FinalWin Prob.pScore
955%105
104
1645%104
108
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
108.39687.3
GSW logo GSW
111.397107.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL104
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Crawford 30' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0GSWC. Hunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)104
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0GSWMISS C. Hunter Free Throw 1 of 2104
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 0:04.0GSWC. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot104
1.9%
107
98.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)104
8.5%
107
91.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)104
10.3%
106
89.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)104
18.4%
105
81.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Pullup Jump Shot104
26.2%
105
73.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0GSWCurry Free Throw Technical (32 PTS)104
46.7%
105
53.3%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLHawks Rebound104
67.7%
104
32.3%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot104
51.3%
104
48.7%
Q4 - 1:00GSWEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (24 PTS)104
64.1%
104
35.9%
Q4 - 1:03ATLEllis STEAL (2 STL)104
76.1%
102
23.9%
Q4 - 1:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)104
84.9%
102
15.1%
Q4 - 1:18ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot104
78.2%
102
21.8%
Q4 - 1:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)104
82.8%
102
17.2%
Q4 - 1:39ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot104
76.2%
102
23.8%
Q4 - 1:42ATLHawks Rebound104
82.3%
102
17.7%
Q4 - 1:42ATLC. Hunter BLOCK (2 BLK)104
75.8%
102
24.2%
Q4 - 1:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)104
81.8%
102
18.2%
Q4 - 1:59GSWMISS Ellis 22' Pullup Jump Shot104
79.2%
102
20.8%
Q4 - 2:22ATLJohnson 29' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)104
71.6%
102
28.4%
Q4 - 2:27ATLHawks Rebound101
53.0%
102
47.0%
Q4 - 2:28ATLBiedrins BLOCK (2 BLK)101
40.8%
102
59.2%
Q4 - 2:42ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
53.2%
102
46.8%
Q4 - 2:43GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 2101
50.8%
102
49.2%
Q4 - 2:43GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)101
43.1%
102
56.9%
Q4 - 2:43ATLEllis STEAL (1 STL)101
47.9%
101
52.1%
Q4 - 3:00ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
63.7%
101
36.3%
Q4 - 3:03GSWMISS C. Hunter 8' Turnaround Hook Shot101
59.6%
101
40.4%
Q4 - 3:27ATLHorford 11' Step Back Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)101
49.0%
101
51.0%
Q4 - 3:43GSWC. Hunter 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)99
42.2%
101
57.8%
Q4 - 3:59ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)99
50.8%
99
49.2%
Q4 - 3:59ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)98
49.3%
99
50.7%
Q4 - 4:25GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)97
41.8%
99
58.2%
Q4 - 4:25GSWBiedrins Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)97
41.8%
99
58.2%
Q4 - 4:26GSWMISS C. Hunter 5' Jump Hook Shot97
58.0%
97
42.0%
Q4 - 4:41GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)97
50.7%
97
49.3%
Q4 - 4:42GSWMISS Morrow 10' Floating Jump Shot97
58.0%
97
42.0%
Q4 - 4:55ATLJohnson 7' Driving Jump Shot (26 PTS)97
50.7%
97
49.3%
Q4 - 5:15GSWCurry 1' Driving Layup (31 PTS)95
43.5%
97
56.5%
Q4 - 5:23GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
51.5%
95
48.5%
Q4 - 5:23GSWMISS Watson 12' Jump Shot95
57.7%
95
42.3%
Q4 - 5:43GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)95
51.5%
95
48.5%
Q4 - 5:45ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot95
54.2%
95
45.8%
Q4 - 6:10GSWWatson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)95
60.4%
95
39.6%
Q4 - 6:14GSWC. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
66.9%
93
33.1%
Q4 - 6:15ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot95
69.0%
93
31.0%
Q4 - 6:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)95
73.7%
93
26.3%
Q4 - 6:21ATLMISS Smith 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot95
69.1%
93
30.9%
Q4 - 6:41GSWCurry 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (29 PTS)95
73.7%
93
26.3%
Q4 - 6:48GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
83.5%
90
16.5%
Q4 - 6:50ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot95
84.8%
90
15.2%
Q4 - 7:16GSWCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)95
86.0%
90
14.0%
Q4 - 7:16GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)95
86.4%
89
13.6%
Q4 - 7:21GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)95
88.8%
88
11.2%
Q4 - 7:22ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot95
89.7%
88
10.3%
Q4 - 7:41GSWWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)95
91.5%
88
8.5%
Q4 - 7:41GSWWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
91.8%
87
8.2%
Q4 - 7:43GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
93.3%
86
6.7%
Q4 - 7:45ATLC. Hunter BLOCK (1 BLK)95
93.9%
86
6.1%
Q4 - 8:07GSWMorrow 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)95
93.8%
86
6.2%
Q4 - 8:12GSWC. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
95.2%
84
4.8%
Q4 - 8:13ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot95
95.6%
84
4.4%
Q4 - 8:30GSWWatson 12' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)95
96.3%
84
3.7%
Q4 - 8:47GSWWARRIORS Rebound95
97.1%
82
2.9%
Q4 - 8:47ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot95
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 9:04ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
97.1%
82
2.9%
Q4 - 9:09GSWMISS C. Hunter Free Throw 2 of 295
97.0%
82
3.0%
Q4 - 9:09GSWC. Hunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)95
96.6%
82
3.4%
Q4 - 9:25ATLJohnson 4' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)95
97.1%
81
2.9%
Q4 - 9:46GSWC. Hunter 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Morrow 1 AST)93
96.4%
81
3.6%
Q4 - 9:57ATLJohnson 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (22 PTS)93
97.2%
79
2.8%
Q4 - 10:17GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)91
95.7%
79
4.3%
Q4 - 10:26ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)91
94.7%
79
5.3%
Q4 - 10:26ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 290
94.4%
79
5.6%
Q4 - 10:39GSWMorrow 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)90
94.7%
79
5.3%
Q4 - 10:45ATLWatson STEAL (2 STL)90
95.7%
77
4.3%
Q4 - 10:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
96.6%
77
3.4%
Q4 - 10:50ATLTolliver BLOCK (2 BLK)90
96.0%
77
4.0%
Q4 - 11:12GSWCurry 22' Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)90
95.9%
77
4.1%
Q4 - 11:16GSWWARRIORS Rebound90
96.7%
75
3.3%
Q4 - 11:18GSWMISS Morrow 19' Pullup Jump Shot90
97.2%
75
2.8%
Q4 - 11:23ATLC. Hunter STEAL (1 STL)90
96.7%
75
3.3%
Q4 - 11:48GSWMorrow 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (C. Hunter 1 AST)90
97.3%
75
2.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW90
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound90
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0GSWMISS Ellis 50' 3PT Jump Shot90
97.8%
73
2.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLWilliams 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)90
97.5%
73
2.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0GSWC. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
96.9%
73
3.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0GSWC. Hunter 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)88
96.9%
73
3.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0GSWMISS Watson 7' Jump Shot88
97.8%
71
2.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0ATLCrawford 12' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)88
97.5%
71
2.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0GSWEllis 31' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS)86
96.9%
71
3.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLHorford Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)86
98.0%
68
2.0%
Q3 - 1:07ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
98.0%
68
2.0%
Q3 - 1:09GSWMISS Watson 20' Step Back Jump Shot86
97.9%
68
2.1%
Q3 - 1:33ATLSmith 2' Slam Dunk (14 PTS)86
97.7%
68
2.3%
Q3 - 1:38GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)84
97.1%
68
2.9%
Q3 - 1:50ATLHorford 1' Slam Dunk (24 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)84
96.6%
68
3.4%
Q3 - 1:54GSWCurry Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)82
95.8%
68
4.2%
Q3 - 2:07ATLSmith 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)82
94.3%
68
5.7%
Q3 - 2:14GSWWatson 12' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
93.2%
68
6.8%
Q3 - 2:32ATLHorford 2' Alley Oop Layup (22 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)80
94.3%
66
5.7%
Q3 - 2:43GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)78
93.2%
66
6.8%
Q3 - 2:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
92.0%
66
8.0%
Q3 - 2:55ATLHorford Tip Shot (20 PTS)78
92.0%
66
8.0%
Q3 - 2:56ATLMISS Crawford 4' Jump Shot76
89.3%
66
10.7%
Q3 - 3:02GSWTolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)76
90.0%
66
10.0%
Q3 - 3:08ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)76
88.1%
66
11.9%
Q3 - 3:23GSWCurry 2' Layup (22 PTS)76
90.0%
66
10.0%
Q3 - 3:24GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q3 - 3:25GSWMISS Curry 2' Reverse Layup76
92.4%
64
7.6%
Q3 - 3:45ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P2.T8)76
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q3 - 3:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)76
92.8%
64
7.2%
Q3 - 3:55GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 276
92.6%
64
7.4%
Q3 - 3:55GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
91.8%
64
8.2%
Q3 - 4:09GSWWARRIORS Rebound76
92.1%
63
7.9%
Q3 - 4:09ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
92.6%
63
7.4%
Q3 - 4:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)76
93.5%
63
6.5%
Q3 - 4:16ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot76
92.6%
63
7.4%
Q3 - 4:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)76
93.5%
63
6.5%
Q3 - 4:31GSWMISS Ellis 7' Jump Hook Shot76
93.1%
63
6.9%
Q3 - 4:46ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
92.2%
63
7.8%
Q3 - 4:46ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
92.0%
63
8.0%
Q3 - 5:00GSWWatson 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)74
91.1%
63
8.9%
Q3 - 5:04GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
91.4%
61
8.6%
Q3 - 5:05ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot74
91.8%
61
8.2%
Q3 - 5:22GSWCurry 20' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)74
92.8%
61
7.2%
Q3 - 5:42ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)74
93.7%
59
6.3%
Q3 - 5:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)71
91.6%
59
8.4%
Q3 - 5:44ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
90.5%
59
9.5%
Q3 - 5:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
91.6%
59
8.4%
Q3 - 5:52GSWMISS George 1' Layup71
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 6:05ATLHorford 16' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)71
89.4%
59
10.6%
Q3 - 6:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)69
88.0%
59
12.0%
Q3 - 6:18GSWMISS Ellis 22' Pullup Jump Shot69
87.4%
59
12.6%
Q3 - 6:32ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
86.0%
59
14.0%
Q3 - 6:32ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 268
85.4%
59
14.6%
Q3 - 6:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
86.2%
59
13.8%
Q3 - 6:38GSWMISS Ellis 8' Floating Jump Shot68
85.5%
59
14.5%
Q3 - 7:04ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)68
82.9%
59
17.1%
Q3 - 7:23GSWGeorge 17' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)66
80.8%
59
19.2%
Q3 - 7:41GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
83.0%
57
17.0%
Q3 - 7:42ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 166
83.3%
57
16.7%
Q3 - 7:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)64
80.9%
57
19.1%
Q3 - 7:59GSWMISS Morrow 17' Step Back Jump Shot64
80.1%
57
19.9%
Q3 - 8:14ATLWilliams 21' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)64
77.7%
57
22.3%
Q3 - 8:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)62
75.1%
57
24.9%
Q3 - 8:28GSWMISS Morrow 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot62
74.2%
57
25.8%
Q3 - 8:45GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
72.0%
57
28.0%
Q3 - 8:46ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 162
72.4%
57
27.6%
Q3 - 9:02GSWCurry 19' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
68.8%
57
31.2%
Q3 - 9:05GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
71.9%
55
28.1%
Q3 - 9:07GSWMISS Morrow 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
73.9%
55
26.1%
Q3 - 9:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
71.9%
55
28.1%
Q3 - 9:40ATLWilliams 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)60
71.9%
55
28.1%
Q3 - 9:42ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Hook Shot58
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 9:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
68.9%
55
31.1%
Q3 - 9:44ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 9:48GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)58
68.9%
55
31.1%
Q3 - 9:49GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
65.5%
55
34.5%
Q3 - 9:53ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 258
66.0%
55
34.0%
Q3 - 9:53ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 258
67.8%
55
32.2%
Q3 - 9:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
68.9%
55
31.1%
Q3 - 9:53ATLBiedrins BLOCK (1 BLK)58
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 9:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
68.9%
55
31.1%
Q3 - 10:00GSWMISS Ellis 5' Jump Shot58
67.9%
55
32.1%
Q3 - 10:15GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
65.4%
55
34.6%
Q3 - 10:16ATLMISS Williams 7' Running Hook Shot58
66.4%
55
33.6%
Q3 - 10:30GSWGeorge 3' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)58
68.6%
55
31.4%
Q3 - 10:48ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
71.6%
53
28.4%
Q3 - 10:56GSWMorrow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)55
65.4%
53
34.6%
Q3 - 11:03GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
62.1%
53
37.9%
Q3 - 11:06ATLMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot55
63.1%
53
36.9%
Q3 - 11:24GSWCurry 21' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
65.4%
53
34.6%
Q3 - 11:39ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)55
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW52
62.2%
51
37.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound52
58.7%
51
41.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Ellis 52' 3PT Jump Shot52
61.2%
51
38.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
59.4%
51
40.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
59.0%
51
41.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0GSWEllis 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)50
55.3%
51
44.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0GSWGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
59.4%
49
40.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot50
60.1%
49
39.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
61.9%
49
38.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0GSWMISS Ellis 2' Driving Reverse Layup50
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0GSWMISS Morrow Free Throw Technical50
59.3%
49
40.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLJohnson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)50
59.3%
49
40.7%
Q2 - 1:02GSWWatson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)48
55.5%
49
44.5%
Q2 - 1:12ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
62.7%
46
37.3%
Q2 - 1:12ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
62.0%
46
38.0%
Q2 - 1:29GSWC. Hunter 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)46
58.7%
46
41.3%
Q2 - 1:37GSWGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
62.7%
44
37.3%
Q2 - 1:39ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot46
63.4%
44
36.6%
Q2 - 1:50GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
64.9%
44
35.1%
Q2 - 2:04ATLSmith 2' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)46
62.0%
44
38.0%
Q2 - 2:17ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
59.1%
44
40.9%
Q2 - 2:19GSWMISS C. Hunter 6' Running Hook Shot44
58.1%
44
41.9%
Q2 - 2:35ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
55.9%
44
44.1%
Q2 - 2:35ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 243
55.4%
44
44.6%
Q2 - 2:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
56.0%
44
44.0%
Q2 - 2:42GSWMISS C. Hunter 20' Jump Shot43
55.0%
44
45.0%
Q2 - 2:53ATLHorford 1' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)43
52.7%
44
47.3%
Q2 - 3:09GSWC. Hunter Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)41
50.3%
44
49.7%
Q2 - 3:23ATLCrawford 21' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)41
52.8%
42
47.2%
Q2 - 3:37GSWEllis 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)39
50.3%
42
49.7%
Q2 - 3:47ATLJohnson 16' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
52.8%
40
47.2%
Q2 - 4:10GSWEllis 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)37
50.3%
40
49.7%
Q2 - 4:17GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
53.0%
38
47.0%
Q2 - 4:19ATLMISS Crawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
54.0%
38
46.0%
Q2 - 4:27ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
56.4%
38
43.6%
Q2 - 4:28GSWMISS Ellis 18' Step Back Jump Shot37
55.3%
38
44.7%
Q2 - 4:45ATLBibby 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)37
53.0%
38
47.0%
Q2 - 5:02ATLHawks Rebound35
50.5%
38
49.5%
Q2 - 5:03GSWMISS Watson 18' Pullup Jump Shot35
49.6%
38
50.4%
Q2 - 5:09GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
47.6%
38
52.4%
Q2 - 5:10ATLMISS Horford 5' Turnaround Hook Shot35
48.5%
38
51.5%
Q2 - 5:29GSWEllis 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)35
50.5%
38
49.5%
Q2 - 5:58GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
53.5%
36
46.5%
Q2 - 6:00ATLMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot35
54.4%
36
45.6%
Q2 - 6:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
56.6%
36
43.4%
Q2 - 6:08GSWMISS Biedrins 3' Jump Shot35
55.5%
36
44.5%
Q2 - 6:23ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)35
53.2%
36
46.8%
Q2 - 6:39GSWGeorge 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)32
47.9%
36
52.1%
Q2 - 6:45ATLGeorge STEAL (2 STL)32
50.3%
34
49.7%
Q2 - 6:50ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
53.7%
34
46.3%
Q2 - 6:52GSWMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
52.7%
34
47.3%
Q2 - 7:01GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
50.9%
34
49.1%
Q2 - 7:03ATLMISS Pachulia 18' Jump Shot32
51.8%
34
48.2%
Q2 - 7:19GSWCurry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)32
53.8%
34
46.2%
Q2 - 7:42ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q2 - 7:57ATLHawks Rebound29
51.0%
32
49.0%
Q2 - 7:58ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot29
48.9%
32
51.1%
Q2 - 8:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
51.1%
32
48.9%
Q2 - 8:19GSWMISS George 19' Pullup Jump Shot29
50.3%
32
49.7%
Q2 - 8:27GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
48.3%
32
51.7%
Q2 - 8:28ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot29
49.2%
32
50.8%
Q2 - 8:46GSWCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)29
51.1%
32
48.9%
Q2 - 8:46GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)29
51.4%
31
48.6%
Q2 - 8:49ATLWatson STEAL (1 STL)29
53.8%
30
46.2%
Q2 - 9:06ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
56.5%
30
43.5%
Q2 - 9:08ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot29
54.5%
30
45.5%
Q2 - 9:27ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
56.5%
30
43.5%
Q2 - 9:29GSWMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot29
55.6%
30
44.4%
Q2 - 9:35GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
53.7%
30
46.3%
Q2 - 9:36ATLMISS Teague 21' Jump Shot29
54.5%
30
45.5%
Q2 - 9:48GSWWatson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
56.5%
30
43.5%
Q2 - 9:56ATLBiedrins STEAL (1 STL)29
58.9%
28
41.1%
Q2 - 10:21GSWEllis 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Biedrins 5 AST)29
61.5%
28
38.5%
Q2 - 10:33ATLCrawford 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)29
66.1%
25
33.9%
Q2 - 11:01GSWEllis 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (George 1 AST)26
61.2%
25
38.8%
Q2 - 11:17ATLSmith 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)26
63.5%
23
36.5%
Q2 - 11:33GSWCurry 2' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)24
61.2%
23
38.8%
Q2 - 11:38ATLGeorge STEAL (1 STL)24
63.5%
21
36.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW24
66.0%
21
34.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
63.5%
21
36.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Crawford 5' Floating Jump Shot24
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)24
65.2%
21
34.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0GSWMISS Morrow 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
64.7%
21
35.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
63.4%
21
36.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup24
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
65.3%
21
34.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0GSWMISS George Free Throw 2 of 224
65.0%
21
35.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0GSWGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
63.6%
21
36.4%
Q1 - 1:00ATLCrawford 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)24
65.7%
20
34.3%
Q1 - 1:16GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
62.8%
20
37.2%
Q1 - 1:31ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
61.2%
20
38.8%
Q1 - 1:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
55.8%
20
44.2%
Q1 - 1:35GSWMISS Curry 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
55.3%
20
44.7%
Q1 - 1:51ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
54.2%
20
45.8%
Q1 - 1:51ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q1 - 2:12GSWCurry 15' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Biedrins 4 AST)17
51.5%
20
48.5%
Q1 - 2:32ATLWilliams 19' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)17
54.2%
18
45.8%
Q1 - 2:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
51.5%
18
48.5%
Q1 - 2:42GSWMISS Curry 3' Jump Shot15
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 3:01ATLSmith 2' Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
49.7%
18
50.3%
Q1 - 3:13ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 3:15GSWMISS Morrow 20' Jump Shot13
46.7%
18
53.3%
Q1 - 3:26GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 3:28ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot13
45.8%
18
54.2%
Q1 - 3:52GSWEllis 20' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 4:08ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
49.7%
16
50.3%
Q1 - 4:08ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 212
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 4:10GSWBiedrins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
49.9%
16
50.1%
Q1 - 4:21GSWTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 4:22GSWMISS Curry 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot12
49.2%
16
50.8%
Q1 - 4:35GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 4:36ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot12
48.2%
16
51.8%
Q1 - 4:54GSWCurry 21' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
49.9%
16
50.1%
Q1 - 5:05GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 5:06GSWMISS Tolliver 11' Jump Hook Shot12
53.5%
14
46.5%
Q1 - 5:30GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
51.9%
14
48.1%
Q1 - 5:31ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot12
52.6%
14
47.4%
Q1 - 5:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
54.2%
14
45.8%
Q1 - 5:39GSWMISS Curry 14' Jump Shot12
53.5%
14
46.5%
Q1 - 5:45ATLCurry STEAL (1 STL)12
51.9%
14
48.1%
Q1 - 5:55GSWEllis 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)12
54.2%
14
45.8%
Q1 - 6:07ATLJohnson 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
56.3%
12
43.7%
Q1 - 6:29GSWCurry Layup (4 PTS)10
54.3%
12
45.7%
Q1 - 6:35GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
56.3%
10
43.7%
Q1 - 6:36ATLMISS Bibby 21' Step Back Jump Shot10
57.0%
10
43.0%
Q1 - 6:45GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
58.5%
10
41.5%
Q1 - 6:45GSWBiedrins 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)10
58.5%
10
41.5%
Q1 - 6:47GSWMISS Ellis 5' Jump Shot10
61.9%
8
38.1%
Q1 - 7:00ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 7:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
56.4%
8
43.6%
Q1 - 7:02ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot7
55.0%
8
45.0%
Q1 - 7:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
56.5%
8
43.5%
Q1 - 7:19GSWMISS Morrow 20' Pullup Jump Shot7
55.9%
8
44.1%
Q1 - 7:38ATLJohnson 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)7
54.3%
8
45.7%
Q1 - 7:44GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)5
52.4%
8
47.6%
Q1 - 7:52ATLJohnson 15' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 8:08GSWMorrow 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Biedrins 3 AST)3
48.4%
8
51.6%
Q1 - 8:24ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)3
50.5%
6
49.5%
Q1 - 8:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
52.5%
6
47.5%
Q1 - 8:26ATLMISS Horford 11' Jump Hook Shot3
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 8:49GSWTolliver 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Biedrins 2 AST)3
52.5%
6
47.5%
Q1 - 9:05GSWTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 9:07ATLTolliver BLOCK (1 BLK)3
55.8%
4
44.2%
Q1 - 9:15GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)3
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 9:27ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 9:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
57.0%
4
43.0%
Q1 - 9:35GSWMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
56.5%
4
43.5%
Q1 - 9:46ATLJohnson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
55.1%
4
44.9%
Q1 - 10:07GSWCurry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Biedrins 1 AST)1
53.5%
4
46.5%
Q1 - 10:23GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 10:24ATLMISS Williams 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot1
55.7%
2
44.3%
Q1 - 10:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
57.2%
2
42.8%
Q1 - 10:37GSWMISS Tolliver 19' Jump Shot1
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 10:54ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 10:54ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 20
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 11:09GSWMorrow 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
55.5%
2
44.5%
Q1 - 11:17GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.2%
0
42.8%
Q1 - 11:18ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot0
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 11:44GSWTolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Biedrins vs. Smith: Tip to Ellis0
57.1%
0
42.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.04 52.0%
GSW
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
20
33
61%
GSW
23
31
74%
Midrange
ATL
15
40
38%
GSW
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
GSW
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
ATL
19
28
68%
GSW
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3165%15.5 / 24
A. Horford2665%13.0 / 20
J. Crawford1753%8.5 / 16
J. Smith1441%7.0 / 17
M. Williams956%4.5 / 8
M. Bibby321%1.5 / 7
J. Teague350%1.5 / 3
Z. Pachulia113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry3280%16.0 / 20
M. Ellis2654%13.0 / 24
C. Watson1568%7.5 / 11
C. Hunter1255%6.0 / 11
A. Morrow1038%5.0 / 13
D. George750%3.5 / 7
A. Biedrins467%2.0 / 3
A. Tolliver225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
82
+18
-14
100
GSW
84
+12
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.04 52.0%
GSW
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
107.9
ATL 108.3
GSW 111.3 +3.0
Pace
89.9
100.7
ATL 87.3
GSW 107.7 +20.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
13.5
ATL 16.5
GSW 13.4 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
51.4%
ATL 48.3%
GSW 55.4% +7.1%
TO %
12.7%
14.2%
ATL 12.2%
GSW 12.2%
ORB %
28.3%
21.1%
ATL 29.5% +6.4%
GSW 23.1%
FTrt
28.1
29.4
ATL 31.8 +6.8
GSW 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
55.2%
ATL 57.5% +10.8%
GSW 46.7%
STL %
8.0%
9.2%
ATL 9.4% +0.1%
GSW 9.3%
BLK %
7.9%
6.2%
ATL 6.9%
GSW 8.2% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.12 and 3.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
54.5%
ATL 52.0%
GSW 56.3% +4.3%
Rim FG%
60.8%
60.5%
ATL 60.6%
GSW 74.2% +13.6%
Mid FG%
40.6%
41.2%
ATL 37.5%
GSW 46.3% +8.8%
3P %
36.0%
37.5%
ATL 33.3% +8.3%
GSW 25.0%
FT %
75.9%
78.2%
ATL 67.9%
GSW 71.4% +3.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
34.3%
ATL 37.5% +0.6%
GSW 36.9%
Mid Att. %
43.1%
41.9%
ATL 45.5% +3.4%
GSW 48.8%
3P Att. %
21.4%
23.8%
ATL 17.0% +2.8%
GSW 14.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLGSW
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points104108
Rebounds4340
Assists2321
Steals99
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals40-8845-84
At-the-Rim FG20-3323-31
Midrange FG15-4019-41
2-Point FG35-7342-72
3-Point FG5-153-12
Free Throws19-2815-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
41.5
31
65%
5
3
2
0
3
3
0
5
5-5
100%
10-19
53%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
38.3
14
41%
17
7
2
2
4
5
5
12
2-7
29%
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 24
36.7
26
65%
11
2
2
0
3
3
5
6
6-7
86%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
29.9
9
56%
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
29.0
3
21%
2
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
35.9
17
53%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
3-9
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
12.7
1
13%
1
1
0
2
2
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
11.7
3
50%
0
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35
C · 6'11" 275 · 24
#34 · C · 7'0" 255 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
52%
43
23
9
5
14
0
13
30
19-28
68%
35-73
48%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.