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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks43%96111
8Hawks57%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
46.1
36.9
37
66%
9
4
1
1
1
2
1
8
5-5
100%
13-24
8-16
54%
49%
2-2
100%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.9
46.0
35.0
19
50%
16
17
2
2
0
3
3
13
1-2
50%
3-8
1-3
38%
43%
4-10
40%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.3
42.5
33.5
11
80%
11
4
1
0
3
1
5
6
1-2
50%
5-6
4-7
83%
53%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.8
32.7
34.0
14
64%
5
0
1
1
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
7-11
5-9
64%
52%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.9
27.6
15.2
3
26%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-1
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.4
39.2
29.7
17
53%
3
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
1-4
25%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
20.4
7.2
8
50%
5
6
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
46%
0-3
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
10.4
11.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.0
23.2
1
4-8
46%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.0
7.5
0
1-2
47%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 24.6
6.7
0
1-2
44%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.5
2.3
0
0-0
43%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.0
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
50.0
35.8
13
35%
8
4
1
1
2
1
4
4
5-6
83%
4-16
6-11
25%
54%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.7
47.3
37.3
27
59%
5
10
1
1
1
2
0
5
3-4
75%
9-15
7-14
60%
49%
2-6
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.2
42.3
36.8
18
55%
11
8
7
2
1
3
5
6
2-3
67%
8-15
6-12
53%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.8
39.3
29.7
16
57%
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
4-8
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.7
22.9
25.4
7
39%
6
1
0
1
2
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
39.2
29.8
18
48%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
2-9
22%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
10.8
11.4
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.6
7.5
8.4
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.0
5.8
10.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
0.0
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.7
8.4
0
1-2
44%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.2
1.1
0
0-0
40%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.