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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 28, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bucks29%94102
9Hawks71%101106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.2
46.8
31.2
32
67%
8
4
1
1
0
2
2
6
8-9
89%
9-16
3-7
56%
46%
2-4
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
40.7
29.4
14
55%
9
4
0
1
4
1
0
9
4-4
100%
5-11
7-12
45%
53%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.5
40.1
33.2
11
43%
5
2
3
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-8
2-6
38%
45%
1-4
25%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.4
26.2
29.6
3
30%
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
4-9
0%
38%
1-3
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
12.9
24.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
31.4
20.2
9
42%
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
3-8
3-5
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.3
27.9
22.0
20
60%
4
1
0
0
0
4
1
3
6-6
100%
7-12
2-4
58%
41%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
26.7
19.1
13
81%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
46%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
12.3
12.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.0
0.1
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.2
4.8
0
0-1
40%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.2
46.2
36.8
22
67%
15
6
0
2
1
5
3
12
6-8
75%
8-13
6-12
62%
52%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.7
43.5
38.8
24
45%
6
4
4
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
8-21
7-14
38%
49%
2-5
40%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.7
40.3
23.7
7
70%
8
2
1
1
1
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
38.5
38.7
17
59%
10
2
1
1
1
1
3
7
3-3
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.8
23.4
31.4
4
25%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
31.6
31.3
14
39%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
8-9
89%
3-12
4-7
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.1
14.4
8.7
5
53%
5
0
2
0
0
0
3
2
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
14.2
10.9
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.7
7.2
5.8
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.6
5.7
7.8
3
54%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.2
1.0
0
0-0
36%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.