FinalWin Prob.pScore
365%100
93
1835%95
100
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
103.39092.3
NOH
108.79289.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH93
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 11 AST)93
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0NOHMISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 290
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0NOHCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)90
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0NOHMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 288
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)88
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (19 PTS)88
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0NOHThornton 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 1:12NOHCollison 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (West 1 AST)86
3.4%
93
96.6%
Q4 - 1:33NOHGray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
7.6%
91
92.4%
Q4 - 1:34ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
9.1%
91
90.9%
Q4 - 1:48NOHGray 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
14.8%
91
85.2%
Q4 - 1:49NOHGray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
21.5%
89
78.5%
Q4 - 1:50NOHMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
28.6%
89
71.4%
Q4 - 2:14NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
20.4%
89
79.6%
Q4 - 2:15ORLMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot86
24.0%
89
76.0%
Q4 - 2:40NOHWest Layup (40 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)86
34.2%
89
65.8%
Q4 - 3:04NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
43.8%
87
56.2%
Q4 - 3:06ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
48.4%
87
51.6%
Q4 - 3:33NOHGray 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 7 AST)86
58.1%
87
41.9%
Q4 - 3:48NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
66.3%
85
33.7%
Q4 - 3:50ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
69.0%
85
31.0%
Q4 - 3:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
74.9%
85
25.1%
Q4 - 4:00NOHMISS Thornton Layup86
72.4%
85
27.6%
Q4 - 4:27ORLHoward Dunk (26 PTS) (Nelson 10 AST)86
66.3%
85
33.7%
Q4 - 4:39NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)84
57.8%
85
42.2%
Q4 - 5:01NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
50.0%
85
50.0%
Q4 - 5:02ORLMISS Carter 11' Jump Shot84
52.6%
85
47.4%
Q4 - 5:16NOHCollison Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)84
58.6%
85
41.4%
Q4 - 5:33NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)84
49.8%
85
50.2%
Q4 - 5:36ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot84
52.5%
85
47.5%
Q4 - 5:51ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
58.6%
85
41.4%
Q4 - 5:52NOHMISS Thornton 22' Jump Shot84
55.9%
85
44.1%
Q4 - 6:01ORLPosey STEAL (2 STL)84
52.4%
85
47.6%
Q4 - 6:17NOHThornton 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
60.3%
85
39.7%
Q4 - 6:18NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)84
66.8%
83
33.2%
Q4 - 6:20NOHMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
71.6%
83
28.4%
Q4 - 6:34NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)84
66.8%
83
33.2%
Q4 - 6:35ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
68.9%
83
31.1%
Q4 - 7:02NOHGray Layup (2 PTS)84
73.6%
83
26.4%
Q4 - 7:03NOHGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
78.2%
81
21.8%
Q4 - 7:04NOHMISS West 13' Jump Shot84
81.6%
81
18.4%
Q4 - 7:23ORLMISS Carter Free Throw Technical84
78.2%
81
21.8%
Q4 - 7:23ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)84
78.2%
81
21.8%
Q4 - 7:23ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 283
77.5%
81
22.5%
Q4 - 7:38ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
78.7%
81
21.3%
Q4 - 7:40NOHMISS Posey 24' Jump Shot83
77.1%
81
22.9%
Q4 - 8:09ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)83
73.4%
81
26.6%
Q4 - 8:24NOHWest Layup (38 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)80
62.1%
81
37.9%
Q4 - 8:29NOHGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
68.1%
79
31.9%
Q4 - 8:30ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
69.7%
79
30.3%
Q4 - 8:51NOHWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)80
73.3%
79
26.7%
Q4 - 9:14NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
81.5%
76
18.5%
Q4 - 9:15NOHMISS Collison 15' Jump Shot80
83.8%
76
16.2%
Q4 - 9:32NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
81.5%
76
18.5%
Q4 - 9:33ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
82.6%
76
17.4%
Q4 - 9:46NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)80
84.8%
76
15.2%
Q4 - 9:46NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)80
85.2%
75
14.8%
Q4 - 10:02ORLPosey STEAL (1 STL)80
86.8%
74
13.2%
Q4 - 10:23NOHThornton Layup (12 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)80
89.2%
74
10.8%
Q4 - 10:36ORLPietrus Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)80
91.2%
72
8.8%
Q4 - 10:41ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
92.9%
72
7.1%
Q4 - 10:43NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot80
92.4%
72
7.6%
Q4 - 11:00NOHGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
91.2%
72
8.8%
Q4 - 11:01ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
91.0%
72
9.0%
Q4 - 11:14ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
92.2%
72
7.8%
Q4 - 11:15NOHMISS West Layup80
91.7%
72
8.3%
Q4 - 11:40NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
90.6%
72
9.4%
Q4 - 11:42ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot80
91.1%
72
8.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH80
92.2%
72
7.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound80
90.6%
72
9.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Gray Layup80
91.0%
72
9.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
90.0%
72
10.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Collison 7' Jump Shot80
91.0%
72
9.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)80
90.0%
72
10.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0NOHCollison 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)80
91.5%
72
8.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLRedick Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)80
94.3%
69
5.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLMagic Rebound78
93.0%
69
7.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0NOHMISS Thornton 15' Jump Shot78
92.6%
69
7.4%
Q3 - 1:12ORLBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)78
91.2%
69
8.8%
Q3 - 1:29NOHWest Driving Layup (31 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)75
87.3%
69
12.7%
Q3 - 1:39NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
89.5%
67
10.5%
Q3 - 1:40ORLMISS Barnes Layup75
90.0%
67
10.0%
Q3 - 1:42ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
91.1%
67
8.9%
Q3 - 1:44ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot75
90.0%
67
10.0%
Q3 - 2:05NOHThornton 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
90.5%
67
9.5%
Q3 - 2:16ORLNelson Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)75
92.0%
65
8.0%
Q3 - 2:19NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)75
93.3%
65
6.7%
Q3 - 2:35ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)75
92.1%
65
7.9%
Q3 - 2:40ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
93.3%
65
6.7%
Q3 - 2:41NOHMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot75
93.0%
65
7.0%
Q3 - 2:51ORLNelson Driving Layup (17 PTS)75
92.1%
65
7.9%
Q3 - 3:02NOHThornton Layup (8 PTS)73
90.4%
65
9.6%
Q3 - 3:15ORLHoward Layup (24 PTS)73
91.8%
63
8.2%
Q3 - 3:38NOHWest Layup (29 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)71
90.4%
63
9.6%
Q3 - 3:44NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
91.8%
61
8.2%
Q3 - 3:45ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
92.2%
61
7.8%
Q3 - 4:05NOHWest 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS)71
92.8%
61
7.2%
Q3 - 4:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
93.7%
59
6.3%
Q3 - 4:20ORLMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot71
94.1%
59
5.9%
Q3 - 4:42NOHThornton 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
94.8%
59
5.2%
Q3 - 4:58ORLStojakovic STEAL (2 STL)71
95.5%
57
4.5%
Q3 - 5:21NOHCollison 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
95.9%
57
4.1%
Q3 - 5:34ORLGray STEAL (1 STL)71
96.4%
55
3.6%
Q3 - 5:53NOHCollison 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)71
97.0%
55
3.0%
Q3 - 6:11ORLNelson Driving Layup (15 PTS)71
97.2%
53
2.8%
Q3 - 6:32NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)69
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 6:56NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
96.1%
53
3.9%
Q3 - 6:59ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 269
96.2%
53
3.8%
Q3 - 6:59ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)69
96.5%
53
3.5%
Q3 - 7:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
95.7%
53
4.3%
Q3 - 7:07NOHMISS Collison 17' Jump Shot68
95.5%
53
4.5%
Q3 - 7:16ORLBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
95.0%
53
5.0%
Q3 - 7:16ORLMISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 267
94.8%
53
5.2%
Q3 - 7:20ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
95.1%
53
4.9%
Q3 - 7:23ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
94.5%
53
5.5%
Q3 - 7:29ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
95.1%
53
4.9%
Q3 - 7:30NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot67
94.8%
53
5.2%
Q3 - 7:45ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (21 PTS)67
94.2%
53
5.8%
Q3 - 8:08NOHWest 10' Driving Bank Shot (25 PTS)65
93.1%
53
6.9%
Q3 - 8:23ORLNelson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
94.0%
51
6.0%
Q3 - 8:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
93.1%
51
6.9%
Q3 - 8:30NOHMISS Okafor 16' Jump Shot63
92.8%
51
7.2%
Q3 - 8:39ORLOkafor STEAL (2 STL)63
92.0%
51
8.0%
Q3 - 8:55NOHOkafor Foul Turnover (P1.T8)63
93.1%
51
6.9%
Q3 - 9:07ORLHoward Dunk (19 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)63
91.9%
51
8.1%
Q3 - 9:15ORLCarter Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)61
90.7%
51
9.3%
Q3 - 9:27ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
89.4%
51
10.6%
Q3 - 9:29NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 260
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q3 - 9:29NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 260
88.4%
51
11.6%
Q3 - 9:30NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
87.9%
51
12.1%
Q3 - 9:31NOHMISS Peterson 15' Jump Shot60
88.9%
51
11.1%
Q3 - 9:51ORLBarnes Layup (6 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)60
87.9%
51
12.1%
Q3 - 10:07NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
86.0%
51
14.0%
Q3 - 10:07NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
86.6%
50
13.4%
Q3 - 10:21ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)58
87.6%
49
12.4%
Q3 - 10:33NOHWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)56
86.0%
49
14.0%
Q3 - 10:52ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)56
84.1%
49
15.9%
Q3 - 11:15NOHStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)56
85.9%
49
14.1%
Q3 - 11:26ORLBarnes Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)56
87.4%
47
12.6%
Q3 - 11:48ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
88.9%
47
11.1%
Q3 - 11:49NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 256
88.7%
47
11.3%
Q3 - 11:49NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)56
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH56
88.9%
46
11.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound56
88.9%
46
11.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Collison Layup56
89.8%
46
10.2%
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLNelson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)56
88.7%
46
11.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHOkafor Layup (7 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)54
87.0%
46
13.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLHoward Dunk (15 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)54
88.7%
44
11.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
87.0%
44
13.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0NOHMISS Thornton Layup52
86.6%
44
13.4%
Q2 - 1:11ORLNelson 6' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
85.7%
44
14.3%
Q2 - 1:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
83.5%
44
16.5%
Q2 - 1:21NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot50
83.1%
44
16.9%
Q2 - 1:41ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)50
82.2%
44
17.8%
Q2 - 2:00ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
77.3%
44
22.7%
Q2 - 2:02NOHMISS Collison 15' Jump Shot47
76.9%
44
23.1%
Q2 - 2:10ORLThornton STEAL (1 STL)47
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q2 - 2:11ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 2:12ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
75.9%
44
24.1%
Q2 - 2:28NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)47
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 2:28NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)47
77.9%
43
22.1%
Q2 - 2:28NOHHORNETS Rebound47
79.7%
42
20.3%
Q2 - 2:28NOHMISS Okafor 15' Jump Shot47
81.1%
42
18.9%
Q2 - 2:49ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)47
79.7%
42
20.3%
Q2 - 3:01NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)45
78.0%
42
22.0%
Q2 - 3:01NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)45
78.2%
41
21.8%
Q2 - 3:02NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
79.7%
40
20.3%
Q2 - 3:04NOHMISS Okafor Layup45
81.3%
40
18.7%
Q2 - 3:06NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
79.7%
40
20.3%
Q2 - 3:07NOHMISS West 7' Jump Shot45
81.3%
40
18.7%
Q2 - 3:30NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
79.6%
40
20.4%
Q2 - 3:31ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 145
80.0%
40
20.0%
Q2 - 3:50NOHThornton 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
77.9%
40
22.1%
Q2 - 4:12ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
79.6%
38
20.4%
Q2 - 4:12ORLLewis Layup (5 PTS)43
79.6%
38
20.4%
Q2 - 4:15ORLMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot41
76.1%
38
23.9%
Q2 - 4:29NOHThornton Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS)41
77.7%
38
22.3%
Q2 - 4:41NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
79.6%
36
20.4%
Q2 - 4:42ORLMISS Gortat Layup41
80.2%
36
19.8%
Q2 - 4:42ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
81.7%
36
18.3%
Q2 - 4:43ORLMISS Nelson Layup41
80.2%
36
19.8%
Q2 - 4:57NOHWest Driving Layup (18 PTS)41
81.7%
36
18.3%
Q2 - 5:20ORLGortat Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)41
83.3%
34
16.7%
Q2 - 5:26NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
81.5%
34
18.5%
Q2 - 5:42ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)39
79.7%
34
20.3%
Q2 - 5:47ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
75.5%
34
24.5%
Q2 - 5:47ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
74.0%
34
26.0%
Q2 - 5:53ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
75.5%
34
24.5%
Q2 - 5:54NOHMISS Stojakovic 17' Jump Shot36
74.8%
34
25.2%
Q2 - 6:09ORLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
72.8%
34
27.2%
Q2 - 6:19NOHPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
75.4%
34
24.6%
Q2 - 6:19NOHPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
75.7%
33
24.3%
Q2 - 6:37ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)36
77.2%
32
22.8%
Q2 - 6:56ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
73.2%
32
26.8%
Q2 - 6:57NOHMISS Peterson Layup33
72.4%
32
27.6%
Q2 - 7:02NOHGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
71.0%
32
29.0%
Q2 - 7:03ORLMISS Redick Layup33
71.8%
32
28.2%
Q2 - 7:08NOHThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)33
73.4%
32
26.6%
Q2 - 7:14NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
71.0%
32
29.0%
Q2 - 7:15ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot33
71.7%
32
28.3%
Q2 - 7:30NOHGray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)33
73.3%
32
26.7%
Q2 - 7:49ORLRedick Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
70.9%
32
29.1%
Q2 - 8:08ORLMagic Rebound31
68.7%
32
31.3%
Q2 - 8:09NOHMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
68.0%
32
32.0%
Q2 - 8:28ORLAnderson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)31
66.3%
32
33.7%
Q2 - 8:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
63.8%
32
36.2%
Q2 - 8:37NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot29
63.1%
32
37.0%
Q2 - 8:56NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
61.2%
32
38.8%
Q2 - 8:58NOHMISS Collison 21' Jump Shot29
63.1%
32
36.9%
Q2 - 9:07NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
61.3%
32
38.7%
Q2 - 9:08ORLMISS Howard 12' Jump Bank Shot29
62.1%
32
37.9%
Q2 - 9:22NOHWest 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)29
64.0%
32
36.0%
Q2 - 9:34ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
66.2%
30
33.8%
Q2 - 9:34ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
65.4%
30
34.6%
Q2 - 9:50NOHThornton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)27
64.0%
30
36.0%
Q2 - 10:13ORLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)27
61.3%
30
38.7%
Q2 - 10:22ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
56.5%
30
43.5%
Q2 - 10:23NOHMISS West 21' Jump Shot24
55.6%
30
44.4%
Q2 - 10:50NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
53.7%
30
46.3%
Q2 - 10:51ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 224
54.0%
30
46.0%
Q2 - 10:51ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
55.4%
30
44.6%
Q2 - 11:03NOHWest 14' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)23
54.1%
30
45.9%
Q2 - 11:29ORLRedick 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
56.5%
28
43.5%
Q2 - 11:47NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)21
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL21
56.5%
26
43.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHCollison 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
59.1%
26
40.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0ORLOkafor STEAL (1 STL)21
61.9%
24
38.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
63.7%
24
36.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
62.5%
24
37.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
63.7%
24
36.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
62.5%
24
37.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0NOHCollison 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
63.8%
24
36.2%
Q1 - 1:19ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
66.8%
22
33.2%
Q1 - 1:36ORLMagic Rebound18
61.7%
22
38.3%
Q1 - 1:37NOHMISS Stojakovic 29' 3PT Jump Shot18
61.3%
22
38.7%
Q1 - 2:04ORLHoward Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)18
60.3%
22
39.7%
Q1 - 2:12ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
57.7%
22
42.3%
Q1 - 2:13NOHMISS Collison 13' Pullup Jump Shot16
57.1%
22
42.9%
Q1 - 2:17NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
55.8%
22
44.2%
Q1 - 2:19ORLOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)16
56.4%
22
43.6%
Q1 - 2:42NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
57.7%
22
42.3%
Q1 - 2:42NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
58.5%
21
41.5%
Q1 - 3:03ORLBarnes Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)16
60.7%
20
39.3%
Q1 - 3:23NOHWest 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
58.5%
20
41.5%
Q1 - 3:33ORLStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)14
60.6%
18
39.4%
Q1 - 3:38NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
62.8%
18
37.2%
Q1 - 3:57ORLNelson Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
60.6%
18
39.4%
Q1 - 4:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
58.9%
18
41.1%
Q1 - 4:07NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot12
58.2%
18
41.8%
Q1 - 4:14ORLNelson Layup (2 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)12
56.6%
18
43.4%
Q1 - 4:17ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 4:20NOHMISS Collison Layup10
53.8%
18
46.2%
Q1 - 4:25ORLPeterson STEAL (1 STL)10
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q1 - 4:40NOHWest 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)10
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 5:03ORLCarter Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)10
56.7%
16
43.3%
Q1 - 5:23NOHWest 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)10
59.0%
16
41.0%
Q1 - 5:37NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
60.9%
14
39.1%
Q1 - 5:39ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
61.6%
14
38.4%
Q1 - 5:58NOHPeterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
63.1%
14
36.9%
Q1 - 6:23ORLCarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
67.2%
11
32.8%
Q1 - 6:38NOHWest 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
65.4%
11
34.6%
Q1 - 6:54ORLHoward Dunk (6 PTS)8
67.2%
9
32.8%
Q1 - 6:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
65.3%
9
34.7%
Q1 - 6:59ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
63.9%
9
36.1%
Q1 - 7:17NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
65.7%
9
34.3%
Q1 - 7:17NOHWest Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
65.7%
9
34.3%
Q1 - 7:18NOHMISS Okafor 15' Jump Shot6
68.8%
7
31.2%
Q1 - 7:32NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
67.5%
7
32.5%
Q1 - 7:33ORLMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
68.1%
7
31.9%
Q1 - 7:41ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
69.4%
7
30.6%
Q1 - 7:43NOHMISS Stojakovic 13' Turnaround Jump Shot6
68.8%
7
31.2%
Q1 - 8:00ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
67.5%
7
32.5%
Q1 - 8:00ORLBarnes Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
67.5%
7
32.5%
Q1 - 8:01ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot4
64.8%
7
35.2%
Q1 - 8:17ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
66.0%
7
34.0%
Q1 - 8:19NOHMISS Peterson Layup4
65.5%
7
34.5%
Q1 - 8:25ORLCollison STEAL (1 STL)4
64.2%
7
35.8%
Q1 - 8:36NOHStojakovic 12' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
66.0%
7
34.0%
Q1 - 8:51NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
67.9%
5
32.1%
Q1 - 8:53ORLWest BLOCK (2 BLK)4
68.4%
5
31.6%
Q1 - 9:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
70.2%
5
29.8%
Q1 - 9:09NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 24
70.0%
5
30.0%
Q1 - 9:09NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
69.1%
5
30.9%
Q1 - 9:22ORLHoward Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
70.2%
4
29.8%
Q1 - 9:39NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
68.4%
4
31.6%
Q1 - 9:39NOHPeterson Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
68.4%
4
31.6%
Q1 - 9:40NOHMISS Collison Layup2
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 9:44NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)2
70.2%
2
29.8%
Q1 - 9:45ORLWest BLOCK (1 BLK)2
70.7%
2
29.3%
Q1 - 9:58NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 9:58NOHHORNETS Rebound2
70.2%
2
29.8%
Q1 - 9:59NOHMISS Collison Layup2
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 10:22NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 10:23ORLMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot2
70.7%
2
29.3%
Q1 - 10:28ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 10:30NOHMISS Stojakovic 13' Jump Shot2
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 10:40NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 10:41ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot2
70.7%
2
29.3%
Q1 - 10:51ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
71.9%
2
28.1%
Q1 - 10:53NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup2
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 11:04ORLHoward 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
70.5%
2
29.5%
Q1 - 11:23NOHOkafor Putback Layup (2 PTS)0
69.0%
2
31.0%
Q1 - 11:24NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
70.5%
0
29.5%
Q1 - 11:25NOHMISS Peterson Layup0
71.4%
0
28.6%
Q1 - 11:43NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.4%
0
29.6%
Q1 - 11:44ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot0
70.9%
0
29.1%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
71.8%
0
28.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.4%
NOH
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
24
32
75%
NOH
13
26
50%
Midrange
ORL
7
18
39%
NOH
23
47
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
NOH
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
ORL
10
16
63%
NOH
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2662%13.0 / 21
J. Nelson1968%9.5 / 14
J. Redick1161%5.5 / 9
M. Barnes1063%5.0 / 8
R. Lewis938%4.5 / 12
V. Carter840%4.0 / 10
R. Anderson583%2.5 / 3
J. Williams375%1.5 / 2
M. Gortat250%1.0 / 2
M. Pietrus0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West4071%20.0 / 28
M. Thornton1860%9.0 / 15
D. Collison1640%8.0 / 20
E. Okafor945%4.5 / 10
A. Gray675%3.0 / 4
M. Peterson536%2.5 / 7
P. Stojakovic429%2.0 / 7
J. Posey250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
72
+11
-18
83
NOH
82
+16
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.4%
NOH
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
107.3
ORL 103.3
NOH 108.7 +5.4
Pace
92.0
92.7
ORL 92.3 +2.6
NOH 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.5
ORL 15.6 +0.4
NOH 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.6%
50.6%
ORL 53.9% +3.9%
NOH 50.0%
TO %
14.8%
13.7%
ORL 17.6%
NOH 11.5% +6.1%
ORB %
24.6%
24.8%
ORL 26.2%
NOH 30.8% +4.6%
FTrt
34.0
24.3
ORL 20.8
NOH 30.9 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.7%
57.5%
ORL 50.0% +16.7%
NOH 33.3%
STL %
6.8%
8.2%
ORL 5.6%
NOH 10.9% +5.3%
BLK %
8.6%
5.8%
ORL 5.5%
NOH 6.0% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
52.9%
ORL 55.4% +4.4%
NOH 51.0%
Rim FG%
61.6%
58.6%
ORL 75.0% +25.0%
NOH 50.0%
Mid FG%
42.3%
42.6%
ORL 38.9%
NOH 48.9% +10.0%
3P %
37.5%
36.3%
ORL 25.9%
NOH 37.5% +11.6%
FT %
72.4%
77.8%
ORL 62.5%
NOH 76.0% +13.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
33.3%
ORL 41.6% +9.5%
NOH 32.1%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
43.8%
ORL 23.4% +34.6%
NOH 58.0%
3P Att. %
35.0%
23.0%
ORL 35.1% +25.2%
NOH 9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsORLNOH
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points93100
Rebounds3843
Assists1913
Steals510
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (0)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)31 (0)
Field Goals38-7739-81
At-the-Rim FG24-3213-26
Midrange FG7-1823-47
2-Point FG31-5036-73
3-Point FG7-273-8
Free Throws10-1619-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 24
42.7
26
62%
10
1
0
3
1
2
2
8
4-6
67%
11-18
61%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
37.4
9
38%
7
1
2
0
3
2
2
5
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-9
22%
G · 6'0" 190 · 28
33.8
19
68%
3
11
1
0
5
3
0
3
1-1
100%
9-10
90%
0-4
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 33
31.1
8
40%
2
1
0
0
2
4
0
2
1-3
33%
2-7
29%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 226 · 30
24.0
10
63%
6
1
1
0
4
1
3
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
25.3
11
61%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 215 · 28
15.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
14.2
3
75%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 22
10.6
5
83%
3
0
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
5.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 35
F · 6'8" 250 · 25
#31 · C · 6'10" 270 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
55%
38
19
5
4
18
0
11
27
10-16
63%
31-50
62%
7-27
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.