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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Jazz68%10399
27Kings32%96103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.3
36.9
35.9
26
75%
10
6
1
1
0
0
2
8
8-10
80%
9-13
8-14
69%
55%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
36.9
31.5
10
30%
3
13
1
1
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
4-12
4-8
33%
53%
0-4
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
31.5
12.9
16
63%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
6-6
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
54%
2-4
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
27.6
20.9
9
37%
11
1
0
0
3
2
2
9
1-3
33%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
26.0
25.3
12
50%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
52%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.0
25.2
29.6
3
15%
10
2
0
1
2
1
7
3
1-2
50%
1-8
5-9
13%
57%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.9
20.5
26.1
2
33%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
18.0
28.6
11
92%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
3-7
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
11.1
14.9
8
52%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.2
6.3
11.4
2
41%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 23.9
5.1
0
1-2
47%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.0
1.6
0
0-0
53%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
41.7
23.3
25
69%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
11-15
3-6
73%
50%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.4
40.1
31.3
15
59%
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
5-10
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.4
38.1
37.6
24
55%
8
7
1
1
1
2
0
8
6-11
55%
9-16
7-13
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.8
37.0
19.6
15
58%
12
5
0
0
1
1
3
9
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
50%
1-2
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
18.2
26.9
2
33%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.2
18.7
13.2
7
51%
1
3
0
1
3
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.6
14.7
13.4
2
20%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.2
12.7
9.6
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.2
10.7
6.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.9
8.1
6.9
7
90%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.0
22.2
1
2-5
46%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
8.9
0
1-1
41%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.