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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 28, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hornets26%94100
6Mavericks74%102108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.5
44.1
41.0
35
78%
3
3
1
2
0
5
0
3
2-3
67%
12-16
6-14
75%
46%
3-5
60%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.5
43.7
37.9
10
30%
8
6
0
1
2
4
3
5
4-4
100%
3-15
7-15
20%
48%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.7
38.6
30.2
16
47%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
44%
2-9
22%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
27.9
24.4
8
68%
17
1
5
1
3
2
7
10
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.5
19.0
17.2
6
38%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
32.9
30.6
21
54%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
8-10
80%
5-11
5-10
45%
46%
1-4
25%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.1
24.4
24.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
9.4
10.8
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
12.2
0
1-3
48%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
11.9
1
2-3
51%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.0
7.5
0
1-3
49%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
3.5
0
0-1
47%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.0
39.7
17.1
19
50%
5
1
4
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
9-17
3-6
53%
47%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
38.8
38.0
36
62%
8
7
1
1
0
0
1
7
8-9
89%
14-25
9-17
56%
51%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.3
32.9
34.5
12
73%
9
0
2
1
2
0
5
4
4-5
80%
4-6
4-7
67%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.9
30.7
36.7
13
54%
9
5
2
2
0
7
1
8
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
3-7
43%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.8
26.3
31.6
9
53%
7
3
0
1
0
2
4
3
1-1
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
33.4
31.6
11
55%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
51%
1-5
20%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
17.3
12.0
2
50%
2
9
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
14.5
10.6
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.9
6.3
18.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.0
5.5
0
1-1
50%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 24.6
4.7
0
1-2
47%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.5
2.1
0
0-0
44%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.0
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.