FinalWin Prob.pScore
1739%98
106
1561%102
110
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
109.397107.1
MIA logo MIA
112.29889.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA106
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0GSWWade STEAL (4 STL)106
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)106
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)106
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0GSWArroyo STEAL (2 STL)106
4.0%
108
96.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0GSWTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)106
17.1%
108
82.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2106
15.0%
108
85.0%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2106
8.1%
108
91.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)106
5.0%
108
95.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0GSWMISS Morrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
8.2%
108
91.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)106
20.0%
108
80.0%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot106
14.4%
108
85.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)106
11.5%
108
88.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot106
19.1%
108
80.9%
Q4 - 1:01GSWCurry 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)106
15.2%
108
84.8%
Q4 - 1:07GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)104
9.9%
108
90.1%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot104
8.4%
108
91.6%
Q4 - 1:33MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
7.5%
108
92.5%
Q4 - 1:34GSWMISS Morrow 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
8.9%
108
91.1%
Q4 - 1:54GSWTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)104
13.7%
108
86.3%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2104
12.8%
108
87.2%
Q4 - 1:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)104
9.7%
108
90.3%
Q4 - 2:15GSWWilliams 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)104
12.6%
107
87.4%
Q4 - 2:31MIAWade Layup (35 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)102
9.6%
107
90.4%
Q4 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
12.5%
105
87.5%
Q4 - 2:45GSWMISS Turiaf Free Throw 2 of 2102
13.6%
105
86.4%
Q4 - 2:45GSWTuriaf Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)102
17.1%
105
82.9%
Q4 - 2:46GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)101
15.1%
105
84.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot101
12.4%
105
87.6%
Q4 - 3:12GSWTuriaf 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)101
9.6%
105
90.4%
Q4 - 3:21GSWTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
7.1%
105
92.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 299
6.6%
105
93.4%
Q4 - 3:22MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)99
5.1%
105
94.9%
Q4 - 3:51GSWMorrow 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)99
9.3%
104
90.7%
Q4 - 4:05MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)97
6.6%
104
93.4%
Q4 - 4:25GSWTuriaf Layup (12 PTS) (Curry 8 AST)97
12.7%
101
87.3%
Q4 - 4:35MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (33 PTS)95
9.2%
101
90.8%
Q4 - 4:47GSWWatson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)95
12.6%
99
87.4%
Q4 - 5:04MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)95
20.5%
99
79.5%
Q4 - 5:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)95
33.3%
96
66.7%
Q4 - 5:16GSWMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
35.7%
96
64.3%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade 13' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)95
41.5%
96
58.5%
Q4 - 5:42MIAHEAT Rebound95
49.6%
94
50.4%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper95
55.8%
94
44.2%
Q4 - 6:02GSWMorrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)95
48.3%
94
51.7%
Q4 - 6:06GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
34.3%
94
65.7%
Q4 - 6:08GSWMISS Tolliver 16' Jump Shot92
29.4%
94
70.6%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)92
34.3%
94
65.7%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 292
35.6%
93
64.4%
Q4 - 6:32GSWC. Hunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)92
33.8%
93
66.2%
Q4 - 6:32GSWMISS C. Hunter Free Throw 1 of 291
32.1%
93
67.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIARichardson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)91
34.3%
93
65.7%
Q4 - 6:58MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
27.3%
93
72.7%
Q4 - 7:00GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
29.4%
93
70.6%
Q4 - 7:15GSWWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
34.6%
93
65.4%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot91
32.6%
93
67.4%
Q4 - 7:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
28.1%
93
71.9%
Q4 - 7:34GSWMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
30.0%
93
70.0%
Q4 - 7:51MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)91
34.6%
93
65.4%
Q4 - 7:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
40.6%
91
59.4%
Q4 - 7:56GSWMISS Curry 15' Jump Shot91
42.9%
91
57.1%
Q4 - 8:02MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)91
47.1%
91
52.9%
Q4 - 8:10MIAHEAT Rebound91
41.0%
91
59.0%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot91
45.3%
91
54.7%
Q4 - 8:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)91
41.0%
91
59.0%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup91
45.3%
91
54.7%
Q4 - 8:36GSWC. Hunter 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Tolliver 2 AST)91
41.0%
91
59.0%
Q4 - 8:56MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)89
34.8%
91
65.2%
Q4 - 9:13GSWCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)89
30.1%
91
69.9%
Q4 - 9:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)86
20.9%
91
79.1%
Q4 - 9:46GSWWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (C. Hunter 2 AST)86
30.1%
88
69.9%
Q4 - 10:06GSWWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
21.7%
88
78.3%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot83
20.6%
88
79.4%
Q4 - 10:20GSWTolliver Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
18.1%
88
81.9%
Q4 - 10:20GSWTolliver Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
17.2%
88
82.8%
Q4 - 10:32MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)81
15.0%
88
85.0%
Q4 - 10:43GSWTolliver Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
12.3%
88
87.7%
Q4 - 10:43GSWMISS Tolliver Free Throw 1 of 280
11.7%
88
88.3%
Q4 - 10:58MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)80
12.3%
88
87.7%
Q4 - 11:24GSWC. Hunter Tip Shot (6 PTS)80
15.9%
86
84.1%
Q4 - 11:25GSWC. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
13.2%
86
86.8%
Q4 - 11:26GSWMISS Williams Driving Layup78
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 11:42GSWTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
13.2%
86
86.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot78
12.4%
86
87.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound78
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 29' 3PT Jump Shot78
12.4%
86
87.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWCurry Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)78
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)78
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0GSWWatson 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (C. Hunter 1 AST)78
16.7%
84
83.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
13.8%
84
86.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
14.5%
83
85.5%
Q3 - 1:02GSWC. Hunter 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)76
17.1%
82
82.9%
Q3 - 1:14GSWGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
14.3%
82
85.7%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
13.6%
82
86.4%
Q3 - 1:37GSWCurry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (George 2 AST)74
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q3 - 1:53MIARichardson Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)71
8.4%
82
91.6%
Q3 - 1:56GSWWade STEAL (3 STL)71
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q3 - 2:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)71
12.7%
80
87.3%
Q3 - 2:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
17.5%
77
82.5%
Q3 - 2:23GSWMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q3 - 2:25GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
20.3%
77
79.7%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot71
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q3 - 3:00GSWCurry 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q3 - 3:27MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)69
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
20.7%
74
79.3%
Q3 - 3:50GSWMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 169
21.2%
74
78.8%
Q3 - 4:06MIARichardson Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)67
18.7%
74
81.3%
Q3 - 4:28GSWRichardson STEAL (2 STL)67
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q3 - 4:33GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
24.5%
72
75.5%
Q3 - 4:35GSWMISS Watson Layup67
22.0%
72
78.0%
Q3 - 4:53MIABeasley Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)67
24.5%
72
75.5%
Q3 - 5:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
27.4%
70
72.6%
Q3 - 5:04GSWMISS Watson 3PT Jump Shot67
28.5%
70
71.5%
Q3 - 5:15GSWWarriors Rebound67
31.3%
70
68.7%
Q3 - 5:19GSWMISS Morrow 3PT Jump Shot67
28.5%
70
71.5%
Q3 - 5:37MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)67
31.3%
70
68.7%
Q3 - 5:39GSWWade STEAL (2 STL)67
34.5%
68
65.5%
Q3 - 5:41GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
39.0%
68
61.0%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup67
37.6%
68
62.4%
Q3 - 5:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
34.6%
68
65.4%
Q3 - 5:53GSWMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
35.9%
68
64.1%
Q3 - 6:00MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)67
39.0%
68
61.0%
Q3 - 6:12MIAHEAT Rebound67
34.5%
68
65.5%
Q3 - 6:14GSWMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
35.8%
68
64.2%
Q3 - 6:38MIAArroyo Driving Layup (8 PTS)67
38.7%
68
61.3%
Q3 - 6:53GSWMorrow Layup (19 PTS)67
42.2%
66
57.8%
Q3 - 6:54GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
38.7%
66
61.3%
Q3 - 6:57GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
35.8%
66
64.2%
Q3 - 7:09GSWGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
38.2%
66
61.8%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot65
37.0%
66
63.0%
Q3 - 7:30GSWWatson 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
34.4%
66
65.6%
Q3 - 7:42GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
31.3%
66
68.7%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 163
30.8%
66
69.2%
Q3 - 7:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
34.4%
64
65.6%
Q3 - 7:55GSWMISS Curry 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
35.6%
64
64.4%
Q3 - 8:06MIAArroyo 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)63
38.0%
64
62.0%
Q3 - 8:12GSWWade STEAL (1 STL)63
41.4%
62
58.6%
Q3 - 8:27MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T10)63
45.4%
62
54.6%
Q3 - 8:45GSWTuriaf 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
41.4%
62
58.6%
Q3 - 8:48GSWWarriors Rebound61
38.0%
62
62.0%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw Technical61
38.0%
62
62.0%
Q3 - 8:49GSWBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)61
35.4%
62
64.6%
Q3 - 9:08MIAWade Putback Dunk (23 PTS)61
37.8%
62
62.2%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
41.3%
60
58.7%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot61
43.8%
60
56.2%
Q3 - 9:32GSWWatson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Curry 7 AST)61
41.3%
60
58.7%
Q3 - 9:42MIARichardson Layup (4 PTS)58
34.4%
60
65.6%
Q3 - 9:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
37.7%
58
62.3%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Beasley Layup58
40.2%
58
59.8%
Q3 - 9:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
37.7%
58
62.3%
Q3 - 9:56GSWMISS Morrow Reverse Layup58
38.8%
58
61.2%
Q3 - 10:00MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)58
41.4%
58
58.6%
Q3 - 10:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q3 - 10:16GSWMISS Turiaf Free Throw 2 of 258
38.0%
58
62.0%
Q3 - 10:16GSWMISS Turiaf Free Throw 1 of 258
40.0%
58
60.0%
Q3 - 10:27GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
41.1%
58
58.9%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot58
40.0%
58
60.0%
Q3 - 10:34MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q3 - 10:36GSWMISS George 3PT Jump Shot58
38.6%
58
61.4%
Q3 - 10:48MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)58
41.1%
58
58.9%
Q3 - 11:09GSWTuriaf Dunk (8 PTS) (Curry 6 AST)58
37.4%
58
62.6%
Q3 - 11:20MIAWade Layup (21 PTS)56
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q3 - 11:38GSWWatson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
37.4%
56
62.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
34.4%
56
65.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 28' 3PT Jump Shot54
33.4%
56
66.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
31.9%
56
68.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0GSWMISS C. Hunter 9' Hook Shot54
32.6%
56
67.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAArroyo Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)54
34.2%
56
65.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0GSWMorrow 12' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)54
37.9%
54
62.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)52
34.2%
54
65.8%
Q2 - 1:13GSWWilliams 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)52
41.1%
51
58.9%
Q2 - 1:28GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
37.1%
51
62.9%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot50
36.5%
51
63.5%
Q2 - 1:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
34.9%
51
65.1%
Q2 - 1:43GSWMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
35.6%
51
64.4%
Q2 - 1:53MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
37.1%
51
62.9%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 250
37.7%
50
62.3%
Q2 - 2:12GSWTolliver Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)50
37.2%
50
62.8%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWade Dunk (19 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)48
34.4%
50
65.6%
Q2 - 2:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
37.3%
48
62.7%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot48
39.5%
48
60.5%
Q2 - 2:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
37.3%
48
62.7%
Q2 - 2:42GSWMISS Watson Driving Layup48
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q2 - 2:56GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
40.4%
48
59.6%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Arroyo 14' Fadeaway Jumper48
39.5%
48
60.5%
Q2 - 3:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
37.0%
48
63.0%
Q2 - 3:08GSWMISS Watson 16' Jump Shot48
38.0%
48
62.0%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWade Dunk (17 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)48
40.5%
48
59.5%
Q2 - 3:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
43.0%
46
57.0%
Q2 - 3:22GSWMISS Morrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
44.1%
46
55.9%
Q2 - 3:29GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
46.7%
46
53.3%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot48
45.6%
46
54.4%
Q2 - 3:44GSWTolliver Foul Turnover (P1.T4)48
43.0%
46
57.0%
Q2 - 4:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)48
46.0%
46
54.0%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 248
46.6%
45
53.4%
Q2 - 4:15GSWTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turiaf 2 AST)48
45.7%
45
54.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIARichardson Dunk (2 PTS)45
40.0%
45
60.0%
Q2 - 4:37GSWRichardson STEAL (1 STL)45
42.7%
43
57.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWade Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)45
46.1%
43
53.9%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
48.7%
41
51.3%
Q2 - 5:18GSWMISS Curry 15' Jump Shot45
49.6%
41
50.4%
Q2 - 5:26GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
51.6%
41
48.4%
Q2 - 5:27MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
50.8%
41
49.2%
Q2 - 5:52GSWMorrow 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)45
48.7%
41
51.3%
Q2 - 5:58GSWTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
45.7%
41
54.3%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot43
44.8%
41
55.2%
Q2 - 6:15GSWMorrow Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)43
42.2%
41
57.8%
Q2 - 6:33MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)40
37.2%
41
62.8%
Q2 - 6:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
39.5%
39
60.5%
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
41.8%
39
58.2%
Q2 - 7:10GSWMorrow 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)40
39.4%
39
60.6%
Q2 - 7:31MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)38
36.9%
39
63.1%
Q2 - 8:01GSWC. Hunter 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 5 AST)38
41.8%
36
58.2%
Q2 - 8:16MIAO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
39.2%
36
60.8%
Q2 - 8:39MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
41.8%
34
58.2%
Q2 - 8:41GSWMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q2 - 8:46GSWTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
44.6%
34
55.4%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Wright Layup36
43.7%
34
56.3%
Q2 - 8:51MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
41.8%
34
58.2%
Q2 - 8:52GSWHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)36
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q2 - 8:58MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)36
44.6%
34
55.4%
Q2 - 9:07MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
41.3%
34
58.7%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot36
43.2%
34
56.8%
Q2 - 9:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
41.3%
34
58.7%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Wright Layup36
43.2%
34
56.8%
Q2 - 9:15GSWArroyo STEAL (1 STL)36
41.3%
34
58.7%
Q2 - 9:19GSWTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
44.1%
34
55.9%
Q2 - 9:22MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot36
43.3%
34
56.7%
Q2 - 9:28MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
41.3%
34
58.7%
Q2 - 9:30GSWMISS Watson 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
42.2%
34
57.8%
Q2 - 9:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
44.1%
34
55.9%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 236
44.6%
33
55.4%
Q2 - 10:11GSWMorrow 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)36
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 10:17GSWWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
41.5%
33
58.5%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot34
40.6%
33
59.4%
Q2 - 10:42GSWWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)34
38.7%
33
61.3%
Q2 - 10:49GSWC. Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
41.4%
33
58.6%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Turnaround Jump Shot34
40.6%
33
59.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
38.7%
33
61.3%
Q2 - 11:08GSWMISS C. Hunter 12' Jump Shot34
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q2 - 11:17GSWWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
40.4%
33
59.6%
Q2 - 11:42MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
38.7%
33
61.3%
Q2 - 11:43GSWMISS Curry 18' Jump Shot34
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW34
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade 9' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)34
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
43.4%
31
56.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0GSWMISS Morrow 22' Jump Shot34
44.0%
31
56.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)34
45.3%
31
54.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0GSWWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)34
50.8%
28
49.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)31
45.4%
28
54.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0GSWCurry Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)31
50.8%
25
49.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)30
48.3%
25
51.7%
Q1 - 1:00GSWWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup27
42.0%
25
58.0%
Q1 - 1:18GSWMorrow 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q1 - 1:39MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)25
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q1 - 1:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
40.9%
23
59.1%
Q1 - 1:52GSWMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot25
41.4%
23
58.6%
Q1 - 2:02GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
42.7%
23
57.3%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot25
42.1%
23
57.9%
Q1 - 2:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
40.8%
23
59.2%
Q1 - 2:18GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
41.4%
23
58.6%
Q1 - 2:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
42.7%
23
57.3%
Q1 - 2:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q1 - 2:52GSWWatson Driving Layup (9 PTS)25
45.4%
21
54.6%
Q1 - 2:57MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
42.7%
21
57.3%
Q1 - 3:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q1 - 3:16GSWMISS Morrow Free Throw 2 of 223
40.7%
21
59.3%
Q1 - 3:16GSWMorrow Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
42.5%
21
57.5%
Q1 - 3:27MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)22
40.5%
21
59.5%
Q1 - 3:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
42.7%
19
57.3%
Q1 - 3:36GSWMISS Morrow 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
43.4%
19
56.6%
Q1 - 3:38GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
45.0%
19
55.0%
Q1 - 3:42GSWAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)22
43.4%
19
56.6%
Q1 - 3:45MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)22
45.0%
19
55.0%
Q1 - 3:58GSWWatson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
42.7%
19
57.3%
Q1 - 4:00MIARichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)19
38.3%
19
61.7%
Q1 - 4:17MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q1 - 4:19GSWMISS Turiaf Free Throw 1 of 119
36.0%
19
64.0%
Q1 - 4:31MIAWade Driving Dunk (5 PTS)17
33.8%
19
66.2%
Q1 - 4:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)17
35.7%
17
64.3%
Q1 - 4:36GSWMISS Curry 13' Running Jump Shot17
36.4%
17
63.6%
Q1 - 4:49MIABeasley 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
38.0%
17
62.0%
Q1 - 5:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
40.0%
15
60.0%
Q1 - 5:02GSWMISS Turiaf 16' Jump Shot17
40.4%
15
59.6%
Q1 - 5:36MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 5:51GSWTuriaf 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)17
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 6:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
41.6%
13
58.4%
Q1 - 6:28GSWTuriaf Layup (2 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)15
45.7%
10
54.3%
Q1 - 6:39GSWWarriors Rebound13
43.7%
10
56.3%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup13
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 6:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 6:45GSWMISS Morrow 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
42.2%
10
57.8%
Q1 - 6:52MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)13
43.7%
10
56.3%
Q1 - 7:04GSWCurry 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
41.2%
10
58.8%
Q1 - 7:16MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 7:16MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 7:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot11
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 7:30GSWMorrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST)11
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 7:44MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
37.3%
8
62.7%
Q1 - 8:01GSWCurry Layup (2 PTS) (Turiaf 1 AST)8
39.1%
6
60.9%
Q1 - 8:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 8:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
37.6%
5
62.4%
Q1 - 8:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
39.1%
4
60.9%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup6
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 8:45GSWWatson Layup (4 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)6
39.1%
4
60.9%
Q1 - 8:50MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
37.2%
4
62.8%
Q1 - 9:01MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 9:03GSWMISS Morrow 12' Hook Shot4
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 9:19MIABeasley 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 9:40GSWWatson Layup (2 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)4
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 9:43MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 9:51MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 9:53GSWMISS Morrow 15' Jump Shot2
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 10:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 10:23GSWTolliver Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 10:34GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot0
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 10:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 10:53GSWMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 11:02GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Bank Shot0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:10GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:19GSWTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:38MIAHEAT Rebound0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Richardson 5' Jump Shot0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Turiaf: Tip to Alston0
35.1%
0
64.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.14 57.0%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
13
20
65%
MIA
22
32
69%
Midrange
GSW
22
35
63%
MIA
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
9
13.5
31
29%
44%
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
GSW
9
17
53%
MIA
21
31
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Morrow2452%12.0 / 23
C. Watson2067%10.0 / 15
S. Curry1853%9.0 / 17
R. Turiaf1575%7.5 / 10
A. Tolliver1050%5.0 / 10
R. Williams1071%5.0 / 7
C. Hunter964%4.5 / 7
D. George0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3570%17.5 / 25
Q. Richardson1583%7.5 / 9
M. Beasley1550%7.5 / 15
J. O'Neal1450%7.0 / 14
C. Arroyo1454%7.0 / 13
M. Chalmers770%3.5 / 5
U. Haslem638%3.0 / 8
D. Wright220%1.0 / 5
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
R. Alston0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
85
+7
-12
92
MIA
83
+16
-15
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.14 57.0%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
106.7
GSW 109.3
MIA 112.2 +3.0
Pace
100.7
89.6
GSW 107.1 +17.4
MIA 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time
13.5
16.5
GSW 13.4 +2.6
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
49.6%
GSW 56.4% +4.0%
MIA 52.4%
TO %
14.2%
13.6%
GSW 11.4% +1.8%
MIA 13.2%
ORB %
21.1%
26.0%
GSW 11.4%
MIA 26.8% +15.4%
FTrt
29.4
29.6
GSW 19.8
MIA 36.5 +16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
51.9%
GSW 50.0%
MIA 54.8% +4.8%
STL %
9.2%
8.1%
GSW 10.3% +2.1%
MIA 8.2%
BLK %
6.2%
9.4%
GSW 2.8%
MIA 5.5% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.12 and 3.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
52.1%
GSW 57.0% +2.0%
MIA 55.0%
Rim FG%
60.5%
62.0%
GSW 65.0%
MIA 68.8% +3.8%
Mid FG%
41.2%
40.8%
GSW 62.9% +24.4%
MIA 38.5%
3P %
37.5%
34.6%
GSW 29.0%
MIA 35.7% +6.7%
FT %
78.2%
75.2%
GSW 52.9%
MIA 67.7% +14.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
29.8%
GSW 23.3%
MIA 37.6% +14.4%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
48.3%
GSW 40.7% +5.2%
MIA 45.9%
3P Att. %
23.8%
21.9%
GSW 36.0% +19.6%
MIA 16.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes21.726.2
Points106110
Rebounds3550
Assists2223
Steals108
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)39 (1)
Field Goals44-8642-85
At-the-Rim FG13-2022-32
Midrange FG22-3515-39
2-Point FG35-5537-71
3-Point FG9-315-14
Free Throws9-1721-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
43.5
18
53%
2
8
2
0
3
5
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
3-8
38%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
40.5
20
67%
2
0
6
0
1
5
0
2
1-2
50%
8-11
73%
1-4
25%
F · 6'5" 210 · 24
40.3
24
52%
7
0
0
0
2
2
2
5
2-3
67%
8-12
67%
2-10
20%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
31.7
10
50%
8
2
0
1
1
5
0
8
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 249 · 27
28.3
15
75%
7
3
2
1
3
4
2
5
1-5
20%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 205 · 23
19.9
10
71%
5
5
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-2
100%
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26
19.6
9
64%
2
2
0
0
0
4
1
1
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
16.3
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 24
C · 7'0" 250 · 24
F · 6'6" 225 · 30
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
#4 · · 6'10" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#18 · G · 6'5" 210 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'5" 215 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
57%
35
22
10
2
12
0
5
30
9-17
53%
35-55
64%
9-31
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.