%
30-61
49%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.