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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 3, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bobcats33%8580
5Celtics67%91104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.9
33.0
38.4
8
46%
4
1
1
2
0
4
0
4
4-6
67%
2-5
5-12
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
32.1
31.3
10
73%
5
4
3
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
30.8
42.4
8
40%
4
2
1
2
1
3
3
1
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.9
27.1
24.5
10
51%
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
4
4-4
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.7
24.0
34.3
4
29%
5
6
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
26.6
26.4
15
51%
10
0
1
1
2
2
3
7
5-6
83%
5-12
4-8
42%
46%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.3
24.0
15.7
12
44%
1
4
2
0
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
40%
0-3
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
20.2
9.7
6
25%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
47%
0-4
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.5
11.6
5.6
2
53%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
10.4
1.5
5
64%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
0-0
67%
41%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.4
5.6
0
1-1
57%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.1
5.3
0
0-1
46%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.8
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.0
27.6
34.6
8
47%
4
6
1
2
0
3
0
4
0-1
0%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.4
26.5
30.2
27
89%
2
4
3
1
1
3
0
2
5-5
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
4-6
67%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
24.6
29.1
12
61%
5
4
2
1
4
0
0
5
2-2
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.3
23.0
23.5
8
69%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
59%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.6
17.7
33.6
3
75%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.1
30.3
22.5
9
45%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.1
21.5
13.6
8
44%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-7
29%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.8
20.4
16.6
16
90%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.5
16.6
25.4
5
73%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.2
13.9
18.2
3
40%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
9.4
9.0
5
64%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
8.3
5.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.