for complete access.
All Games Saturday, February 27, 2010
FinalWin Prob.pScore
14
Bucks
51%92
94
23
Heat
49%91
71
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
109.38681.6
MIA logo MIA
81.68792.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
100%
71
0%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILBell Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILMISS Brezec 18' Jump Shot92
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot92
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01MILMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21MIAArroyo 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS)92
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28MILMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18MILThomas 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45MILMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 290
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:10MILMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 2 of 290
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51MILStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 4:00MILAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 4:09MILBucks Rebound87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 4:10MILMISS Jennings 16' Jump Shot87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Anthony Layup87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 4:39MILAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:29MILBogut 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Delfino 5 AST)87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:51MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot85
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 6:08MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)85
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 6:21MIAHaslem Tip Shot (8 PTS)85
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 6:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)85
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Anthony Layup85
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 6:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 6:36MILMISS Ridnour 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 6:51MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)85
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 7:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot85
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 7:15MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 7:16MILMISS Ilyasova 20' Jump Shot85
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 7:36MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)85
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 7:55MILStackhouse 9' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 8:14MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 283
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 283
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:23MILArroyo STEAL (2 STL)83
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:37MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T12)83
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:45MILMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot83
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 9:08MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)83
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 9:08MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q4 - 9:24MILThomas 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Delfino 4 AST)83
99.8%
57
0.2%
Q4 - 9:40MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)81
99.8%
57
0.2%
Q4 - 9:44MILArroyo STEAL (1 STL)81
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q4 - 10:05MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot81
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 10:28MILDelfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)81
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 10:41MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
99.3%
57
0.7%
Q4 - 10:42MIAMISS Jones Layup78
99.3%
57
0.7%
Q4 - 10:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
99.2%
57
0.8%
Q4 - 10:54MILMISS Ilyasova 19' Jump Shot78
99.2%
57
0.8%
Q4 - 11:02MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot78
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q4 - 11:19MILStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)78
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q4 - 11:32MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)75
98.4%
57
1.6%
Q4 - 11:46MIAHEAT Rebound75
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot75
98.3%
57
1.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 62' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.3%
57
1.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
97.6%
57
2.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot75
97.9%
57
2.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)75
97.6%
57
2.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
97.9%
57
2.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P2.T9)75
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAChalmers Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)75
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q3 - 1:23MILSalmons 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)75
98.2%
55
1.8%
Q3 - 1:35MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T9)73
97.7%
55
2.3%
Q3 - 1:48MILStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)73
97.3%
55
2.7%
Q3 - 2:04MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)70
95.4%
55
4.6%
Q3 - 2:24MILSalmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jennings 8 AST)70
94.5%
55
5.5%
Q3 - 2:39MIAWright Dunk (10 PTS)67
92.3%
55
7.7%
Q3 - 2:43MILWright STEAL (3 STL)67
93.5%
53
6.5%
Q3 - 3:03MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T7)67
94.0%
53
6.0%
Q3 - 3:15MILDelfino 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jennings 7 AST)67
92.9%
53
7.1%
Q3 - 3:26MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
91.7%
53
8.3%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot65
91.2%
53
8.8%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
90.1%
53
9.9%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot65
91.2%
53
8.8%
Q3 - 3:47MIAHEAT Rebound65
90.1%
53
9.9%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup65
91.2%
53
8.8%
Q3 - 4:02MILSalmons Layup (13 PTS)65
89.4%
53
10.6%
Q3 - 4:08MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
87.9%
53
12.1%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Magloire Layup63
87.2%
53
12.8%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
85.6%
53
14.4%
Q3 - 4:30MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot63
86.4%
53
13.6%
Q3 - 4:31MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
88.0%
53
12.0%
Q3 - 4:32MILMISS Jennings 13' Jump Shot63
86.4%
53
13.6%
Q3 - 4:44MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
88.0%
53
12.0%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot63
87.3%
53
12.7%
Q3 - 5:02MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
84.5%
53
15.5%
Q3 - 5:02MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
84.0%
53
16.0%
Q3 - 5:08MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
82.5%
53
17.5%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Cook 9' Jump Shot61
81.7%
53
18.3%
Q3 - 5:28MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
79.7%
53
20.3%
Q3 - 5:28MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
79.3%
53
20.7%
Q3 - 5:37MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
77.2%
53
22.8%
Q3 - 5:38MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Running Hook Shot59
76.2%
53
23.8%
Q3 - 5:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
73.8%
53
26.2%
Q3 - 5:59MILO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)59
74.9%
53
25.1%
Q3 - 6:10MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
76.5%
53
23.5%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot59
75.5%
53
24.5%
Q3 - 6:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
73.1%
53
26.9%
Q3 - 6:24MILMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
74.2%
53
25.8%
Q3 - 6:46MIAAlston Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)59
76.5%
53
23.5%
Q3 - 6:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
79.0%
51
21.0%
Q3 - 6:53MILMISS Bogut Layup59
79.9%
51
20.1%
Q3 - 7:10MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)59
80.6%
51
19.4%
Q3 - 7:34MILBogut 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Salmons 5 AST)59
77.9%
51
22.1%
Q3 - 7:54MIACook 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
75.4%
51
24.6%
Q3 - 8:07MILAlston STEAL (1 STL)57
77.4%
49
22.6%
Q3 - 8:18MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
80.1%
49
19.9%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
79.3%
49
20.7%
Q3 - 8:37MILJennings Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)57
77.4%
49
22.6%
Q3 - 8:45MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
74.9%
49
25.1%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper55
73.9%
49
26.1%
Q3 - 9:09MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)55
71.4%
49
28.6%
Q3 - 9:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
65.1%
49
34.9%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot52
64.0%
49
36.0%
Q3 - 9:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
61.6%
49
38.4%
Q3 - 9:36MILMISS Bogut 10' Jump Hook Shot52
62.7%
49
37.3%
Q3 - 10:01MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)52
64.8%
49
35.2%
Q3 - 10:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
67.9%
47
32.1%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS Beasley 8' Running Jump Shot52
70.1%
47
29.9%
Q3 - 10:21MILDelfino 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
67.9%
47
32.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)50
64.8%
47
35.2%
Q3 - 10:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
67.9%
45
32.1%
Q3 - 10:55MILMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
68.9%
45
31.1%
Q3 - 11:09MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
70.7%
45
29.3%
Q3 - 11:10MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot50
69.7%
45
30.3%
Q3 - 11:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
67.6%
45
32.4%
Q3 - 11:36MILMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
68.5%
45
31.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL50
70.7%
45
29.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)50
69.8%
45
30.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
67.7%
45
32.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
69.2%
45
30.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0MILStackhouse Layup (5 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)50
67.7%
45
32.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
64.0%
45
36.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot48
63.2%
45
36.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
61.5%
45
38.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
61.0%
45
39.0%
Q2 - 1:11MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
57.5%
45
42.5%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 246
57.2%
45
42.8%
Q2 - 1:12MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)46
54.8%
45
45.2%
Q2 - 1:23MILSalmons 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
58.4%
44
41.6%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
54.3%
44
45.7%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
54.8%
43
45.2%
Q2 - 2:03MIAHEAT Rebound44
57.6%
42
42.4%
Q2 - 2:04MILMISS Jennings 19' Jump Shot44
58.6%
42
41.4%
Q2 - 2:27MIAO'Neal 7' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)44
60.9%
42
39.1%
Q2 - 2:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
63.8%
40
36.2%
Q2 - 2:49MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 144
64.2%
40
35.8%
Q2 - 3:01MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
61.1%
40
38.9%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot42
60.1%
40
39.9%
Q2 - 3:20MILDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)42
57.5%
40
42.5%
Q2 - 3:38MIAO'Neal 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
51.9%
40
48.1%
Q2 - 3:56MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
54.4%
38
45.6%
Q2 - 3:57MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
55.5%
38
44.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIAAlston 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
57.7%
38
42.3%
Q2 - 4:33MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Salmons 4 AST)39
60.4%
36
39.6%
Q2 - 4:59MIAWright Dunk (5 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)36
54.7%
36
45.3%
Q2 - 5:02MILWright STEAL (2 STL)36
57.7%
34
42.3%
Q2 - 5:16MIABeasley Driving Layup (8 PTS)36
60.5%
34
39.5%
Q2 - 5:27MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
63.4%
32
36.6%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Beasley Dunk36
65.2%
32
34.8%
Q2 - 5:34MILWright STEAL (1 STL)36
63.4%
32
36.6%
Q2 - 5:45MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
66.0%
32
34.0%
Q2 - 6:03MILIlyasova Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)36
67.8%
30
32.2%
Q2 - 6:14MILBucks Rebound34
65.8%
30
34.2%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot34
64.8%
30
35.2%
Q2 - 6:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
62.7%
30
37.3%
Q2 - 6:27MILMISS Jennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot34
63.6%
30
36.4%
Q2 - 6:50MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
65.8%
30
34.2%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot34
64.9%
30
35.1%
Q2 - 7:12MILThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)34
62.7%
30
37.3%
Q2 - 7:20MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
65.4%
30
34.6%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
64.6%
30
35.4%
Q2 - 7:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
62.7%
30
37.3%
Q2 - 7:35MILMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
63.5%
30
36.5%
Q2 - 7:53MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)34
65.5%
30
34.5%
Q2 - 8:08MILStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)34
67.2%
28
32.8%
Q2 - 8:19MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)31
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q2 - 8:27MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
59.7%
28
40.3%
Q2 - 8:27MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 230
59.2%
28
40.8%
Q2 - 8:48MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
59.8%
28
40.2%
Q2 - 8:59MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q2 - 9:00MILMISS Ridnour 16' Jump Shot30
63.2%
26
36.8%
Q2 - 9:19MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)30
64.5%
26
35.5%
Q2 - 9:36MILBeasley STEAL (1 STL)30
66.7%
24
33.3%
Q2 - 9:57MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
69.2%
24
30.8%
Q2 - 10:12MILIlyasova Layup (4 PTS)30
70.9%
22
29.1%
Q2 - 10:14MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
68.9%
22
31.1%
Q2 - 10:15MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
67.1%
22
32.9%
Q2 - 10:28MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
68.9%
22
31.1%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
68.1%
22
31.9%
Q2 - 10:45MILIlyasova Layup (2 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)28
66.4%
22
33.6%
Q2 - 10:56MIAWright Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)26
64.2%
22
35.8%
Q2 - 11:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
61.3%
22
38.7%
Q2 - 11:04MILMISS Ridnour 3PT Jump Shot26
62.1%
22
37.9%
Q2 - 11:22MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)26
63.8%
22
36.2%
Q2 - 11:27MIAWright Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)26
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q2 - 11:39MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
70.5%
18
29.5%
Q2 - 11:40MILMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot26
71.1%
18
28.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
72.6%
18
27.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
70.5%
18
29.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
67.4%
18
32.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot24
66.9%
18
33.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
65.7%
18
34.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup24
66.9%
18
33.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0MILThomas 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)24
65.7%
18
34.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)22
63.0%
18
37.0%
Q1 - 1:10MILChalmers STEAL (1 STL)22
65.4%
16
34.6%
Q1 - 1:22MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
66.9%
16
33.1%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot22
66.5%
16
33.5%
Q1 - 1:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
65.4%
16
34.6%
Q1 - 1:36MILMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
65.9%
16
34.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
66.9%
16
33.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
67.3%
15
32.7%
Q1 - 2:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
69.2%
14
30.8%
Q1 - 2:09MILMISS Bogut 8' Jump Hook Shot22
69.7%
14
30.3%
Q1 - 2:22MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
70.9%
14
29.1%
Q1 - 2:23MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot22
70.4%
14
29.6%
Q1 - 2:48MILSalmons Driving Layup (7 PTS)22
69.3%
14
30.7%
Q1 - 2:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup20
66.4%
14
33.6%
Q1 - 3:10MILSalmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 3:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 217
61.1%
13
38.9%
Q1 - 3:59MILSalmons 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
60.6%
13
39.4%
Q1 - 4:25MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
58.1%
13
41.9%
Q1 - 4:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
62.2%
10
37.8%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot15
63.8%
10
36.2%
Q1 - 4:46MILMbah a Moute Layup (4 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)15
62.3%
10
37.7%
Q1 - 5:02MIARichardson Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
59.8%
10
40.2%
Q1 - 5:03MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
61.6%
8
38.4%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot13
63.2%
8
36.8%
Q1 - 5:22MILDelfino 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)13
61.7%
8
38.3%
Q1 - 5:42MIACook 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)10
57.7%
8
42.3%
Q1 - 5:58MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Jennings: Tip to Alston10
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 5:59MILMISS Jennings 17' Jump Shot10
60.3%
6
39.7%
Q1 - 6:06MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
61.6%
6
38.4%
Q1 - 6:07MILMISS Salmons 12' Jump Shot10
60.2%
6
39.8%
Q1 - 6:24MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
61.6%
6
38.4%
Q1 - 6:36MILBogut Tip Shot (2 PTS)10
59.5%
6
40.5%
Q1 - 6:37MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 6:39MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot8
56.1%
6
43.9%
Q1 - 6:40MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 6:41MILMISS Delfino Driving Reverse Layup8
56.1%
6
43.9%
Q1 - 6:52MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 7:13MILMbah a Moute Dunk (2 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)8
55.3%
6
44.7%
Q1 - 7:16MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
53.4%
6
46.6%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Running Jump Shot6
52.7%
6
47.3%
Q1 - 7:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
51.2%
6
48.8%
Q1 - 7:38MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
51.9%
6
48.1%
Q1 - 8:01MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
53.4%
6
46.6%
Q1 - 8:23MILDelfino 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)6
55.5%
4
44.5%
Q1 - 8:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
53.4%
4
46.6%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot4
52.8%
4
47.2%
Q1 - 9:01MILJennings 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 9:11MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.7%
4
50.3%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 9:31MILJennings 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
47.8%
4
52.2%
Q1 - 9:40MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.7%
4
54.3%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup0
45.1%
4
54.9%
Q1 - 9:52MILMbah a Moute Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 10:06MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)0
46.2%
4
53.8%
Q1 - 10:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.9%
2
52.1%
Q1 - 10:21MILMISS Bogut Driving Layup0
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 10:36MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
49.9%
2
50.1%
Q1 - 10:54MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
51.6%
0
48.4%
Q1 - 10:55MILO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 10:57MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 10:58MILMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 11:09MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.4%
0
46.6%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 11:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
51.7%
0
48.3%
Q1 - 11:23MILMISS Bogut 7' Running Hook Shot0
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 11:35MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.4%
0
46.6%
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Bogut: Tip to Cook0
51.7%
0
48.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.12 56.0%
MIA
0.78 39.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
13
21
62%
MIA
9
20
45%
Midrange
MIL
15
32
47%
MIA
16
45
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
MIA
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
MIL
8
10
80%
MIA
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Salmons1875%9.0 / 12
J. Stackhouse1680%8.0 / 10
C. Delfino1568%7.5 / 11
B. Jennings1146%5.5 / 12
L. Mbah a Moute975%4.5 / 6
A. Bogut840%4.0 / 10
K. Thomas750%3.5 / 7
E. Ilyasova643%3.0 / 7
L. Ridnour225%1.0 / 4
C. Bell250%1.0 / 2
R. Ivey0-0.0 / 1
P. Brezec0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal1458%7.0 / 12
M. Beasley1036%5.0 / 14
D. Wright1056%5.0 / 9
D. Cook833%4.0 / 12
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
M. Chalmers732%3.5 / 11
J. Jones531%2.5 / 8
R. Alston440%2.0 / 5
C. Arroyo375%1.5 / 2
Q. Richardson2100%1.0 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 3
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
74
+9
-12
83
MIA
77
+13
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.12 56.0%
MIA
0.78 39.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
106.7
MIL 109.3
MIA 81.6 +27.7
Pace
91.8
89.6
MIL 81.6
MIA 92.0 +10.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
MIL 17.7
MIA 15.7 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
49.6%
MIL 54.4% +16.6%
MIA 37.8%
TO %
13.6%
13.6%
MIL 12.6%
MIA 12.3% +0.3%
ORB %
26.2%
26.0%
MIL 20.5% +0.1%
MIA 20.4%
FTrt
23.9
29.6
MIL 12.7
MIA 23.1 +10.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.0%
51.9%
MIL 63.2% +31.1%
MIA 32.1%
STL %
7.6%
8.1%
MIL 2.3%
MIA 9.2% +6.9%
BLK %
7.6%
9.4%
MIL 9.2% +1.7%
MIA 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
52.1%
MIL 56.0% +17.0%
MIA 39.0%
Rim FG%
54.4%
62.0%
MIL 61.9% +16.9%
MIA 45.0%
Mid FG%
40.2%
40.8%
MIL 46.9% +11.3%
MIA 35.6%
3P %
35.6%
34.6%
MIL 38.5% +15.4%
MIA 23.1%
FT %
75.5%
75.2%
MIL 80.0% +13.3%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
29.8%
MIL 26.6% +0.9%
MIA 25.6%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
48.3%
MIL 40.5% +17.2%
MIA 57.7%
3P Att. %
25.9%
21.9%
MIL 32.9% +16.2%
MIA 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points9471
Rebounds4741
Assists249
Steals28
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals38-7928-78
At-the-Rim FG13-219-20
Midrange FG15-3216-45
2-Point FG28-5325-65
3-Point FG10-263-13
Free Throws8-1012-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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14 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Carlos Delfino
F · 6'6" 230 · 27
36.4
15
68%
8
5
1
0
5
2
0
8
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-6
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20
30.5
11
46%
5
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
G · 6'6" 210 · 30
30.2
18
75%
3
5
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25
29.9
8
40%
10
0
0
2
1
2
2
8
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
23.9
9
75%
7
0
0
1
1
0
3
4
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35
25.2
16
80%
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
20.6
6
43%
7
1
0
0
2
4
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37
18.1
7
50%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29
14.0
2
25%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31
4.2
2
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
#50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Michael Redd
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
56%
47
24
2
6
12
0
8
39
8-10
80%
28-53
53%
10-26
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.