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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 24, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Thunder29%9287
6Spurs71%10095
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
41.0
22.5
12
68%
13
1
1
1
1
0
3
10
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
40.5
37.3
19
55%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
7-13
4-9
54%
48%
1-3
33%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.4
39.9
39.4
21
49%
12
3
2
1
2
2
0
12
6-6
100%
6-14
8-16
43%
49%
1-5
20%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
39.0
37.3
17
34%
6
7
1
1
0
4
3
3
5-9
56%
6-18
6-15
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.6
29.1
17.9
8
35%
8
0
0
0
2
0
2
6
2-3
67%
3-10
3-6
30%
48%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.5
27.0
25.3
8
57%
7
0
2
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
2-4
50%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
17.6
13.4
2
41%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.0
6.0
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Antonio Anderson
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
11.1
0
1-2
44%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.9
3.8
0
0-1
51%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
2.7
0
0-0
40%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.4
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.8
33.6
34.2
16
62%
5
3
1
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
49%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.8
31.9
32.9
19
65%
15
6
1
1
1
2
2
13
7-8
88%
6-11
8-15
55%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.8
25.9
31.3
4
31%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-1
0%
2-6
6-12
33%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.8
23.6
25.9
9
65%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
16.8
22.6
0
0%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.6
33.5
31.5
26
60%
9
4
2
2
1
1
3
6
7-8
88%
8-14
4-8
57%
49%
1-4
25%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.7
31.6
25.9
9
40%
9
0
0
1
0
1
0
9
3-5
60%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37.0
20.9
3.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-4
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.8
16.1
13.9
9
78%
3
2
1
0
0
2
2
1
3-4
75%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
4.7
22.7
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.9
1.4
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.