FinalWin Prob.pScore
2422%95
102
478%105
107
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
110.99282.7
DEN logo DEN
116.392103.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN102
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETSmith STEAL (5 STL)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)99
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETPistons Rebound97
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot97
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 1:00DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)97
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 1:00DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)97
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 1:00DETAnthony STEAL (3 STL)97
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 1:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
2.6%
103
97.4%
Q4 - 1:14DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 297
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 1:14DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 1:32DETPrince Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)97
3.2%
102
96.8%
Q4 - 1:36DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)95
2.2%
102
97.8%
Q4 - 1:36DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 1:54DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)95
3.7%
100
96.3%
Q4 - 1:54DETPistons Rebound95
6.3%
100
93.7%
Q4 - 1:55DETMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot95
4.4%
100
95.6%
Q4 - 2:22DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)95
6.9%
100
93.1%
Q4 - 2:36DETMaxiell 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)95
14.1%
97
85.9%
Q4 - 2:39DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
11.0%
97
89.0%
Q4 - 2:40DETAfflalo BLOCK (2 BLK)93
6.9%
97
93.1%
Q4 - 2:52DENBillups Layup (20 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)93
11.5%
97
88.5%
Q4 - 2:58DETAnthony STEAL (2 STL)93
15.3%
95
84.7%
Q4 - 3:24DENAnthony 5' Fadeaway Bank Shot (19 PTS)93
25.1%
95
74.9%
Q4 - 3:39DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
31.3%
93
68.7%
Q4 - 3:40DETMISS Stuckey 22' Jump Shot93
34.0%
93
66.0%
Q4 - 4:01DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
40.8%
93
59.2%
Q4 - 4:01DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 293
42.9%
92
57.1%
Q4 - 4:09DENNUGGETS Rebound93
40.2%
92
59.8%
Q4 - 4:09DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
47.3%
92
52.7%
Q4 - 4:14DETSmith STEAL (4 STL)93
40.2%
92
59.8%
Q4 - 4:31DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)93
50.6%
92
49.4%
Q4 - 4:51DETHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)93
40.3%
92
59.7%
Q4 - 4:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
24.0%
92
76.0%
Q4 - 4:58DETMISS Stuckey 15' Jump Shot90
19.1%
92
80.9%
Q4 - 5:22DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)90
24.6%
92
75.4%
Q4 - 5:24DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
18.6%
92
81.4%
Q4 - 5:24DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot90
22.7%
92
77.3%
Q4 - 5:25DENMISS Billups Driving Finger Roll Layup90
22.7%
92
77.3%
Q4 - 5:38DETStuckey 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)90
18.6%
92
81.4%
Q4 - 5:54DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
14.2%
92
85.8%
Q4 - 5:56DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 288
13.6%
92
86.4%
Q4 - 5:56DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
11.0%
92
89.0%
Q4 - 6:15DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)88
14.7%
91
85.3%
Q4 - 6:31DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)86
11.4%
91
88.6%
Q4 - 6:53DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (14 PTS)86
18.9%
88
81.1%
Q4 - 6:54DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)84
14.9%
88
85.1%
Q4 - 6:55DETMISS Hamilton 8' Running Jump Shot84
12.3%
88
87.7%
Q4 - 7:20DENSmith 8' Running Bank Shot (14 PTS)84
15.2%
88
84.8%
Q4 - 7:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
18.8%
86
81.2%
Q4 - 7:29DETMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot84
20.3%
86
79.7%
Q4 - 7:48DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)84
23.9%
86
76.1%
Q4 - 7:49DETMISS Bynum 20' Jump Shot84
20.3%
86
79.7%
Q4 - 7:55DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
23.9%
86
76.1%
Q4 - 7:56DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
22.3%
86
77.7%
Q4 - 8:16DETMaxiell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)84
19.3%
86
80.7%
Q4 - 8:31DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
23.6%
86
76.4%
Q4 - 8:32DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
22.2%
86
77.8%
Q4 - 8:47DETVillanueva Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)84
19.3%
86
80.7%
Q4 - 9:08DENAndersen Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)84
23.7%
86
76.3%
Q4 - 9:12DETSmith STEAL (3 STL)84
28.4%
84
71.6%
Q4 - 9:17DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)84
33.4%
84
66.6%
Q4 - 9:27DETMaxiell 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)84
28.4%
84
71.6%
Q4 - 9:47DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Graham 2 AST)82
23.7%
84
76.3%
Q4 - 10:01DETMaxiell 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
32.4%
81
67.6%
Q4 - 10:25DENAndersen Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)80
27.8%
81
72.2%
Q4 - 10:45DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
32.5%
79
67.5%
Q4 - 10:46DETMISS Bynum 16' Jump Shot80
34.0%
79
66.0%
Q4 - 11:01DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)80
36.4%
79
63.6%
Q4 - 11:01DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)80
37.2%
78
62.8%
Q4 - 11:17DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
41.7%
77
58.3%
Q4 - 11:17DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
39.8%
77
60.2%
Q4 - 11:33DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)78
36.5%
77
63.5%
Q4 - 11:44DETVillanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)78
31.8%
77
68.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN75
23.2%
77
76.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMaxiell Putback Layup (6 PTS)75
19.7%
77
80.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
16.6%
77
83.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot73
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0DETPistons Rebound73
16.6%
77
83.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
15.9%
77
84.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETDaye 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)73
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
11.9%
76
88.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0DENGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
14.2%
75
85.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0DETMISS Hamilton 13' Running Bank Shot71
14.9%
75
85.1%
Q3 - 1:05DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
16.6%
75
83.4%
Q3 - 1:13DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
23.0%
72
77.0%
Q3 - 1:15DETMISS Stuckey Driving Layup71
24.0%
72
76.0%
Q3 - 1:22DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)71
26.4%
72
73.6%
Q3 - 1:40DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
35.1%
69
64.9%
Q3 - 1:42DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 271
35.7%
69
64.3%
Q3 - 1:42DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
39.1%
69
60.9%
Q3 - 1:55DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
34.8%
69
65.2%
Q3 - 1:55DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
35.8%
68
64.2%
Q3 - 1:58DETSmith STEAL (2 STL)70
39.8%
67
60.2%
Q3 - 2:10DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)70
42.3%
67
57.7%
Q3 - 2:10DENNUGGETS Rebound70
37.9%
67
62.1%
Q3 - 2:11DENMISS Nene Reverse Layup70
41.0%
67
59.0%
Q3 - 2:33DETDaye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)70
38.0%
67
62.0%
Q3 - 2:39DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
29.6%
67
70.4%
Q3 - 2:41DETNene BLOCK (1 BLK)67
26.9%
67
73.1%
Q3 - 2:42DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
29.6%
67
70.4%
Q3 - 2:43DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
26.9%
67
73.1%
Q3 - 2:50DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
29.6%
67
70.4%
Q3 - 2:52DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup67
28.4%
67
71.6%
Q3 - 3:04DETVillanueva 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q3 - 3:25DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 3:27DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 165
21.5%
67
78.5%
Q3 - 3:41DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
24.9%
65
75.1%
Q3 - 4:07DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)63
22.0%
65
78.0%
Q3 - 4:16DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 4:18DETAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)63
29.3%
62
70.7%
Q3 - 4:22DETPistons Rebound63
32.3%
62
67.7%
Q3 - 4:23DETSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)63
29.3%
62
70.7%
Q3 - 4:25DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)63
32.3%
62
67.7%
Q3 - 4:39DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)63
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 4:57DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
32.3%
62
67.7%
Q3 - 4:57DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
32.9%
61
67.1%
Q3 - 4:57DENMISS Anthony Free Throw Technical63
35.6%
60
64.4%
Q3 - 5:13DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
34.4%
60
65.6%
Q3 - 5:13DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 262
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q3 - 5:19DETPistons Rebound62
34.9%
60
65.1%
Q3 - 5:20DETAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)62
32.0%
60
68.0%
Q3 - 5:23DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)62
34.9%
60
65.1%
Q3 - 5:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
30.8%
60
69.2%
Q3 - 5:43DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot62
32.1%
60
67.9%
Q3 - 5:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)62
35.0%
60
65.0%
Q3 - 6:00DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot62
33.7%
60
66.3%
Q3 - 6:18DETStuckey Layup (12 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)62
29.9%
60
70.1%
Q3 - 6:33DENNene Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)60
27.0%
60
73.0%
Q3 - 6:43DETWallace Layup (9 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)60
23.6%
60
76.4%
Q3 - 7:01DENNene 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)58
20.7%
60
79.3%
Q3 - 7:21DETJerebko 8' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)58
23.2%
58
76.8%
Q3 - 7:32DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
20.8%
58
79.2%
Q3 - 7:33DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot56
19.9%
58
80.1%
Q3 - 7:53DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
18.1%
58
81.9%
Q3 - 7:53DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 7:55DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)54
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 8:16DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q3 - 8:30DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 8:30DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
16.5%
57
83.5%
Q3 - 8:32DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q3 - 8:33DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 8:37DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q3 - 8:38DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 8:44DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q3 - 8:46DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 254
18.3%
56
81.7%
Q3 - 8:46DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 254
19.1%
56
80.9%
Q3 - 8:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)54
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q3 - 8:48DETMISS Jerebko 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q3 - 9:12DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)54
20.2%
56
79.8%
Q3 - 9:27DENNUGGETS Rebound54
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q3 - 9:28DETMISS Prince 15' Turnaround Jump Shot54
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q3 - 9:57DETPistons Rebound54
28.4%
53
71.6%
Q3 - 9:58DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot54
27.4%
53
72.6%
Q3 - 10:09DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)54
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q3 - 10:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)51
19.9%
53
80.1%
Q3 - 10:28DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot51
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 10:36DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
17.7%
53
82.3%
Q3 - 10:38DENMISS Anthony Driving Finger Roll Layup51
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 10:54DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
17.7%
53
82.3%
Q3 - 10:55DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot51
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q3 - 11:04DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
19.7%
53
80.3%
Q3 - 11:05DENMISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
19.0%
53
81.0%
Q3 - 11:25DETPrince Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)51
17.5%
53
82.5%
Q3 - 11:38DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q3 - 11:39DENMISS Nene 14' Turnaround Jump Shot49
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN49
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound49
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 23' Jump Shot49
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETHamilton Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)49
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)48
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)47
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0DENAnthony Layup (12 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)46
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
13.9%
51
86.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0DENMISS Anthony Layup46
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0DENNUGGETS Rebound46
12.6%
51
87.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENMISS Anthony 23' Jump Shot46
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
12.6%
51
87.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot46
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q2 - 1:13DENBillups Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)46
13.8%
51
86.2%
Q2 - 1:26DETGordon 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)46
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 1:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)43
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q2 - 1:35DETMISS Prince 16' Turnaround Jump Shot43
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 2:07DENNene Dunk (2 PTS)43
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q2 - 2:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
11.1%
49
88.9%
Q2 - 2:12DENGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
11.1%
49
88.9%
Q2 - 2:12DENMISS Graham Tip Shot43
12.0%
49
88.0%
Q2 - 2:13DENMISS Anthony 12' Turnaround Jump Shot43
12.0%
49
88.0%
Q2 - 2:23DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
11.1%
49
88.9%
Q2 - 2:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)43
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 2:26DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot43
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 2:27DETMISS Wallace Layup43
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 2:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 2:30DETMISS Gordon Driving Layup43
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 2:37DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 2:38DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot43
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 2:51DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)43
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 3:04DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q2 - 3:04DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q2 - 3:23DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T6)41
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 3:24DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
8.8%
49
91.2%
Q2 - 3:25DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
9.6%
49
90.4%
Q2 - 3:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
8.8%
49
91.2%
Q2 - 3:45DETMISS Stuckey 16' Jump Shot41
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 4:06DENGraham 8' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)41
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 4:10DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 4:11DETMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot41
11.4%
47
88.6%
Q2 - 4:16DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
12.4%
47
87.6%
Q2 - 4:19DENMISS Graham 8' Running Jump Shot41
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 4:33DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)41
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 4:39DENLawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)41
12.4%
47
87.6%
Q2 - 4:46DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)41
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 5:04DENBillups Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)39
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q2 - 5:11DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 5:12DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 239
11.4%
45
88.6%
Q2 - 5:12DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 239
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q2 - 5:15DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)39
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 5:30DETStuckey 15' Turnaround Bank Shot (10 PTS)39
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 5:57DENSmith 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 6:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
15.2%
40
84.8%
Q2 - 6:08DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot37
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 6:32DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)37
17.1%
40
82.9%
Q2 - 6:41DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q2 - 6:42DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot37
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 6:58DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
22.6%
37
77.4%
Q2 - 7:00DENMISS Afflalo Driving Finger Roll Layup37
21.9%
37
78.1%
Q2 - 7:19DETStuckey 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)37
20.1%
37
79.9%
Q2 - 7:44DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 7:57DETGordon 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)35
16.7%
37
83.3%
Q2 - 8:12DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 8:13DENMISS Graham Free Throw 2 of 233
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 8:13DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 8:15DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 8:16DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 8:30DENLawson Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
16.6%
36
83.4%
Q2 - 8:37DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
18.2%
34
81.8%
Q2 - 8:38DETMISS Gordon 8' Running Jump Shot33
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 8:52DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 8:54DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 133
19.7%
34
80.3%
Q2 - 8:59DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
21.7%
32
78.3%
Q2 - 9:00DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
22.3%
32
77.7%
Q2 - 9:24DENGraham Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)33
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 9:29DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)33
25.1%
30
74.9%
Q2 - 9:37DETPistons Rebound33
27.3%
30
72.7%
Q2 - 9:37DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
27.3%
30
72.7%
Q2 - 9:37DETMISS Maxiell Layup33
25.7%
30
74.3%
Q2 - 9:38DETMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
25.7%
30
74.3%
Q2 - 9:55DENGraham Dunk (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)33
27.3%
30
72.7%
Q2 - 10:10DETMaxiell Layup (4 PTS)33
29.1%
28
70.9%
Q2 - 10:12DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q2 - 10:13DETMISS Villanueva 11' Turnaround Jump Shot31
25.7%
28
74.3%
Q2 - 10:31DENAndersen Putback Layup (4 PTS)31
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q2 - 10:32DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q2 - 10:33DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup31
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q2 - 10:43DETGordon 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q2 - 11:05DENGraham Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)29
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q2 - 11:10DETAndersen STEAL (2 STL)29
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q2 - 11:25DENGraham 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)29
31.1%
24
68.9%
Q2 - 11:37DETDaye Foul Turnover (P1.T4)29
33.3%
22
66.7%
Q2 - 11:43DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q2 - 11:45DENMISS Smith 15' Turnaround Jump Shot29
35.0%
22
65.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET29
33.3%
22
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound29
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
34.0%
22
66.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
34.4%
22
65.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot29
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETMaxiell Dunk (2 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)29
32.7%
22
67.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENMISS Andersen 6' Jump Shot27
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENMISS Smith 4' Running Jump Shot27
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0DETHamilton Layup (8 PTS)27
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
26.2%
22
73.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot25
25.1%
22
74.9%
Q1 - 1:06DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 1:06DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
26.1%
21
73.9%
Q1 - 1:18DETBynum 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)25
28.1%
20
71.9%
Q1 - 1:37DENNene Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 1:51DETStuckey 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
24.4%
20
75.6%
Q1 - 2:16DENAnthony Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)21
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:31DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)21
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 2:36DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 2:39DETMISS Stuckey Driving Layup19
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 2:43DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 2:46DENMISS Smith Driving Layup19
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 2:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 2:51DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot19
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 3:08DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 3:10DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 119
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 3:16DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 3:17DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot19
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 3:26DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 3:29DETAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)19
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 3:35DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 3:50DETAndersen STEAL (1 STL)19
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 4:09DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)19
24.8%
16
75.2%
Q1 - 4:09DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)19
25.0%
15
75.0%
Q1 - 4:09DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)19
25.1%
14
74.9%
Q1 - 4:16DENNUGGETS Rebound19
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 4:17DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot19
29.6%
13
70.4%
Q1 - 4:27DETJerebko Putback Layup (7 PTS)19
28.3%
13
71.7%
Q1 - 4:28DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 4:30DETMISS Prince Alley Oop Dunk17
25.3%
13
74.7%
Q1 - 4:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 4:38DENMISS Nene Reverse Layup17
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 4:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 4:57DETWallace Tip Shot (2 PTS)17
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 4:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 4:59DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot15
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 5:00DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot15
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 5:10DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 5:11DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot15
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 5:24DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
21.5%
13
78.5%
Q1 - 5:25DETAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)15
22.0%
13
78.0%
Q1 - 5:53DENAnthony Layup (6 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)15
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 6:06DETJerebko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)15
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 6:30DENBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)12
21.2%
11
78.8%
Q1 - 6:38DETPrince Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 7:04DENAnthony Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)10
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 7:14DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 7:15DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot10
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 7:23DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 7:24DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 7:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 7:36DENMISS Allen 23' Jump Shot10
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 7:47DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 7:47DETMISS Stuckey 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot10
22.7%
7
77.3%
Q1 - 8:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 8:02DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 8:10DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
21.9%
7
78.1%
Q1 - 8:11DETMISS Prince 13' Turnaround Jump Shot10
22.3%
7
77.7%
Q1 - 8:33DENAfflalo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)10
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 8:47DETJerebko Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 9:00DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)8
23.3%
5
76.7%
Q1 - 9:00DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)8
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 9:00DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)8
23.6%
3
76.4%
Q1 - 9:14DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 9:29DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 9:30DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot8
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 9:49DETStuckey Layup (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)8
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 9:53DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 9:55DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 9:56DENMISS Afflalo 7' Running Jump Shot6
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 10:23DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 10:31DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 10:32DENMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot4
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 10:51DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)4
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 11:04DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.4%
2
81.6%
Q1 - 11:05DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot2
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 11:22DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:22DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 11:37DENAnthony Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)0
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 11:41DETAnthony STEAL (1 STL)0
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Wallace: Tip to Jerebko0
18.5%
0
81.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.00 50.0%
DEN
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
29
55%
DEN
20
32
63%
Midrange
DET
19
47
40%
DEN
7
27
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
DEN
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
DET
14
20
70%
DEN
29
37
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2045%10.0 / 22
R. Stuckey1948%9.5 / 20
J. Maxiell1680%8.0 / 10
B. Wallace956%4.5 / 8
J. Jerebko990%4.5 / 5
B. Gordon950%4.5 / 9
T. Prince831%4.0 / 13
C. Villanueva542%2.5 / 6
A. Daye563%2.5 / 4
W. Bynum233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2583%12.5 / 15
C. Anthony2440%12.0 / 30
J. Smith1563%7.5 / 12
A. Afflalo1478%7.0 / 9
J. Graham1372%6.5 / 9
C. Andersen867%4.0 / 6
Nene643%3.0 / 7
T. Lawson250%1.0 / 2
M. Allen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
75
+26
-17
101
DEN
77
+16
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.00 50.0%
DEN
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
111.9
DET 110.9
DEN 116.3 +5.4
Pace
88.8
94.7
DET 82.7
DEN 103.6 +20.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
14.7
DET 17.4
DEN 13.9 +3.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.9%
DET 47.8%
DEN 50.6% +2.8%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
DET 15.2%
DEN 14.6% +0.6%
ORB %
30.4%
26.1%
DET 42.6% +15.8%
DEN 26.8%
FTrt
30.3
37.6
DET 21.7
DEN 48.1 +26.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
55.0%
DET 51.2%
DEN 60.0% +8.8%
STL %
8.2%
8.7%
DET 7.6%
DEN 10.9% +3.3%
BLK %
6.7%
7.9%
DET 8.5%
DEN 9.2% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.9%
54.9%
DET 50.0%
DEN 55.7% +5.7%
Rim FG%
57.1%
61.0%
DET 55.2%
DEN 62.5% +7.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.6%
DET 40.4% +14.5%
DEN 25.9%
3P %
31.4%
35.9%
DET 37.5%
DEN 44.4% +6.9%
FT %
72.8%
77.2%
DET 70.0%
DEN 78.4% +8.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
37.5%
DET 31.5%
DEN 41.6% +10.0%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
39.8%
DET 51.1%
DEN 35.1% +16.0%
3P Att. %
18.0%
22.7%
DET 17.4%
DEN 23.4% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETDEN
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes26.721.3
Points102107
Rebounds5038
Assists2121
Steals710
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)20 (6)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals41-9235-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2920-32
Midrange FG19-477-27
2-Point FG35-7627-59
3-Point FG6-168-18
Free Throws14-2029-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 205 · 24
36.5
19
48%
7
6
1
1
4
3
2
5
0-0
-
8-19
42%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 193 · 32
36.2
20
45%
6
5
1
0
4
5
2
4
9-11
82%
4-14
29%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 212 · 30
36.1
8
31%
6
5
3
0
1
1
1
5
2-4
50%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 240 · 35
23.6
9
56%
10
1
0
2
1
0
6
4
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 231 · 23
18.7
9
90%
2
1
1
0
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 260 · 27
24.4
16
80%
8
0
0
1
1
2
5
3
2-2
100%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
23.9
9
50%
1
1
0
0
3
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
F · 6'11" 232 · 26
18.4
5
42%
7
0
0
0
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 220 · 22
11.7
5
63%
3
0
0
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
10.4
2
33%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 36
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
#9 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#38 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
50%
50
21
7
5
17
0
20
30
14-20
70%
35-76
46%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.