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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bobcats59%9494
26Clippers41%9198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
48.0
40.6
32
73%
12
5
4
2
0
0
3
9
10-11
91%
8-13
5-10
62%
52%
2-4
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.7
40.8
30.0
7
44%
1
9
4
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.9
39.1
39.1
7
18%
6
5
4
2
2
5
1
5
5-7
71%
1-11
6-13
9%
47%
0-5
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
37.9
37.7
20
70%
9
9
0
1
0
5
4
5
3-3
100%
7-8
4-7
88%
53%
1-5
20%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.9
30.9
11.5
10
68%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-3
0%
5-6
1-2
83%
49%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
25.2
26.4
10
56%
4
0
2
1
3
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.3
16.0
19.9
4
23%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
1-5
20%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.5
2.1
3.2
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.5
13.9
0
2-5
53%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
8.3
0
1-2
49%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.4
7.5
0
1-1
58%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
1.9
0
0-0
45%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.1
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.2
39.0
36.2
11
50%
2
5
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
52%
3-8
38%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
37.5
36.7
20
62%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
4-5
80%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
4-8
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.9
36.2
12.5
10
51%
5
10
2
1
3
3
1
4
4-4
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.8
31.8
33.1
18
54%
13
2
0
1
0
4
3
10
4-6
67%
7-14
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
16.8
25.3
9
65%
5
0
1
0
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
59%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
27.8
9.0
10
51%
9
0
1
0
0
5
5
4
2-2
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
45%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.3
19.4
19.9
7
45%
7
2
2
0
0
1
4
3
1-4
25%
3-6
4-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.4
15.9
4.8
10
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
2-3
67%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.0
15.7
29.9
3
52%
3
7
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
11.7
0
1-3
41%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.7
11.4
0
1-1
51%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.4
10.7
0
1-3
44%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.8
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.