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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pistons22%95102
4Nuggets78%106107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
36.5
31.7
19
48%
7
6
1
1
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
8-19
5-12
42%
44%
1-1
100%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.0
36.2
33.5
20
46%
6
5
1
1
0
4
2
4
9-11
82%
4-14
6-13
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.0
36.1
36.5
8
31%
6
5
3
1
0
1
1
5
2-4
50%
3-11
5-11
27%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
23.6
25.9
9
54%
10
1
0
1
2
1
6
4
1-3
33%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.0
18.7
21.6
9
90%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.0
24.4
18.5
16
81%
8
0
0
0
1
1
5
3
2-2
100%
7-9
3-5
78%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.9
23.9
21.7
9
45%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
1-5
20%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.5
18.4
18.3
5
42%
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.7
11.7
4.9
5
63%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.1
10.4
19.4
2
33%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.5
13.8
0
1-2
42%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.1
4.5
0
0-1
43%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
37.9
23.4
14
78%
4
2
0
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
4-6
67%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
36.0
37.8
24
39%
3
3
3
1
0
4
0
3
8-13
62%
8-22
8-16
36%
50%
0-3
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 33.4
35.0
34.6
25
79%
2
2
0
1
0
4
1
1
11-11
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
46%
2-5
40%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
29.8
29.6
6
44%
6
4
0
1
1
3
3
3
2-2
100%
2-6
5-8
33%
59%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.7
12.7
10.6
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
27.6
28.7
15
61%
5
4
5
1
1
0
0
5
3-5
60%
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.6
26.3
25.7
8
68%
5
0
2
1
3
0
3
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
20.8
3.9
13
74%
7
2
0
0
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
5-7
1-1
71%
51%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 22.3
14.1
19.6
2
50%
1
4
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 32.2
25.1
1
4-8
51%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.7
4.2
0
0-1
49%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.1
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.