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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets28%96110
7Jazz72%104133
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.8
39.3
26.7
14
51%
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.1
33.6
37.0
32
85%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
12-13
92%
7-9
5-12
78%
44%
2-4
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.1
30.0
40.0
19
60%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
6-12
67%
45%
3-9
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.7
29.7
17.4
4
40%
5
6
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.8
29.6
30.5
10
57%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
3-7
6-12
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
23.1
3.4
7
45%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
2-5
0-1
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.8
18.0
7.9
11
55%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
5-7
71%
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
0-3
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.3
15.7
15.1
7
52%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.7
10.9
12.7
2
20%
4
1
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
7.3
3.5
2
27%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.3
2.6
4.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.5
35.8
1
1-3
47%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.9
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
33.9
23.8
17
64%
8
3
0
0
3
1
1
7
3-5
60%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
2-6
33%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
33.1
25.2
18
84%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
6-7
3-6
86%
51%
1-2
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
32.5
33.6
35
89%
7
13
0
1
1
4
1
6
5-6
83%
9-13
5-9
69%
52%
4-4
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.3
25.9
35.9
18
91%
8
0
0
1
0
4
0
8
2-2
100%
8-9
8-14
89%
54%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
21.1
24.5
11
110%
0
3
2
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
49%
3-4
75%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.0
30.2
27.9
18
83%
4
5
0
1
2
0
0
4
2-2
100%
8-10
5-9
80%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.9
26.9
23.8
8
67%
4
6
3
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
21.7
13.7
6
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 23.9
8.7
4.1
0
0%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.2
3.4
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-4
0%
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.0
2.6
1.7
2
41%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
21.0
1
3-5
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.