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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bulls60%9895
29Wizards40%95101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
39.1
33.4
22
58%
5
6
1
1
0
4
2
3
6-7
86%
8-15
8-16
53%
50%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
34.6
32.4
6
43%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
32.5
33.4
11
45%
6
3
0
1
1
2
0
6
3-3
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
49%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
26.5
29.9
9
51%
8
0
1
1
0
1
3
5
3-4
75%
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.9
25.3
27.6
4
25%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
29.6
21.9
12
58%
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
2
2-3
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
26.3
22.5
16
68%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
2-3
67%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.0
12.3
13.2
6
51%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
8.4
8.2
4
100%
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
5.3
11.7
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
4.4
0
0-1
42%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.1
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.2
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
41.1
30.3
25
74%
11
2
2
1
2
3
4
7
9-9
100%
8-12
6-12
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.4
37.3
25.3
16
56%
1
9
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
7-10
3-7
70%
45%
0-3
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.0
33.5
30.1
8
57%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
2-5
40%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.1
22.1
20.8
5
51%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.8
7.6
25.5
7
66%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.2
29.7
26.0
17
50%
7
0
1
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
7-16
4-8
44%
46%
1-1
100%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
27.7
17.5
9
41%
12
0
0
1
3
3
4
8
1-2
50%
4-9
2-3
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.8
18.5
7.5
8
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
41%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.7
10.8
21.6
4
40%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
7.7
12.4
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.9
3.9
10.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.7
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.