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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings44%9989
27Clippers56%10199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.4
40.1
34.5
21
61%
3
4
0
1
0
4
0
3
2-7
29%
8-11
6-12
73%
49%
1-3
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.4
35.6
24.0
10
38%
8
2
0
1
0
3
1
7
2-5
40%
4-11
5-9
36%
53%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
31.9
29.8
15
57%
5
3
3
1
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
26.2
27.8
9
46%
7
0
2
1
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-9
5-10
44%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
14.4
15.9
7
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
36.5
19.4
8
45%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.8
22.4
27.7
8
82%
1
3
0
1
3
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
4-9
75%
50%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.0
13.9
26.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.2
8.8
10.1
5
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.5
6.4
5.9
5
83%
0
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.9
2.3
7.2
1
27%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.2
1.6
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.1
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
40.9
35.0
14
44%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
4-10
40%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.2
40.1
34.4
30
75%
2
6
0
1
0
7
0
2
6-7
86%
6-10
4-8
60%
54%
4-7
57%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.0
40.0
20.8
11
71%
4
12
2
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.8
35.7
31.7
22
53%
16
1
0
1
2
4
4
12
4-6
67%
9-18
7-14
50%
52%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.3
18.5
22.1
9
48%
7
1
1
1
1
3
2
5
3-3
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
59%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
28.1
23.7
4
29%
8
0
0
0
3
2
2
6
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
62%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.5
11.6
12.0
3
61%
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.7
11.4
11.9
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
1-1
100%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.4
8.1
13.8
3
50%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.8
5.6
3.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.9
18.3
1
3-5
47%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
11.6
0
2-4
47%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.4
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.