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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Celtics65%96105
21Pistons35%91100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.6
34.1
34.1
18
71%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
52%
2-5
40%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.0
33.4
36.5
15
55%
4
11
2
2
0
6
0
4
7-8
88%
4-9
5-10
44%
53%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
31.9
27.4
14
61%
9
3
2
1
0
0
1
8
6-8
75%
4-8
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.5
29.7
22.5
10
50%
6
1
2
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
2-5
40%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.4
29.1
31.0
9
58%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
4-4
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
1-1
100%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.1
20.3
25.1
2
20%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.2
17.9
18.1
12
38%
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
5-14
3-5
36%
48%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
15.8
2.2
6
75%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.8
15.1
17.8
14
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
4-5
80%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.1
12.5
13.7
5
102%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
0.1
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.0
30.6
37.9
15
63%
6
2
2
1
2
7
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
5-12
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.0
30.2
23.0
16
69%
10
1
1
1
0
0
3
7
6-6
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.0
30.2
33.6
15
62%
0
7
0
1
0
2
0
0
7-7
100%
4-7
6-13
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
28.6
33.1
13
40%
3
6
1
1
1
2
1
2
3-3
100%
5-13
6-13
38%
43%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
27.0
25.9
6
48%
12
2
0
1
1
1
4
8
0-5
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.9
26.7
20.9
8
38%
1
3
2
0
0
4
0
1
4-6
67%
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.0
20.9
20.4
6
60%
7
2
0
0
0
0
5
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.5
17.4
17.6
8
45%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-4
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.2
14.8
15.1
4
100%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.7
13.2
5.7
9
60%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
4-4
1-1
100%
50%
0-3
0%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.1
0.4
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.0
2.8
0
0-1
51%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.