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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bobcats51%9593
22Grizzlies49%9489
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
45.7
43.1
10
51%
8
2
1
2
0
4
2
6
2-2
100%
4-8
6-11
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.9
44.6
38.2
32
57%
11
4
2
2
0
1
2
9
3-5
60%
10-19
6-12
53%
47%
3-7
43%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
40.7
33.5
18
70%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
53%
3-6
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.7
33.8
32.1
9
35%
5
7
2
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.9
29.1
22.8
5
43%
4
0
0
0
4
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
21.9
27.2
13
74%
5
3
0
1
3
3
2
3
1-4
25%
6-7
4-8
86%
47%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.3
14.3
17.7
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
5.7
7.9
2
53%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.5
4.4
3.2
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.5
7.4
0
1-2
53%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.4
6.0
0
1-1
57%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.8
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
40.5
36.1
24
68%
10
1
2
1
0
4
3
7
4-6
67%
10-15
7-14
67%
49%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
40.0
38.5
20
67%
5
3
0
1
2
1
0
5
2-2
100%
6-10
7-14
60%
49%
2-4
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.3
35.6
39.0
14
50%
4
3
3
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
48%
2-8
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.1
31.5
34.7
6
30%
7
1
1
1
2
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
56%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.4
30.6
31.0
13
73%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
44%
3-3
100%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
20.8
13.6
3
31%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.2
17.4
15.1
7
72%
0
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
2-3
67%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
17.1
9.0
2
35%
5
2
2
0
2
1
2
3
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.8
6.5
11.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
5.3
0
1-1
54%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
2.2
0
0-1
43%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
1.4
0
0-0
46%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.9
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.0
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.