| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 CHI | 94.7 | 95 | 107.5 |
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Scoring Opportunities
CHI
74
+17
-21
91
IND
80
+10
-15
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CHI
0.99 49.5%
IND
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | CHI | IND |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | CHI | 90 0% | 100 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | IND | MISS Watson 14' Jump Shot | 90 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:27.0 | CHI | Warrick 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST) | 90 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:35.0 | CHI | Murray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 88 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | IND | MISS Granger 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 88 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:59.0 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 88 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:00 | CHI | MISS Pargo 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 88 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:06 | CHI | Warrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 88 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:07 | IND | MISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 88 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:30 | CHI | Granger STEAL (4 STL) | 88 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:39 | IND | Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS) | 88 0.3% | 100 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:39 | IND | Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS) | 88 0.3% | 99 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:39 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 88 0.4% | 98 99.6% |
| Q4 - 1:40 | CHI | MISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot | 88 0.5% | 98 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:46 | IND | Murphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 88 0.9% | 98 99.1% |
| Q4 - 1:46 | IND | Murphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 88 1.0% | 97 99.0% |
| Q4 - 2:11 | CHI | Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 88 1.3% | 96 98.7% |
| Q4 - 2:28 | IND | Granger 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (28 PTS) | 85 0.6% | 96 99.4% |
| Q4 - 2:49 | CHI | Pargo 18' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 85 0.8% | 94 99.2% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | IND | PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18) | 83 0.9% | 94 99.1% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | CHI | Rose 11' Fadeaway Bank Shot (27 PTS) | 83 0.5% | 94 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:29 | IND | Ford Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P6.T17) | 81 0.4% | 94 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:49 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 81 0.6% | 94 99.4% |
| Q4 - 3:49 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 80 0.5% | 94 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:55 | IND | Hibbert 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T16) | 79 0.4% | 94 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:14 | CHI | Deng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T20) | 79 0.2% | 94 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:24 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13) | 79 0.4% | 94 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:24 | CHI | MISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 | 79 0.3% | 94 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:24 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 79 0.3% | 94 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:30 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 78 0.2% | 94 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:30 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 78 0.3% | 93 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:42 | IND | Ford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 78 0.3% | 92 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:43 | CHI | MISS Pargo 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 0.4% | 92 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:50 | IND | PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15) | 78 0.5% | 92 99.5% |
| Q4 - 5:15 | CHI | Pargo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T19) | 78 0.7% | 92 99.3% |
| Q4 - 5:22 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 78 1.0% | 92 99.0% |
| Q4 - 5:22 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 78 1.1% | 91 98.9% |
| Q4 - 5:41 | IND | Rush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 78 1.4% | 90 98.6% |
| Q4 - 5:45 | CHI | MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot | 78 1.5% | 90 98.5% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 78 1.9% | 90 98.1% |
| Q4 - 5:57 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 1.5% | 90 98.5% |
| Q4 - 6:02 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13) | 78 2.9% | 90 97.1% |
| Q4 - 6:03 | IND | MISS Hibbert 15' Jump Shot | 78 2.6% | 90 97.4% |
| Q4 - 6:23 | CHI | Pargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 78 2.1% | 90 97.9% |
| Q4 - 6:23 | CHI | Pargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 77 2.0% | 90 98.0% |
| Q4 - 6:26 | CHI | Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 76 1.6% | 90 98.4% |
| Q4 - 6:27 | IND | MISS Jones 20' Jump Shot | 76 1.4% | 90 98.6% |
| Q4 - 6:50 | CHI | Granger STEAL (3 STL) | 76 1.1% | 90 98.9% |
| Q4 - 6:59 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12) | 76 1.6% | 90 98.4% |
| Q4 - 7:00 | IND | MISS Murphy 16' Jump Shot | 76 1.4% | 90 98.6% |
| Q4 - 7:23 | CHI | Rush STEAL (1 STL) | 76 1.6% | 90 98.4% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | IND | Granger Free Throw Technical (26 PTS) | 76 2.2% | 90 97.8% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11) | 76 2.8% | 89 97.2% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | CHI | Murphy BLOCK (1 BLK) | 76 2.3% | 89 97.7% |
| Q4 - 7:28 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11) | 76 2.8% | 89 97.2% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | CHI | MISS Deng 18' Jump Shot | 76 2.3% | 89 97.7% |
| Q4 - 7:41 | IND | Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 76 2.8% | 89 97.2% |
| Q4 - 7:41 | IND | Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 76 2.9% | 88 97.1% |
| Q4 - 7:57 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 76 3.6% | 87 96.4% |
| Q4 - 7:57 | CHI | MISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 | 75 3.4% | 87 96.6% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | IND | PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14) | 75 4.6% | 87 95.4% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 75 3.6% | 87 96.4% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | IND | MISS Rush Layup | 75 4.3% | 87 95.7% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 75 3.6% | 87 96.4% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 74 3.4% | 87 96.6% |
| Q4 - 8:58 | IND | Ford Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13) | 73 2.8% | 87 97.2% |
| Q4 - 9:14 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 73 2.8% | 87 97.2% |
| Q4 - 9:15 | CHI | MISS Rose 2' Layup | 73 3.0% | 87 97.0% |
| Q4 - 9:30 | IND | Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Head 1 AST) | 73 3.5% | 87 96.5% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | CHI | Rose Layup (19 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST) | 73 5.6% | 84 94.4% |
| Q4 - 9:56 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 71 4.4% | 84 95.6% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | CHI | MISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot | 71 3.8% | 84 96.2% |
| Q4 - 10:01 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 71 5.2% | 84 94.8% |
| Q4 - 10:02 | IND | MISS Granger 3' Putback Layup | 71 4.9% | 84 95.1% |
| Q4 - 10:02 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 71 4.2% | 84 95.8% |
| Q4 - 10:04 | IND | MISS Jones 8' Jump Shot | 71 4.9% | 84 95.1% |
| Q4 - 10:16 | CHI | Rose 2' Layup (17 PTS) | 71 4.2% | 84 95.8% |
| Q4 - 10:25 | IND | Ford Traveling Turnover (P4.T12) | 69 3.4% | 84 96.6% |
| Q4 - 10:34 | CHI | Gibson Traveling Turnover (P4.T16) | 69 2.7% | 84 97.3% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | IND | Jones 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Ford 7 AST) | 69 3.3% | 84 96.7% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | CHI | Gibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 69 4.1% | 82 95.9% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | CHI | MISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 3.9% | 82 96.1% |
| Q4 - 11:17 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 68 4.8% | 82 95.2% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | IND | MISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 4.6% | 82 95.4% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | IND | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 68 4.0% | 82 96.0% |
| Q4 - 11:26 | CHI | MISS Deng 19' Jump Shot | 68 4.2% | 82 95.8% |
| Q4 - 11:47 | IND | Jones Layup (15 PTS) (Ford 6 AST) | 68 4.8% | 82 95.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHI | 68 5.9% | 80 94.1% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 68 7.2% | 80 92.8% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHI | MISS Pargo 51' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 6.3% | 80 93.7% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | IND | Murphy 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ford 5 AST) | 68 7.9% | 80 92.1% |
| Q3 - 0:19.0 | CHI | Gibson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T15) | 68 9.7% | 78 90.3% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 68 11.4% | 78 88.6% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | IND | MISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 2 | 68 11.1% | 78 88.9% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | IND | Ford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 68 9.7% | 78 90.3% |
| Q3 - 0:42.0 | CHI | Gibson Layup (13 PTS) | 68 11.6% | 77 88.4% |
| Q3 - 0:42.0 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 66 9.5% | 77 90.5% |
| Q3 - 0:43.0 | CHI | MISS Pargo 3' Jump Shot | 66 8.4% | 77 91.6% |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11) | 66 9.5% | 77 90.5% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | IND | MISS Jones 13' Jump Shot | 66 9.0% | 77 91.0% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 66 8.5% | 77 91.5% |
| Q3 - 1:13 | CHI | MISS Murray 17' Jump Shot | 66 9.0% | 77 91.0% |
| Q3 - 1:14 | CHI | Murray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 66 10.1% | 77 89.9% |
| Q3 - 1:21 | CHI | Head BLOCK (1 BLK) | 66 9.0% | 77 91.0% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | IND | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 66 10.0% | 77 90.0% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | IND | MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 | 66 10.4% | 76 89.6% |
| Q3 - 1:41 | IND | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 10.2% | 76 89.8% |
| Q3 - 1:42 | CHI | MISS Pargo 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 10.7% | 76 89.3% |
| Q3 - 1:58 | IND | Head Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 66 11.9% | 76 88.1% |
| Q3 - 1:58 | IND | Head Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 66 12.3% | 75 87.7% |
| Q3 - 2:28 | CHI | Pargo 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST) | 66 15.0% | 74 85.0% |
| Q3 - 2:48 | IND | Watson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 64 12.7% | 74 87.3% |
| Q3 - 3:04 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 64 11.6% | 74 88.4% |
| Q3 - 3:04 | CHI | MISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 | 64 11.9% | 74 88.1% |
| Q3 - 3:04 | CHI | MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 | 64 13.2% | 74 86.8% |
| Q3 - 3:18 | IND | Jones 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Watson 5 AST) | 64 13.7% | 74 86.3% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | CHI | Miller Foul Turnover (P3.T14) | 64 15.8% | 72 84.2% |
| Q3 - 3:47 | IND | Jones 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rush 3 AST) | 64 18.5% | 72 81.5% |
| Q3 - 4:02 | CHI | Miller 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rose 4 AST) | 64 21.5% | 70 78.5% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | IND | Jones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10) | 62 19.1% | 70 80.9% |
| Q3 - 4:43 | IND | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 62 16.2% | 70 83.8% |
| Q3 - 4:44 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 46' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 17.0% | 70 83.0% |
| Q3 - 4:50 | CHI | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 62 19.1% | 70 80.9% |
| Q3 - 4:51 | IND | MISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot | 62 18.2% | 70 81.8% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | CHI | Deng 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gibson 3 AST) | 62 16.7% | 70 83.3% |
| Q3 - 5:28 | CHI | Warrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 60 14.7% | 70 85.3% |
| Q3 - 5:29 | IND | MISS Granger 1' Layup | 60 14.0% | 70 86.0% |
| Q3 - 5:48 | CHI | Rose 14' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) | 60 12.5% | 70 87.5% |
| Q3 - 6:05 | IND | Granger 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Watson 4 AST) | 58 11.7% | 70 88.3% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | CHI | Gibson 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Rose 3 AST) | 58 13.2% | 68 86.8% |
| Q3 - 6:54 | IND | Murphy Dunk (13 PTS) (Ford 4 AST) | 56 11.6% | 68 88.4% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 56 13.9% | 66 86.1% |
| Q3 - 7:10 | CHI | MISS Deng 20' Jump Shot | 56 14.6% | 66 85.4% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 56 16.1% | 66 83.9% |
| Q3 - 7:18 | IND | MISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 15.4% | 66 84.6% |
| Q3 - 7:26 | IND | Ford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 56 13.9% | 66 86.1% |
| Q3 - 7:27 | IND | MISS Rush 1' Layup | 56 15.4% | 66 84.6% |
| Q3 - 7:39 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 56 13.9% | 66 86.1% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | CHI | MISS Warrick 12' Jump Shot | 56 14.5% | 66 85.5% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 56 16.0% | 66 84.0% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | IND | MISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot | 56 15.3% | 66 84.7% |
| Q3 - 8:06 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 56 14.3% | 66 85.7% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | IND | MISS Granger 12' Jump Shot | 56 15.7% | 66 84.3% |
| Q3 - 8:25 | CHI | Gibson 7' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) | 56 14.3% | 66 85.7% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | IND | Granger 1' Layup (18 PTS) | 54 12.6% | 66 87.4% |
| Q3 - 8:50 | CHI | Deng 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST) | 54 14.3% | 64 85.7% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | IND | Murphy 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) | 52 13.0% | 64 87.0% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 52 14.7% | 62 85.3% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | CHI | MISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 | 51 14.4% | 62 85.6% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | IND | Ford 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST) | 51 14.7% | 62 85.3% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | CHI | Rose 9' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) | 51 16.7% | 60 83.3% |
| Q3 - 10:15 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 49 15.3% | 60 84.7% |
| Q3 - 10:16 | IND | MISS Rush 17' Jump Shot | 49 14.8% | 60 85.2% |
| Q3 - 10:24 | CHI | Granger STEAL (2 STL) | 49 13.5% | 60 86.5% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | IND | Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST) | 49 15.3% | 60 84.7% |
| Q3 - 10:55 | IND | Rush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 49 19.4% | 57 80.6% |
| Q3 - 10:56 | CHI | MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot | 49 20.1% | 57 79.9% |
| Q3 - 11:19 | IND | Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ford 3 AST) | 49 22.3% | 57 77.7% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | CHI | Miller 1' Layup (7 PTS) | 49 27.4% | 54 72.6% |
| Q3 - 11:40 | CHI | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 47 24.8% | 54 75.2% |
| Q3 - 11:41 | CHI | Rush BLOCK (2 BLK) | 47 23.0% | 54 77.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | 47 24.8% | 54 75.2% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 47 22.2% | 54 77.8% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 23.9% | 54 76.1% |
| Q2 - 0:18.0 | IND | Jones 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 2 AST) | 47 25.1% | 54 74.9% |
| Q2 - 0:42.0 | CHI | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 47 28.3% | 52 71.7% |
| Q2 - 0:42.0 | CHI | Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 46 27.8% | 52 72.2% |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 45 25.1% | 52 74.9% |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | IND | MISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 24.5% | 52 75.5% |
| Q2 - 1:02 | CHI | Watson STEAL (3 STL) | 45 23.6% | 52 76.4% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | IND | Watson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 45 25.4% | 52 74.6% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | IND | Watson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 45 26.0% | 51 74.0% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | CHI | Watson STEAL (2 STL) | 45 28.7% | 50 71.3% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | CHI | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 30.7% | 50 69.3% |
| Q2 - 1:17 | IND | MISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot | 45 30.1% | 50 69.9% |
| Q2 - 1:37 | CHI | Deng Layup (7 PTS) (Rose 2 AST) | 45 28.7% | 50 71.3% |
| Q2 - 1:53 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 43 25.4% | 50 74.6% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | CHI | MISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot | 43 24.2% | 50 75.8% |
| Q2 - 1:57 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 43 25.4% | 50 74.6% |
| Q2 - 1:58 | CHI | Hibbert BLOCK (1 BLK) | 43 24.2% | 50 75.8% |
| Q2 - 2:04 | IND | Hibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 43 26.1% | 50 73.9% |
| Q2 - 2:22 | CHI | Hinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 43 23.5% | 50 76.5% |
| Q2 - 2:22 | CHI | Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 42 23.1% | 50 76.9% |
| Q2 - 2:40 | IND | Rush 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 41 21.4% | 50 78.6% |
| Q2 - 2:53 | IND | Rush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 41 23.6% | 48 76.4% |
| Q2 - 2:54 | IND | MISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot | 41 25.2% | 48 74.8% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | IND | MISS Ford Free Throw Technical | 41 23.8% | 48 76.2% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | IND | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 41 23.8% | 48 76.2% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | IND | MISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 25.7% | 48 74.3% |
| Q2 - 3:45 | CHI | Hibbert STEAL (1 STL) | 41 23.8% | 48 76.2% |
| Q2 - 3:59 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 41 26.6% | 48 73.4% |
| Q2 - 4:11 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 41 31.5% | 45 68.5% |
| Q2 - 4:11 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 40 31.0% | 45 69.0% |
| Q2 - 4:29 | IND | Head Layup (6 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST) | 39 29.2% | 45 70.8% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | IND | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 31.5% | 43 68.5% |
| Q2 - 4:46 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot | 39 32.4% | 43 67.6% |
| Q2 - 4:53 | CHI | Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 34.5% | 43 65.5% |
| Q2 - 4:54 | IND | MISS Granger 19' Jump Shot | 39 33.6% | 43 66.4% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 39 32.1% | 43 67.9% |
| Q2 - 5:03 | CHI | MISS Rose 19' Jump Shot | 39 32.8% | 43 67.2% |
| Q2 - 5:09 | CHI | Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 39 34.6% | 43 65.4% |
| Q2 - 5:10 | IND | MISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 33.8% | 43 66.2% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | IND | Rush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 39 32.0% | 43 68.0% |
| Q2 - 5:20 | CHI | MISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot | 39 32.8% | 43 67.2% |
| Q2 - 5:32 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 39 34.6% | 43 65.4% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 39 40.3% | 40 59.7% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | CHI | MISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 39 40.6% | 40 59.4% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | CHI | Gibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 39 42.3% | 40 57.7% |
| Q2 - 5:53 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 38 40.2% | 40 59.8% |
| Q2 - 5:54 | CHI | MISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot | 38 38.3% | 40 61.7% |
| Q2 - 6:11 | IND | Granger 15' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 38 40.5% | 40 59.5% |
| Q2 - 6:31 | CHI | Rose 1' Layup (8 PTS) | 38 42.8% | 38 57.2% |
| Q2 - 6:37 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 36 40.5% | 38 59.5% |
| Q2 - 6:38 | IND | MISS Head 5' Jump Shot | 36 39.5% | 38 60.5% |
| Q2 - 6:51 | CHI | Rose 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) | 36 37.2% | 38 62.8% |
| Q2 - 7:05 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 34 35.0% | 38 65.0% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | IND | MISS Granger 4' Jump Shot | 34 34.2% | 38 65.8% |
| Q2 - 7:23 | CHI | Gibson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9) | 34 32.4% | 38 67.6% |
| Q2 - 7:45 | IND | Granger 1' Layup (8 PTS) | 34 35.0% | 38 65.0% |
| Q2 - 8:14 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 34 37.6% | 36 62.4% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | CHI | MISS Warrick 17' Jump Shot | 34 38.4% | 36 61.6% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | IND | Murphy 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 1 AST) | 34 40.3% | 36 59.7% |
| Q2 - 8:45 | CHI | Warrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 34 42.9% | 34 57.1% |
| Q2 - 8:45 | CHI | Warrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 33 42.2% | 34 57.8% |
| Q2 - 8:52 | CHI | Pargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 40.3% | 34 59.7% |
| Q2 - 8:53 | IND | MISS Hibbert 21' Jump Shot | 32 39.4% | 34 60.6% |
| Q2 - 9:02 | CHI | Pargo 16' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) | 32 37.4% | 34 62.6% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 30 35.1% | 34 64.9% |
| Q2 - 9:25 | IND | MISS Jones 19' Jump Shot | 30 34.3% | 34 65.7% |
| Q2 - 9:41 | CHI | Warrick Traveling Turnover (P2.T8) | 30 32.6% | 34 67.4% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | CHI | Warrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 30 35.1% | 34 64.9% |
| Q2 - 9:48 | CHI | MISS Gibson 15' Jump Shot | 30 33.4% | 34 66.6% |
| Q2 - 9:54 | CHI | Pargo Free Throw Technical (6 PTS) | 30 35.1% | 34 64.9% |
| Q2 - 10:07 | IND | Head 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST) | 29 33.0% | 34 67.0% |
| Q2 - 10:21 | CHI | Pargo 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST) | 29 35.1% | 32 64.9% |
| Q2 - 10:36 | IND | Head Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 26 30.7% | 32 69.3% |
| Q2 - 10:36 | IND | Head Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 26 31.0% | 31 69.0% |
| Q2 - 10:50 | CHI | Gibson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 26 32.7% | 30 67.3% |
| Q2 - 10:59 | IND | Hibbert 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 24 30.7% | 30 69.3% |
| Q2 - 11:01 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 24 33.0% | 28 67.0% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | IND | MISS Hibbert 3' Layup | 24 34.6% | 28 65.4% |
| Q2 - 11:04 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 24 33.0% | 28 67.0% |
| Q2 - 11:07 | IND | MISS Hibbert 1' Layup | 24 34.6% | 28 65.4% |
| Q2 - 11:10 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 24 33.0% | 28 67.0% |
| Q2 - 11:11 | IND | MISS Hibbert 6' Jump Shot | 24 34.6% | 28 65.4% |
| Q2 - 11:27 | CHI | Murray Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 24 33.0% | 28 67.0% |
| Q2 - 11:42 | IND | Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS) | 24 35.4% | 28 64.6% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 24 40.0% | 25 60.0% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | CHI | MISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot | 24 40.8% | 25 59.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | 24 42.6% | 25 57.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | CHI | Pargo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 24 40.2% | 25 59.8% |
| Q1 - 0:23.0 | CHI | Pargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 37.4% | 25 62.6% |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 36.8% | 25 63.2% |
| Q1 - 0:41.0 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 22 35.5% | 25 64.5% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 36.8% | 25 63.2% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | CHI | Warrick Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 22 35.5% | 25 64.5% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | IND | Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 22 37.5% | 25 62.5% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | CHI | Murray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 22 42.7% | 22 57.3% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | CHI | Murray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 21 42.2% | 22 57.8% |
| Q1 - 1:50 | IND | Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 20 39.7% | 22 60.3% |
| Q1 - 1:50 | IND | Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 20 40.0% | 21 60.0% |
| Q1 - 1:53 | IND | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 42.7% | 20 57.3% |
| Q1 - 1:54 | CHI | MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 43.2% | 20 56.8% |
| Q1 - 2:07 | IND | Hibbert Traveling Turnover (P1.T8) | 20 44.6% | 20 55.4% |
| Q1 - 2:22 | CHI | Rose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 20 42.7% | 20 57.3% |
| Q1 - 2:26 | CHI | Warrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 44.6% | 20 55.4% |
| Q1 - 2:27 | IND | MISS Watson 1' Layup | 20 44.0% | 20 56.0% |
| Q1 - 2:36 | CHI | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 20 42.7% | 20 57.3% |
| Q1 - 2:51 | IND | Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rush 1 AST) | 17 37.8% | 20 62.2% |
| Q1 - 2:59 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 42.7% | 17 57.3% |
| Q1 - 3:00 | CHI | MISS Rose 20' Jump Shot | 17 43.3% | 17 56.7% |
| Q1 - 3:26 | IND | Ford 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) | 17 44.8% | 17 55.2% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | CHI | Murphy STEAL (1 STL) | 17 47.0% | 15 53.0% |
| Q1 - 3:44 | IND | Ford Layup (4 PTS) (Watson 3 AST) | 17 49.4% | 15 50.6% |
| Q1 - 3:50 | IND | Rush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 51.7% | 13 48.3% |
| Q1 - 3:51 | CHI | MISS Murray 16' Jump Shot | 17 52.4% | 13 47.6% |
| Q1 - 3:59 | IND | Watson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 17 54.0% | 13 46.0% |
| Q1 - 4:05 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 51.0% | 13 49.0% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | CHI | MISS Deng 2' Layup | 17 51.7% | 13 48.3% |
| Q1 - 4:14 | IND | Granger Foul Turnover (P2.T6) | 17 53.4% | 13 46.6% |
| Q1 - 4:35 | CHI | Rose 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST) | 17 51.1% | 13 48.9% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | IND | Ford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5) | 15 49.0% | 13 51.0% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | CHI | Rose 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST) | 15 46.3% | 13 53.7% |
| Q1 - 5:18 | IND | Granger 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST) | 13 44.4% | 13 55.6% |
| Q1 - 5:40 | CHI | Hinrich 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 13 46.3% | 11 53.7% |
| Q1 - 6:02 | IND | Ford 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 11 44.1% | 11 55.9% |
| Q1 - 6:06 | CHI | Ford STEAL (1 STL) | 11 46.2% | 9 53.8% |
| Q1 - 6:17 | IND | Granger 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 11 48.4% | 9 51.6% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | CHI | Watson STEAL (1 STL) | 11 50.4% | 7 49.6% |
| Q1 - 6:23 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 11 52.6% | 7 47.4% |
| Q1 - 6:26 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 11 52.6% | 7 47.4% |
| Q1 - 6:26 | CHI | MISS Deng Tip Shot | 11 51.1% | 7 48.9% |
| Q1 - 6:27 | CHI | MISS Gibson 16' Jump Shot | 11 51.1% | 7 48.9% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 11 52.6% | 7 47.4% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | IND | MISS Granger 20' Jump Shot | 11 51.9% | 7 48.1% |
| Q1 - 6:50 | CHI | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 11 50.4% | 7 49.6% |
| Q1 - 6:50 | CHI | MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 | 10 50.0% | 7 50.0% |
| Q1 - 6:52 | IND | Murphy Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 10 50.5% | 7 49.5% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | IND | Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 48.0% | 7 52.0% |
| Q1 - 7:03 | CHI | Granger BLOCK (1 BLK) | 10 48.7% | 7 51.3% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | IND | Ford Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3) | 10 50.3% | 7 49.7% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | CHI | Granger STEAL (1 STL) | 10 48.1% | 7 51.9% |
| Q1 - 7:35 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 10 50.3% | 7 49.7% |
| Q1 - 7:36 | IND | MISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 49.6% | 7 50.4% |
| Q1 - 7:51 | IND | Rush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 48.1% | 7 51.9% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | CHI | MISS Rose 19' Jump Shot | 10 48.7% | 7 51.3% |
| Q1 - 8:12 | IND | Murphy Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) | 10 50.1% | 7 49.9% |
| Q1 - 8:20 | IND | Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 52.2% | 5 47.8% |
| Q1 - 8:20 | CHI | MISS Deng 8' Jump Shot | 10 52.8% | 5 47.2% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 54.2% | 5 45.8% |
| Q1 - 8:37 | IND | MISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 53.6% | 5 46.4% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 52.2% | 5 47.8% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | CHI | MISS Gibson 8' Jump Shot | 10 52.8% | 5 47.2% |
| Q1 - 9:07 | CHI | Miller Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 10 54.1% | 5 45.9% |
| Q1 - 9:07 | CHI | Miller Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 9 53.7% | 5 46.3% |
| Q1 - 9:09 | IND | Ford Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 8 50.1% | 5 49.9% |
| Q1 - 9:24 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 8 48.2% | 5 51.8% |
| Q1 - 9:24 | CHI | Gibson Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 8 48.2% | 5 51.8% |
| Q1 - 9:25 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 46.1% | 5 53.9% |
| Q1 - 9:25 | CHI | MISS Gibson Tip Shot | 6 44.8% | 5 55.2% |
| Q1 - 9:28 | CHI | MISS Deng 12' Jump Shot | 6 44.8% | 5 55.2% |
| Q1 - 9:33 | IND | Granger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 46.1% | 5 53.9% |
| Q1 - 9:45 | CHI | Deng 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) | 6 44.2% | 5 55.8% |
| Q1 - 10:01 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 42.2% | 5 57.8% |
| Q1 - 10:01 | IND | MISS Watson 7' Jump Shot | 4 41.6% | 5 58.4% |
| Q1 - 10:30 | CHI | Gibson 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 40.2% | 5 59.8% |
| Q1 - 10:41 | CHI | Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 38.6% | 5 61.4% |
| Q1 - 10:42 | IND | MISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 38.0% | 5 62.0% |
| Q1 - 10:54 | CHI | Deng 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST) | 2 36.7% | 5 63.3% |
| Q1 - 11:10 | IND | Murphy 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST) | 0 35.6% | 5 64.4% |
| Q1 - 11:30 | IND | Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 37.1% | 3 62.9% |
| Q1 - 11:32 | CHI | Rush BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 37.6% | 3 62.4% |
| Q1 - 11:53 | IND | Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST) | 0 38.7% | 3 61.3% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | IND | Jump Ball Granger vs. Miller: Tip to Watson | 0 42.0% | 0 58.0% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
CHI
0.99 49.5%
IND
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
14
23
61%
IND
20
29
69%
Midrange
CHI
14
38
37%
IND
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
IND
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
CHI
25
33
76%
IND
25
28
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Bulls| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rose | 27 | 68% | 13.5 / 20 | |
| T. Gibson | 14 | 58% | 7.0 / 12 | |
| J. Pargo | 14 | 41% | 7.0 / 17 | |
| L. Deng | 13 | 38% | 6.5 / 17 | |
| B. Miller | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| K. Hinrich | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| H. Warrick | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 | |
| R. Murray | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Pacers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Granger | 30 | 63% | 15.0 / 24 | |
| T. Murphy | 17 | 77% | 8.5 / 11 | |
| D. Jones | 17 | 71% | 8.5 / 12 | |
| R. Hibbert | 12 | 46% | 6.0 / 13 | |
| T. Ford | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| L. Head | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| B. Rush | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| E. Watson | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| M. Dunleavy | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
CHI
74
+17
-21
91
IND
80
+10
-15
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CHI
0.99 49.5%
IND
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.9 103.8 | CHI 94.7 +10.5 IND 105.3 |
| Pace | 92.9 97.0 | CHI 107.5 +22.3 IND 85.1 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.1 14.5 | CHI 13.4 +3.5 IND 16.9 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.7% 49.1% | CHI 43.9% IND 50.7% +6.8% |
| TO % | 14.6% 14.7% | CHI 19.2% IND 17.3% +1.9% |
| ORB % | 26.5% 21.6% | CHI 31.7% +10.6% IND 21.1% |
| FTrt | 28.7 29.6 | CHI 44.6 +6.8 IND 37.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 55.3% 57.3% | CHI 45.2% IND 65.7% +20.5% |
| STL % | 6.9% 7.4% | CHI 7.4% IND 11.6% +4.2% |
| BLK % | 9.2% 8.0% | CHI 7.0% IND 9.8% +2.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.6% 52.2% | CHI 49.5% IND 55.6% +6.1% |
| Rim FG% | 56.0% 57.4% | CHI 60.9% IND 69.0% +8.1% |
| Mid FG% | 41.2% 39.8% | CHI 36.8% +1.1% IND 35.7% |
| 3P % | 33.0% 34.8% | CHI 23.1% IND 29.4% +6.3% |
| FT % | 75.4% 77.5% | CHI 75.8% IND 89.3% +13.5% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.3% 33.3% | CHI 31.1% IND 39.2% +8.1% |
| Mid Att. % | 49.1% 38.9% | CHI 51.4% IND 37.8% +13.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 15.6% 27.8% | CHI 17.6% IND 23.0% +5.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | CHI | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 95 | 95 |
| Possession Minutes | 21.2 | 26.8 |
| Points | 90 | 100 |
| Rebounds | 43 | 36 |
| Assists | 14 | 23 |
| Steals | 7 | 11 |
| Blocks | 4 | 6 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 21 (0) | 15 (3) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 13 (4) | 8 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 30 (0) | 28 (1) |
| Field Goals | 31-74 | 35-74 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 14-23 | 20-29 |
| Midrange FG | 14-38 | 10-28 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-61 | 30-57 |
| 3-Point FG | 3-13 | 5-17 |
| Free Throws | 25-33 | 25-28 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.