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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 24, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pacers40%97110
22Bulls60%100120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.9
36.6
37.4
20
60%
7
5
3
1
1
1
1
6
6-6
100%
1-6
5-12
17%
47%
4-8
50%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
34.9
25.4
21
59%
7
0
0
1
2
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
45%
5-9
56%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.8
30.5
33.0
13
53%
6
0
0
1
0
3
2
4
3-3
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.7
28.9
28.2
4
33%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.2
22.9
25.1
8
68%
6
1
2
0
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
49%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.9
27.8
20.9
14
52%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
48%
1-1
100%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
23.8
13.1
13
57%
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
6
9-10
90%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
20.6
17.1
15
73%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
3-4
75%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.4
6.0
7.6
0
0%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
5.5
14.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.0
2.5
8.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.0
3.1
0
0-0
44%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.4
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.3
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
43.1
32.8
31
65%
9
3
0
1
4
3
3
6
10-11
91%
9-15
6-12
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
39.1
34.9
23
55%
9
8
1
1
1
4
0
9
3-4
75%
10-19
9-17
53%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
35.4
33.0
14
83%
3
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-1
0%
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
2-3
67%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
25.6
28.2
14
59%
11
3
0
1
3
1
7
4
2-2
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.9
23.4
26.4
8
80%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
2-2
100%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
32.9
23.6
16
49%
6
0
3
1
1
3
1
5
8-10
80%
4-11
3-6
36%
46%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
15.3
24.4
5
48%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
1-3
5-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
13.4
9.4
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.0
6.9
13.6
5
51%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
4.9
8.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.1
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.3
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.