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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Pacers19%9382
6Mavericks81%10591
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.8
36.9
31.4
10
33%
11
3
1
1
0
2
0
11
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
50%
0-6
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.7
28.3
29.1
7
29%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
1-6
17%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
26.6
25.0
6
27%
6
3
0
1
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.4
26.3
22.2
8
40%
6
2
1
1
2
1
0
6
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.2
22.6
27.3
8
62%
4
1
0
0
2
3
1
3
0-1
0%
4-6
5-10
67%
49%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.9
20.8
21.4
14
47%
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
8-9
89%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
20.4
15.0
6
52%
3
3
1
0
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
20.3
11.1
5
51%
4
1
0
0
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.0
16.2
3.2
7
60%
5
3
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
13.7
12.6
3
52%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.4
8.1
6.0
8
74%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.0
4.2
0
0-0
41%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.8
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.3
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.2
33.4
31.7
13
58%
20
0
0
1
3
1
2
18
7-12
58%
3-5
4-7
60%
54%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
31.8
37.2
23
64%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
9-9
100%
7-13
9-17
54%
51%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
30.3
36.7
8
34%
5
3
2
2
1
4
0
5
2-4
50%
3-10
6-13
30%
48%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.8
30.0
31.2
8
36%
6
3
1
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-11
5-9
36%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.9
27.6
37.1
10
56%
3
7
0
2
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.4
23.3
30.6
14
60%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
1-1
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.9
22.9
1.9
7
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
40%
1-2
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.0
17.8
3.3
6
34%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
0-1
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
15.1
11.0
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
5.0
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.5
2.9
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.6
11.6
0
1-2
63%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.