Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	23	Pistons	48%	96	101
	27	Kings	52%	97	89

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
DET	116.1	87	81.8
SAC	103.5	86	91.8

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+10

-12

SAC

+12

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.17 58.7%

SAC

1.02 51.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	DET	SAC
Q4 - 0:00.0	DET		101 100%	89 0%
Q4 - 0:23.0	DET	Bynum Layup (2 PTS)	101 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0	SAC	Evans Driving Layup (28 PTS)	99 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	99 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0	DET	MISS Wilcox 13' Jump Shot	99 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:08	DET	Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	99 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:09	SAC	MISS Casspi 5' Jump Shot	99 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:10	SAC	Casspi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	99 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:12	SAC	MISS Casspi 10' Jump Shot	99 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:26	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	99 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:27	DET	MISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2	99 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:27	DET	Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	99 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 2:01	SAC	Landry Dunk (16 PTS) (Evans 13 AST)	98 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 2:12	DET	Prince 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)	98 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 2:39	SAC	Landry 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Garcia 2 AST)	96 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 2:54	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 3 of 3 (30 PTS)	96 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:54	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 3 (29 PTS)	95 99.8%	81 0.2%
Q4 - 2:54	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 3 (28 PTS)	94 99.8%	81 0.2%
Q4 - 3:14	SAC	Garcia Layup (6 PTS) (Evans 12 AST)	93 99.7%	81 0.3%
Q4 - 3:19	DET	Evans STEAL (2 STL)	93 99.8%	79 0.2%
Q4 - 3:41	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	93 99.6%	79 0.4%
Q4 - 3:42	SAC	MISS Casspi 24' 3PT Jump Shot	93 99.6%	79 0.4%
Q4 - 3:56	DET	Wallace Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)	93 99.5%	79 0.5%
Q4 - 4:21	SAC	Evans Driving Reverse Layup (26 PTS)	93 99.7%	79 0.3%
Q4 - 4:40	DET	Hamilton 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Stuckey 7 AST)	93 99.8%	77 0.2%
Q4 - 4:58	DET	Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	91 99.7%	77 0.3%
Q4 - 4:59	SAC	MISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 2	91 99.7%	77 0.3%
Q4 - 4:59	SAC	MISS Dorsey Free Throw 1 of 2	91 99.6%	77 0.4%
Q4 - 4:59	SAC	Dorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	91 99.5%	77 0.5%
Q4 - 5:00	SAC	MISS Casspi 7' Jump Shot	91 99.6%	77 0.4%
Q4 - 5:07	SAC	Casspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	91 99.0%	77 1.0%
Q4 - 5:07	DET	MISS Hamilton 22' Jump Shot	91 99.1%	77 0.9%
Q4 - 5:36	SAC	Evans Driving Layup (24 PTS)	91 99.3%	77 0.7%
Q4 - 5:41	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	91 99.5%	75 0.5%
Q4 - 5:42	DET	MISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot	91 99.6%	75 0.4%
Q4 - 6:02	SAC	Landry Dunk (12 PTS) (Evans 11 AST)	91 99.4%	75 0.6%
Q4 - 6:08	SAC	Casspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	91 99.5%	73 0.5%
Q4 - 6:09	DET	MISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot	91 99.6%	73 0.4%
Q4 - 6:28	SAC	Garcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	91 99.7%	73 0.3%
Q4 - 6:28	SAC	Garcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	91 99.7%	72 0.3%
Q4 - 6:29	DET	Garcia STEAL (1 STL)	91 99.7%	71 0.3%
Q4 - 6:40	SAC	Landry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	91 99.8%	71 0.2%
Q4 - 6:40	SAC	Landry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	91 99.8%	70 0.2%
Q4 - 6:50	SAC	Garcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	91 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 6:52	DET	MISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot	91 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 7:05	SAC	Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	91 99.8%	69 0.2%
Q4 - 7:05	SAC	MISS Dorsey Free Throw 1 of 2	91 99.8%	68 0.2%
Q4 - 7:19	DET	Gordon 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)	91 99.8%	68 0.2%
Q4 - 7:38	SAC	Landry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)	89 99.8%	68 0.2%
Q4 - 8:00	DET	Gordon 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	89 99.7%	68 0.3%
Q4 - 8:33	SAC	Garcia Layup (2 PTS) (Evans 10 AST)	87 99.4%	68 0.6%
Q4 - 8:40	DET	Prince 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)	87 99.5%	66 0.5%
Q4 - 9:06	SAC	Evans 3' Jump Shot (22 PTS)	85 99.1%	66 0.9%
Q4 - 9:19	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	85 99.3%	64 0.7%
Q4 - 9:21	SAC	MISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot	85 99.4%	64 0.6%
Q4 - 9:30	SAC	KINGS Rebound	85 99.3%	64 0.7%
Q4 - 9:30	SAC	MISS Dorsey 6' Jump Hook Shot	85 99.4%	64 0.6%
Q4 - 9:46	DET	Stuckey 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)	85 99.3%	64 0.7%
Q4 - 10:08	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	83 98.9%	64 1.1%
Q4 - 10:08	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	83 98.9%	63 1.1%
Q4 - 10:21	SAC	Dorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	83 99.1%	62 0.9%
Q4 - 10:22	DET	MISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot	83 99.2%	62 0.8%
Q4 - 10:31	DET	Daye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	83 99.3%	62 0.7%
Q4 - 10:33	SAC	MISS Casspi Layup	83 99.2%	62 0.8%
Q4 - 10:38	DET	Dorsey STEAL (1 STL)	83 99.1%	62 0.9%
Q4 - 10:50	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	83 99.3%	62 0.7%
Q4 - 10:50	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	83 99.3%	61 0.7%
Q4 - 11:05	SAC	Casspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	83 99.2%	60 0.8%
Q4 - 11:06	DET	MISS Bynum 3PT Jump Shot	83 99.3%	60 0.7%
Q4 - 11:31	SAC	Dorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	83 99.4%	60 0.6%
Q4 - 11:31	SAC	Dorsey Putback Dunk (2 PTS)	83 99.4%	60 0.6%
Q4 - 11:34	SAC	MISS Casspi 5' Jump Shot	83 99.6%	58 0.4%
Q4 - 11:45	DET	Villanueva Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)	83 99.5%	58 0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET		83 99.6%	58 0.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0	SAC	Casspi 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Evans 9 AST)	83 99.5%	58 0.5%
Q3 - 0:14.0	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	83 99.7%	55 0.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0	DET	MISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot	83 99.7%	55 0.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0	SAC	Udrih Layup (9 PTS) (Evans 8 AST)	83 99.7%	55 0.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	83 99.8%	53 0.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0	DET	MISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot	83 99.8%	53 0.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0	DET	Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	83 99.8%	53 0.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0	SAC	MISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot	83 99.8%	53 0.2%
Q3 - 1:00	DET	Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)	83 99.8%	53 0.2%
Q3 - 1:16	SAC	Thompson Dunk (7 PTS) (Evans 7 AST)	80 99.6%	53 0.4%
Q3 - 1:30	DET	Hamilton 13' Jump Shot (25 PTS)	80 99.7%	51 0.3%
Q3 - 1:46	SAC	Thompson Foul Turnover (P1.T12)	78 99.6%	51 0.4%
Q3 - 2:03	SAC	May REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	78 99.3%	51 0.7%
Q3 - 2:05	SAC	MISS Evans 6' Jump Shot	78 99.4%	51 0.6%
Q3 - 2:21	DET	Maxiell 9' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)	78 99.3%	51 0.7%
Q3 - 2:39	DET	Jerebko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	76 99.2%	51 0.8%
Q3 - 2:40	SAC	MISS Evans 20' Jump Shot	76 99.2%	51 0.8%
Q3 - 3:08	DET	Prince 9' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)	76 98.8%	51 1.2%
Q3 - 3:34	SAC	Evans Driving Layup (16 PTS)	74 98.6%	51 1.4%
Q3 - 3:39	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	74 98.9%	49 1.1%
Q3 - 3:39	DET	MISS Prince 12' Jump Shot	74 98.9%	49 1.1%
Q3 - 4:02	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	74 98.9%	49 1.1%
Q3 - 4:03	SAC	MISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot	74 98.8%	49 1.2%
Q3 - 4:23	DET	Jerebko 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)	74 98.7%	49 1.3%
Q3 - 4:44	SAC	Udrih 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Evans 6 AST)	72 98.5%	49 1.5%
Q3 - 5:06	DET	Hamilton 16' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)	72 98.6%	46 1.4%
Q3 - 5:31	SAC	Udoka Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	70 98.4%	46 1.6%
Q3 - 5:44	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	70 98.1%	46 1.9%
Q3 - 5:45	DET	MISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot	70 98.2%	46 1.8%
Q3 - 5:49	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	70 98.5%	46 1.5%
Q3 - 5:50	DET	MISS Jerebko 11' Fadeaway Jumper	70 98.2%	46 1.8%
Q3 - 5:52	DET	Jerebko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	70 98.5%	46 1.5%
Q3 - 5:53	DET	MISS Stuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot	70 98.2%	46 1.8%
Q3 - 6:13	SAC	Evans Dunk (14 PTS)	70 98.2%	46 1.8%
Q3 - 6:17	DET	Udrih STEAL (1 STL)	70 98.4%	44 1.6%
Q3 - 6:33	SAC	Evans Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	70 98.7%	44 1.3%
Q3 - 6:56	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	70 98.4%	44 1.6%
Q3 - 6:56	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	69 98.4%	44 1.6%
Q3 - 7:07	DET	Pistons Rebound	68 97.8%	44 2.2%
Q3 - 7:07	SAC	MISS Evans 16' Jump Shot	68 97.7%	44 2.3%
Q3 - 7:36	DET	Wallace 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)	68 97.4%	44 2.6%
Q3 - 8:00	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	66 97.1%	44 2.9%
Q3 - 8:01	SAC	MISS Evans 20' Jump Shot	66 96.6%	44 3.4%
Q3 - 8:21	DET	Hamilton 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)	66 96.3%	44 3.7%
Q3 - 8:36	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	64 95.7%	44 4.3%
Q3 - 8:36	SAC	MISS Landry 16' Jump Shot	64 95.5%	44 4.5%
Q3 - 8:52	DET	Prince 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)	64 95.0%	44 5.0%
Q3 - 9:16	SAC	Thompson 6' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)	62 93.9%	44 6.1%
Q3 - 9:27	SAC	Casspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	62 94.7%	42 5.3%
Q3 - 9:28	DET	MISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot	62 94.9%	42 5.1%
Q3 - 9:42	SAC	Udoka Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	62 95.4%	42 4.6%
Q3 - 9:59	DET	Prince 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	62 94.7%	42 5.3%
Q3 - 10:18	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	60 93.4%	42 6.6%
Q3 - 10:20	SAC	MISS Greene 8' Jump Shot	60 93.1%	42 6.9%
Q3 - 10:32	DET	Hamilton 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	60 92.5%	42 7.5%
Q3 - 10:37	SAC	Greene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	58 91.4%	42 8.6%
Q3 - 10:59	DET	Hamilton 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)	58 90.2%	42 9.8%
Q3 - 11:06	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	56 88.3%	42 11.7%
Q3 - 11:09	SAC	MISS Casspi 24' 3PT Jump Shot	56 87.8%	42 12.2%
Q3 - 11:36	DET	Hamilton 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)	56 86.8%	42 13.2%
Q3 - 11:42	SAC	Landry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	54 85.2%	42 14.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC		54 83.2%	42 16.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DET	Stuckey Driving Layup (10 PTS)	54 83.2%	42 16.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0	SAC	KINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)	52 80.2%	42 19.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0	DET	Villanueva 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	52 78.6%	42 21.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0	DET	Pistons Rebound	50 75.7%	42 24.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0	SAC	MISS Greene 24' 3PT Jump Shot	50 75.1%	42 24.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	50 73.7%	42 26.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0	DET	MISS Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 2	50 74.0%	42 26.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0	DET	MISS Wilcox Free Throw 1 of 2	50 75.4%	42 24.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0	DET	Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	50 75.8%	42 24.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0	DET	MISS Stuckey Layup	50 74.4%	42 25.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	50 75.8%	42 24.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0	DET	Thompson BLOCK (4 BLK)	50 74.4%	42 25.6%
Q2 - 1:02	DET	Pistons Rebound	50 75.3%	42 24.7%
Q2 - 1:02	DET	Thompson BLOCK (3 BLK)	50 74.0%	42 26.0%
Q2 - 1:18	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	50 75.3%	42 24.7%
Q2 - 1:18	SAC	MISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 2	50 75.8%	41 24.2%
Q2 - 1:26	DET	Stuckey Foul Turnover (P3.T6)	50 75.9%	41 24.1%
Q2 - 1:33	DET	Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	50 77.6%	41 22.4%
Q2 - 1:34	SAC	MISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot	50 77.1%	41 22.9%
Q2 - 1:56	SAC	Greene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	50 75.9%	41 24.1%
Q2 - 1:57	DET	MISS Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 2	50 76.2%	41 23.8%
Q2 - 1:57	DET	MISS Wilcox Free Throw 1 of 2	50 77.5%	41 22.5%
Q2 - 2:04	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	50 77.4%	41 22.6%
Q2 - 2:05	SAC	MISS Greene 15' Jump Shot	50 76.6%	41 23.4%
Q2 - 2:25	DET	Hamilton 7' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)	50 75.0%	41 25.0%
Q2 - 2:37	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	48 72.6%	41 27.4%
Q2 - 2:38	SAC	MISS Udoka 5' Jump Shot	48 71.8%	41 28.2%
Q2 - 2:52	DET	Gordon 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	48 69.9%	41 30.1%
Q2 - 3:06	SAC	Landry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	46 67.1%	41 32.9%
Q2 - 3:06	SAC	Landry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	46 67.6%	40 32.4%
Q2 - 3:06	SAC	Landry Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)	46 69.3%	39 30.7%
Q2 - 3:21	DET	Wilcox Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	46 71.9%	38 28.1%
Q2 - 3:31	SAC	Thompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	46 74.9%	38 25.1%
Q2 - 3:31	SAC	MISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 2	46 75.4%	37 24.6%
Q2 - 3:31	SAC	KINGS Rebound	46 74.4%	37 25.6%
Q2 - 3:32	DET	MISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot	46 75.3%	37 24.7%
Q2 - 3:51	DET	Pistons Rebound	46 77.2%	37 22.8%
Q2 - 3:51	SAC	MISS Udoka 18' Jump Shot	46 76.3%	37 23.7%
Q2 - 4:05	DET	Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	46 73.8%	37 26.2%
Q2 - 4:05	DET	Villanueva Putback Dunk (6 PTS)	46 73.8%	37 26.2%
Q2 - 4:07	DET	MISS Prince Layup	44 69.7%	37 30.3%
Q2 - 4:13	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 71.6%	37 28.4%
Q2 - 4:14	SAC	MISS Evans 2' Layup	44 70.8%	37 29.2%
Q2 - 4:22	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	44 68.9%	37 31.1%
Q2 - 4:23	DET	MISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot	44 69.7%	37 30.3%
Q2 - 4:47	DET	Wilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 71.7%	37 28.3%
Q2 - 4:48	SAC	MISS Udrih 20' Jump Shot	44 70.9%	37 29.1%
Q2 - 5:05	DET	Stuckey 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	44 68.8%	37 31.2%
Q2 - 5:17	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	42 66.1%	37 33.9%
Q2 - 5:18	SAC	MISS Landry 17' Jump Shot	42 65.3%	37 34.7%
Q2 - 5:41	DET	Gordon 10' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)	42 63.4%	37 36.6%
Q2 - 5:58	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	40 60.5%	37 39.5%
Q2 - 5:59	SAC	MISS Udrih 19' Jump Shot	40 59.7%	37 40.3%
Q2 - 6:23	DET	Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)	40 57.0%	37 43.0%
Q2 - 6:38	DET	Villanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	37 51.8%	37 48.2%
Q2 - 6:39	SAC	MISS Nocioni 6' Jump Hook Shot	37 50.8%	37 49.2%
Q2 - 6:52	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	37 48.4%	37 51.6%
Q2 - 6:53	DET	MISS Prince 14' Jump Shot	37 49.4%	37 50.6%
Q2 - 7:19	SAC	Thompson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garcia 1 AST)	37 51.6%	37 48.4%
Q2 - 7:39	DET	Stuckey 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)	37 54.3%	35 45.7%
Q2 - 8:00	DET	Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 51.6%	35 48.4%
Q2 - 8:02	SAC	MISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35 50.5%	35 49.5%
Q2 - 8:10	SAC	Nocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	35 48.6%	35 51.4%
Q2 - 8:11	SAC	MISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot	35 50.5%	35 49.5%
Q2 - 8:32	DET	Prince 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	35 48.6%	35 51.4%
Q2 - 9:03	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	33 45.8%	35 54.2%
Q2 - 9:03	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	33 46.2%	34 53.8%
Q2 - 9:12	SAC	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	33 48.3%	33 51.7%
Q2 - 9:14	DET	MISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 2	33 48.7%	33 51.3%
Q2 - 9:14	DET	Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	33 50.6%	33 49.4%
Q2 - 9:34	SAC	Udrih 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	32 48.5%	33 51.5%
Q2 - 9:52	DET	Villanueva Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	32 51.0%	31 49.0%
Q2 - 10:01	DET	Wilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	32 53.7%	31 46.3%
Q2 - 10:02	SAC	MISS Nocioni Reverse Layup	32 52.9%	31 47.1%
Q2 - 10:21	DET	Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)	32 50.9%	31 49.1%
Q2 - 10:36	SAC	May 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 5 AST)	29 45.9%	31 54.1%
Q2 - 10:52	SAC	KINGS Rebound	29 48.3%	29 51.7%
Q2 - 10:52	SAC	MISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot	29 50.3%	29 49.7%
Q2 - 11:15	SAC	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 48.3%	29 51.7%
Q2 - 11:15	DET	MISS Bynum 9' Jump Shot	29 49.1%	29 50.9%
Q2 - 11:38	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)	29 50.9%	29 49.1%
Q2 - 11:44	SAC	KINGS Rebound	29 55.9%	26 44.1%
Q2 - 11:44	SAC	MISS Nocioni Layup	29 57.7%	26 42.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DET		29 55.9%	26 44.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC	Nocioni 3' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Evans 4 AST)	29 58.5%	26 41.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	29 60.5%	24 39.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0	DET	MISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot	29 61.1%	24 38.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0	SAC	Udoka 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)	29 62.4%	24 37.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 67.4%	21 32.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0	DET	MISS Gordon Driving Layup	29 67.9%	21 32.1%
Q1 - 1:14	SAC	Udoka Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	29 68.4%	21 31.6%
Q1 - 1:14	SAC	MISS Udoka Free Throw 1 of 2	29 68.9%	20 31.1%
Q1 - 1:15	DET	May STEAL (1 STL)	29 69.0%	20 31.0%
Q1 - 1:24	DET	Maxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 70.4%	20 29.6%
Q1 - 1:26	SAC	MISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 2	29 70.2%	20 29.8%
Q1 - 1:26	SAC	MISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 2	29 68.8%	20 31.2%
Q1 - 1:30	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 69.0%	20 31.0%
Q1 - 1:32	DET	MISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot	29 69.5%	20 30.5%
Q1 - 1:42	SAC	Evans Driving Layup (8 PTS)	29 70.4%	20 29.6%
Q1 - 2:03	DET	Jerebko 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	29 72.5%	18 27.5%
Q1 - 2:05	DET	Jerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	27 70.3%	18 29.7%
Q1 - 2:06	DET	MISS Jerebko 8' Jump Shot	27 69.1%	18 30.9%
Q1 - 2:35	SAC	Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)	27 70.3%	18 29.7%
Q1 - 3:00	DET	Hamilton 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	27 74.3%	15 25.7%
Q1 - 3:18	SAC	Evans Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)	25 72.2%	15 27.8%
Q1 - 3:25	SAC	KINGS Rebound	25 73.9%	13 26.1%
Q1 - 3:25	SAC	MISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot	25 75.2%	13 24.8%
Q1 - 3:36	SAC	Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 74.0%	13 26.0%
Q1 - 3:38	DET	MISS Hamilton 12' Running Jump Shot	25 74.5%	13 25.5%
Q1 - 3:57	SAC	Udoka Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McGuire 1 AST)	25 75.7%	13 24.3%
Q1 - 4:18	DET	Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)	25 76.4%	11 23.6%
Q1 - 4:38	SAC	May Inbound Turnover (P1.T5)	22 73.2%	11 26.8%
Q1 - 4:40	DET	Prince 7' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)	22 71.3%	11 28.7%
Q1 - 4:47	SAC	McGuire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	20 69.6%	11 30.4%
Q1 - 5:04	DET	Hamilton 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)	20 66.7%	11 33.3%
Q1 - 5:10	DET	Pistons Rebound	18 65.0%	11 35.0%
Q1 - 5:12	DET	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 1	18 63.1%	11 36.9%
Q1 - 5:25	SAC	Landry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	16 61.0%	11 39.0%
Q1 - 5:26	DET	Evans STEAL (1 STL)	16 64.8%	8 35.2%
Q1 - 5:29	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 66.9%	8 33.1%
Q1 - 5:30	SAC	MISS McGuire 5' Jump Shot	16 66.3%	8 33.7%
Q1 - 5:32	SAC	McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 64.8%	8 35.2%
Q1 - 5:34	SAC	MISS Thompson 9' Jump Shot	16 66.3%	8 33.7%
Q1 - 5:45	SAC	Greene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 64.8%	8 35.2%
Q1 - 5:46	DET	MISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot	16 65.5%	8 34.5%
Q1 - 6:08	DET	Pistons Rebound	16 66.5%	8 33.5%
Q1 - 6:09	SAC	MISS Thompson 18' Jump Shot	16 65.9%	8 34.1%
Q1 - 6:30	DET	Stuckey 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	16 64.5%	8 35.5%
Q1 - 6:38	SAC	Greene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	14 62.6%	8 37.4%
Q1 - 6:56	DET	Prince Layup (8 PTS)	14 60.6%	8 39.4%
Q1 - 7:19	SAC	Evans 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	12 58.4%	8 41.6%
Q1 - 7:38	DET	Stuckey Driving Layup (2 PTS)	12 60.3%	6 39.7%
Q1 - 7:45	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 58.4%	6 41.6%
Q1 - 7:46	SAC	MISS Thompson 5' Jump Shot	10 57.8%	6 42.2%
Q1 - 8:04	DET	Hamilton Layup (2 PTS)	10 56.3%	6 43.7%
Q1 - 8:04	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	8 54.3%	6 45.7%
Q1 - 8:06	DET	Thompson BLOCK (2 BLK)	8 52.9%	6 47.1%
Q1 - 8:12	SAC	Evans Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	8 54.3%	6 45.7%
Q1 - 8:31	DET	Jerebko 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	8 52.2%	6 47.8%
Q1 - 8:33	DET	Jerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	6 50.1%	6 49.9%
Q1 - 8:34	DET	Thompson BLOCK (1 BLK)	6 48.7%	6 51.3%
Q1 - 8:55	SAC	Evans Layup (2 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)	6 50.2%	6 49.8%
Q1 - 8:57	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	6 52.2%	4 47.8%
Q1 - 8:58	SAC	MISS Evans Driving Layup	6 53.6%	4 46.4%
Q1 - 9:06	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 52.5%	4 47.5%
Q1 - 9:08	DET	MISS Prince 13' Fadeaway Jumper	6 53.1%	4 46.9%
Q1 - 9:35	SAC	Casspi 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)	6 54.4%	4 45.6%
Q1 - 9:42	DET	Greene STEAL (1 STL)	6 56.5%	2 43.5%
Q1 - 9:46	DET	Jerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 58.3%	2 41.7%
Q1 - 9:47	SAC	MISS Greene 16' Jump Shot	6 57.8%	2 42.2%
Q1 - 9:58	SAC	Greene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 56.5%	2 43.5%
Q1 - 9:59	DET	MISS Stuckey 17' Pullup Jump Shot	6 57.0%	2 43.0%
Q1 - 10:04	DET	Jerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 57.8%	2 42.2%
Q1 - 10:05	SAC	MISS Thompson 6' Jump Shot	6 57.2%	2 42.8%
Q1 - 10:23	DET	Prince 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	6 55.8%	2 44.2%
Q1 - 10:45	SAC	Landry Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	4 54.1%	2 45.9%
Q1 - 11:06	DET	Prince 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	4 51.7%	2 48.3%
Q1 - 11:23	SAC	Landry Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	2 50.0%	2 50.0%
Q1 - 11:41	DET	Prince Driving Layup (2 PTS)	2 51.7%	0 48.3%
Q1 - 12:00	SAC	Jump Ball Thompson vs. Wallace: Tip to	0 50.0%	0 50.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.17 58.7%

SAC

1.02 51.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

60%

SAC

62%

Midrange

DET

63%

SAC

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

6.0

36%

55%

SAC

6.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

DET

50%

SAC

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton	30	68%	15.0 / 22
T. Prince	22	65%	11.0 / 17
R. Stuckey	13	54%	6.5 / 12
C. Villanueva	11	79%	5.5 / 7
B. Gordon	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Jerebko	6	43%	3.0 / 7
B. Wallace	4	100%	2.0 / 2
W. Bynum	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Maxiell	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Wilcox	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Evans	28	61%	14.0 / 23
C. Landry	18	90%	9.0 / 10
B. Udrih	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Thompson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
I. Udoka	6	50%	3.0 / 6
F. Garcia	6	60%	3.0 / 5
O. Casspi	5	28%	2.5 / 9
A. Nocioni	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Dorsey	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. May	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Greene	0	-	0.0 / 4
D. McGuire	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+10

-12

SAC

+12

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.17 58.7%

SAC

1.02 51.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.4 105.8	DET 116.1 +12.6 SAC 103.5
Pace	88.8 93.6	DET 81.8 SAC 91.8 +10.0
Avg. Poss. Time	16.7 15.2	DET 17.6 SAC 15.7 +1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.4% 49.1%	DET 61.0% +13.8% SAC 47.2%
TO %	14.2% 15.0%	DET 12.6% +0.7% SAC 13.3%
ORB %	30.4% 27.9%	DET 23.5% SAC 23.5%
FTrt	30.3 28.6	DET 18.2 SAC 40.3 +22.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	54.1% 53.4%	DET 35.6% SAC 56.3% +20.7%
STL %	8.2% 7.2%	DET 6.9% SAC 8.1% +1.2%
BLK %	6.7% 6.7%	DET 6.8% +0.7% SAC 6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	49.9% 51.5%	DET 58.7% +7.6% SAC 51.1%
Rim FG%	57.1% 58.3%	DET 60.0% SAC 61.5% +1.5%
Mid FG%	40.5% 39.4%	DET 62.7% +26.3% SAC 36.4%
3P %	31.4% 34.9%	DET 36.4% +5.6% SAC 30.8%
FT %	72.8% 72.7%	DET 50.0% SAC 72.4% +22.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	34.1% 37.7%	DET 19.5% SAC 36.1% +16.6%
Mid Att. %	47.9% 42.2%	DET 66.2% SAC 45.8% +20.4%
3P Att. %	18.0% 20.1%	DET 14.3% SAC 18.1% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DET	SAC
Possessions	87	86
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	101	89
Rebounds	34	34
Assists	16	18
Steals	6	7
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (4)	26 (1)
Field Goals	45-77	32-72
At-the-Rim FG	9-15	16-26
Midrange FG	32-51	12-33
2-Point FG	41-66	28-59
3-Point FG	4-11	4-13
Free Throws	7-14	21-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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23 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 30	36.3	22	65%	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	11-15	73%	0-2	0%
Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 24	35.6	13	54%	8	7	0	0	4	2	1	7	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Richard Hamilton G · 6'7" 193 · 32	32.9	30	68%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	5-5	100%	11-19	58%	1-1	100%
Ben Wallace C · 6'9" 240 · 35	22.3	4	100%	3	2	2	0	2	2	0	3	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 23	21.7	6	43%	6	0	1	0	0	1	3	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 26	26.3	11	79%	5	1	1	3	2	2	1	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Ben Gordon G · 6'3" 205 · 27	22.4	11	79%	1	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 27	13.7	2	25%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 27	13.4	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chris Wilcox F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27	12.3	0	0%	4	0	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-4	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 22	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kwame Brown C · 6'11" 290 · 28
DaJuan Summers #35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chucky Atkins #17 · G · 5'11" 185 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	59%	34	16	6	4	12	0	8	26	7-14	50%	41-66	62%	4-11	36%

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23 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 30	36.3	22	65%	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	11-15	73%	0-2	0%
Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 24	35.6	13	54%	8	7	0	0	4	2	1	7	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Richard Hamilton G · 6'7" 193 · 32	32.9	30	68%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	5-5	100%	11-19	58%	1-1	100%
Ben Wallace C · 6'9" 240 · 35	22.3	4	100%	3	2	2	0	2	2	0	3	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 23	21.7	6	43%	6	0	1	0	0	1	3	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 26	26.3	11	79%	5	1	1	3	2	2	1	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Ben Gordon G · 6'3" 205 · 27	22.4	11	79%	1	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 27	13.7	2	25%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 27	13.4	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chris Wilcox F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27	12.3	0	0%	4	0	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-4	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 22	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kwame Brown C · 6'11" 290 · 28
DaJuan Summers #35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chucky Atkins #17 · G · 5'11" 185 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	59%	34	16	6	4	12	0	8	26	7-14	50%	41-66	62%	4-11	36%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyreke Evans G · 6'6" 220 · 20	43.6	28	61%	3	13	2	0	2	4	0	3	6-9	67%	11-17	65%	0-2	0%
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 26	31.1	18	90%	3	0	0	0	3	3	1	2	8-8	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jason Thompson C · 6'11" 250 · 24	27.8	7	44%	8	1	0	4	1	3	1	7	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 22	26.1	5	28%	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Donte Greene G · 6'11" 226 · 22	13.4	0	0%	3	0	1	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33	20.6	6	50%	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 28	20.4	9	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28	16.4	6	60%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Andres Nocioni · 6'7" 225 · 30	13.4	5	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 26	12.0	3	38%	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	1-4	25%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Sean May C-F · 6'9" 266 · 26	11.6	2	100%	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dominic McGuire F · 6'9" 235 · 24	3.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Larry Hughes G · 6'5" 185 · 31
Jon Brockman #40 · F · 6'7" 255 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Spencer Hawes #31 · F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	51%	34	18	7	4	12	0	8	26	21-29	72%	28-59	47%	4-13	31%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE