FinalWin Prob.pScore
1619%88
80
381%99
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.28489.5
ORL logo ORL
115.78378.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL80
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot80
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIALewis STEAL (1 STL)80
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)80
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 2:08MIAAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)80
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 2:22ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)77
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 2:42ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot77
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 2:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 2:56ORLMISS Redick 13' Jump Shot77
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 3:18MIAAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)77
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 3:27ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)74
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot74
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 3:51ORLGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 3:51ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 274
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 4:06ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper74
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 4:32ORLBass 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)74
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 4:55MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)74
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 5:06MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 5:08ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 5:37MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)72
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 5:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 5:41MIAMISS Wade Layup70
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 5:56ORLWilliams 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 6:20ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot70
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 6:36ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)70
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 6:43ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot70
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 7:07ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T6)70
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q4 - 7:19ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 7:22ORLMISS Howard Dunk70
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 7:26ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 7:28ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 7:46MIAO'Neal 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)70
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 8:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 8:10ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 8:29ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot68
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 8:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 8:41ORLMISS Pietrus 18' Jump Shot68
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 8:59MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P5.T14)68
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 9:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 9:16ORLMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot68
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 9:30MIAWright 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)68
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 9:50ORLLewis 10' Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 10:00ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot66
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 10:15ORLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)66
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 10:33MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)66
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 10:48MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 10:49ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q4 - 10:49ORLMISS Pietrus Tip Shot64
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 10:50ORLMISS Gortat 15' Jump Shot64
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 11:14MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T13)64
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 11:40ORLGortat Layup (8 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)64
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL64
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLMAGIC Rebound64
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAGortat BLOCK (3 BLK)64
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot64
4.9%
74
95.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAGortat BLOCK (2 BLK)64
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q3 - 1:12ORLWilliams 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 1:27ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot64
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 1:44ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
7.7%
72
92.3%
Q3 - 1:44ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
7.9%
71
92.1%
Q3 - 1:54ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q3 - 2:24ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)64
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 2:47MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)64
15.4%
67
84.6%
Q3 - 3:08ORLLewis 6' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
11.1%
67
88.9%
Q3 - 3:23ORLCarter Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)61
12.9%
65
87.1%
Q3 - 3:23ORLMAGIC Rebound61
15.0%
64
85.0%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Alston Layup61
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q3 - 3:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
17.7%
64
82.3%
Q3 - 3:46ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup61
16.8%
64
83.2%
Q3 - 3:59MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)61
15.1%
64
84.9%
Q3 - 4:27ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)59
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 4:49ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
18.3%
61
81.7%
Q3 - 4:53MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)59
20.5%
61
79.5%
Q3 - 5:19ORLBarnes 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)58
17.5%
61
82.5%
Q3 - 5:34MIAO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)58
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 5:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
17.5%
59
82.5%
Q3 - 5:46ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
16.7%
59
83.3%
Q3 - 6:10MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
14.8%
59
85.2%
Q3 - 6:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
13.1%
59
86.9%
Q3 - 6:32ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 254
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q3 - 6:32ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 254
11.9%
59
88.1%
Q3 - 6:55MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
11.1%
59
88.9%
Q3 - 7:12ORLNelson 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)52
9.9%
59
90.1%
Q3 - 7:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q3 - 8:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)52
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot52
11.7%
57
88.3%
Q3 - 8:13MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q3 - 8:15ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot52
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q3 - 8:24ORLMAGIC Rebound52
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q3 - 8:24ORLMISS Nelson Layup52
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q3 - 8:33ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q3 - 8:34ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)52
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)51
10.9%
57
89.1%
Q3 - 9:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q3 - 9:01ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot50
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q3 - 9:23MIAWade Driving Dunk (19 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)50
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q3 - 9:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)48
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 9:34ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q3 - 9:53MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)48
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q3 - 10:12ORLCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)48
7.6%
57
92.4%
Q3 - 10:36MIACarter STEAL (2 STL)48
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q3 - 10:53ORLHoward Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)48
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q3 - 11:01ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Bank Shot48
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q3 - 11:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q3 - 11:15ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
13.8%
52
86.2%
Q3 - 11:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound48
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Alston 32' 3PT Jump Shot48
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)48
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)48
13.0%
52
87.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLMAGIC Rebound45
11.6%
50
88.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Hook Shot45
11.9%
50
88.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0ORLGortat Layup (6 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)45
12.7%
50
87.3%
Q2 - 1:03MIARichardson Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)45
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 1:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 1:14ORLMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot45
15.4%
48
84.6%
Q2 - 1:25MIACarter STEAL (1 STL)45
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 1:36ORLGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 1:36ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
16.4%
47
83.6%
Q2 - 1:36ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot45
18.6%
46
81.4%
Q2 - 1:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 1:44MIAGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)45
18.6%
46
81.4%
Q2 - 1:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 1:57ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
19.2%
46
80.8%
Q2 - 2:05ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot45
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 2:27ORLCarter Driving Layup (10 PTS)45
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q2 - 2:47MIAAnthony 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)45
21.7%
44
78.3%
Q2 - 3:13ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)43
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)43
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 3:43ORLCarter 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 3:57MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)40
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 4:11ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
20.9%
40
79.1%
Q2 - 4:11ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 4:14MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIARichardson Tip Shot (4 PTS)40
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 238
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 4:16MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
20.2%
38
79.8%
Q2 - 4:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 4:16MIAPietrus BLOCK (1 BLK)37
17.6%
38
82.4%
Q2 - 4:22ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)37
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 4:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)37
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 4:52ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
14.0%
38
86.0%
Q2 - 4:52ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 234
14.2%
37
85.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWade Layup (11 PTS)34
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 5:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 5:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Wade Layup32
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot32
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 5:20MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)32
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 5:35ORLLewis 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)31
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 5:57MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)31
12.6%
35
87.4%
Q2 - 6:09ORLLewis Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)31
14.2%
35
85.8%
Q2 - 6:25ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
15.4%
33
84.6%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Haslem 7' Hook Shot31
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 6:47MIAHeat Rebound31
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 6:48ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 7:04MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)31
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q2 - 7:04MIAHeat Rebound31
16.7%
33
83.3%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Jump Shot31
15.6%
33
84.4%
Q2 - 7:31MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q2 - 7:32ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot31
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q2 - 7:45ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Wright 10' Running Jump Shot31
15.7%
33
84.3%
Q2 - 8:07ORLGortat Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)31
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 8:15ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot31
15.6%
33
84.4%
Q2 - 8:32MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 8:34ORLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q2 - 8:55MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)31
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 9:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 9:15ORLMISS Pietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 9:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 9:34MIAHaslem Putback Layup (2 PTS)28
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot26
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 9:58ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 10:15MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)26
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q2 - 10:24ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q2 - 10:24ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q2 - 10:36MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)24
12.5%
28
87.5%
Q2 - 10:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q2 - 10:44ORLMISS Williams 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot24
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q2 - 10:51ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
12.5%
28
87.5%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot24
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q2 - 11:12ORLPietrus Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q2 - 11:43ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot24
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 41' 3PT Jump Shot24
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLGortat Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Barnes 12' Jump Shot24
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)24
17.9%
24
82.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
19.1%
24
80.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Floating Jump Shot24
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLWilliams 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
19.1%
24
80.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
21.0%
22
79.0%
Q1 - 1:14ORLBarnes Putback Layup (2 PTS)21
17.4%
22
82.6%
Q1 - 1:17ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 1:18ORLMISS Bass 9' Jump Shot21
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 1:34ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 1:36MIAHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)21
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 1:58ORLCarter 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)21
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q1 - 2:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 2:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 220
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 2:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 2:25ORLMISS Bass 14' Jump Shot20
21.6%
18
78.4%
Q1 - 2:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 220
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 220
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 2:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 2:50ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot20
21.6%
18
78.4%
Q1 - 3:08MIAAnthony 5' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)20
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 3:15MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 3:18ORLMISS Bass 14' Jump Shot18
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIABarnes STEAL (1 STL)18
17.4%
18
82.6%
Q1 - 3:45ORLCarter 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 4:00MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
20.3%
16
79.7%
Q1 - 4:00MIARichardson Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
20.3%
16
79.7%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Anthony 4' Hook Shot16
17.4%
16
82.6%
Q1 - 4:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
17.4%
16
82.6%
Q1 - 4:44ORLLewis Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 5:01ORLMAGIC Rebound16
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot16
20.1%
14
79.9%
Q1 - 5:17ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 5:17ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
21.4%
13
78.6%
Q1 - 5:32MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)16
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 5:52ORLCarter 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)13
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 6:12MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)13
20.6%
10
79.4%
Q1 - 6:39ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 6:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
20.7%
8
79.3%
Q1 - 6:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
20.4%
8
79.6%
Q1 - 7:01ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 7:01ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 29
19.4%
7
80.6%
Q1 - 7:12ORLMAGIC Rebound9
18.9%
7
81.1%
Q1 - 7:13ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot9
19.8%
7
80.2%
Q1 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
18.9%
7
81.1%
Q1 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
18.6%
7
81.4%
Q1 - 7:37ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
17.7%
7
82.3%
Q1 - 7:37ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 8:00MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)7
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 8:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
17.4%
5
82.6%
Q1 - 8:13ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot5
17.0%
5
83.0%
Q1 - 8:27ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Wade 13' Running Bank Shot5
16.6%
5
83.4%
Q1 - 8:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
17.4%
5
82.6%
Q1 - 8:46ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
17.0%
5
83.0%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)5
16.3%
5
83.7%
Q1 - 9:10ORLCarter Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)3
15.1%
5
84.9%
Q1 - 9:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)3
14.1%
5
85.9%
Q1 - 9:27MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
15.1%
5
84.9%
Q1 - 9:30ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot3
14.8%
5
85.2%
Q1 - 9:33ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
14.1%
5
85.9%
Q1 - 9:35ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Dunk3
14.8%
5
85.2%
Q1 - 9:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.1%
5
85.9%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot3
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 10:00MIAHeat Rebound3
15.1%
5
84.9%
Q1 - 10:00ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot3
14.8%
5
85.2%
Q1 - 10:20MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)3
14.1%
5
85.9%
Q1 - 10:20MIAHeat Rebound3
15.1%
5
84.9%
Q1 - 10:20MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)3
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 10:33MIAHeat Rebound3
15.1%
5
84.9%
Q1 - 10:34MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)3
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 10:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
15.1%
5
84.9%
Q1 - 10:46ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
14.8%
5
85.2%
Q1 - 10:54MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)3
14.1%
5
85.9%
Q1 - 11:13ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
12.5%
5
87.5%
Q1 - 11:13ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 11:25ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.2%
3
86.8%
Q1 - 11:26MIAMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot0
13.5%
3
86.5%
Q1 - 11:42ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
14.0%
3
86.0%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. O'Neal: Tip to Lewis0
15.8%
0
84.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.0%
ORL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
19
53%
ORL
10
15
67%
Midrange
MIA
14
42
33%
ORL
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
ORL
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
ORL
25
30
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2148%10.5 / 22
J. O'Neal1647%8.0 / 17
R. Alston1594%7.5 / 8
J. Anthony857%4.0 / 7
U. Haslem744%3.5 / 8
D. Wright536%2.5 / 7
Q. Richardson433%2.0 / 6
M. Chalmers338%1.5 / 4
M. Beasley113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Lewis2269%11.0 / 16
V. Carter1785%8.5 / 10
J. Redick1575%7.5 / 10
J. Nelson1255%6.0 / 11
M. Gortat975%4.5 / 6
D. Howard732%3.5 / 11
J. Williams643%3.0 / 7
M. Barnes450%2.0 / 4
M. Pietrus220%1.0 / 5
B. Bass225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+16
-13
87
ORL
76
+10
-7
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.0%
ORL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
111.5
MIA 95.2 +20.4
ORL 115.7
Pace
89.6
92.0
MIA 89.5 +11.2
ORL 78.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.7
MIA 16.1 +2.3
ORL 18.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
53.6%
MIA 42.9%
ORL 50.7% +7.8%
TO %
13.6%
14.8%
MIA 15.0%
ORL 8.8% +6.2%
ORB %
26.0%
24.6%
MIA 27.5% +4.6%
ORL 22.9%
FTrt
29.6
34.0
MIA 23.4
ORL 42.9 +19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
53.7%
MIA 56.7% +9.8%
ORL 46.9%
STL %
8.1%
6.8%
MIA 1.2%
ORL 6.0% +4.8%
BLK %
9.4%
8.6%
MIA 8.7%
ORL 11.5% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
55.8%
MIA 46.0%
ORL 55.2% +9.2%
Rim FG%
62.0%
61.6%
MIA 52.6%
ORL 66.7% +14.1%
Mid FG%
40.8%
42.3%
MIA 33.3%
ORL 48.4% +15.1%
3P %
34.6%
37.5%
MIA 37.5% +8.3%
ORL 29.2%
FT %
75.2%
72.4%
MIA 77.8%
ORL 83.3% +5.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
33.0%
MIA 24.7% +3.2%
ORL 21.4%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
32.0%
MIA 54.5%
ORL 44.3% +10.3%
3P Att. %
21.9%
35.0%
MIA 20.8%
ORL 34.3% +13.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8483
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points8096
Rebounds3837
Assists1715
Steals15
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)29 (4)
Field Goals30-7732-70
At-the-Rim FG10-1910-15
Midrange FG14-4215-31
2-Point FG24-6125-46
3-Point FG6-167-24
Free Throws14-1825-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
37.4
21
48%
5
5
1
0
5
3
2
3
9-12
75%
6-15
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
30.8
4
33%
10
1
0
0
1
4
3
7
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
27.1
16
47%
6
0
0
1
1
4
0
6
0-0
-
8-17
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 34
25.7
15
94%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
18.3
1
13%
1
2
0
1
1
4
1
0
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
29.8
7
44%
6
2
0
1
1
3
2
4
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
23.9
5
36%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
22.3
3
38%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
20.9
8
57%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
3.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
46%
38
17
1
4
13
0
11
27
14-18
78%
24-61
39%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.