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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 28, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Suns38%101110
10Spurs62%105113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.1
40.5
25.8
18
69%
5
11
0
0
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
52%
2-2
100%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
38.9
32.2
41
59%
12
1
1
1
0
4
6
6
10-15
67%
14-27
8-15
52%
54%
1-1
100%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
35.4
31.6
20
72%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.4
30.3
33.5
6
50%
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.9
25.3
28.9
8
45%
8
0
1
0
5
0
3
5
2-2
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
56%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
24.2
20.1
11
63%
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
3
2-4
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
3-4
75%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.6
22.3
26.0
2
25%
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
15.6
22.8
2
25%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
7.5
10.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.1
2.9
0
1-1
46%
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.9
1.8
0
0-0
46%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.2
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.8
39.6
34.5
9
42%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
32.8
17.3
12
60%
9
2
1
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.8
31.8
28.3
21
66%
10
3
2
1
2
2
4
6
1-2
50%
10-15
7-13
67%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.8
28.7
28.9
16
63%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
6-11
6-11
55%
53%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.8
10.9
19.4
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.7
35.6
28.5
20
76%
4
5
0
1
1
1
2
2
4-5
80%
5-8
3-7
63%
49%
2-3
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.6
33.9
28.2
21
62%
6
8
1
1
0
3
0
6
9-9
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
2-6
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.9
19.4
16.2
14
51%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-4
50%
6-12
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
6.7
21.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
0.6
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.9
0.1
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37.0
11.7
0
1-2
46%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.