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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 3, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies42%99104
18Hornets58%102100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
42.6
39.6
15
55%
5
6
5
1
1
5
1
4
5-6
83%
5-11
7-13
45%
50%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
41.7
37.4
23
63%
11
0
1
1
0
2
3
8
8-10
80%
6-12
7-15
50%
49%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.3
36.8
37.7
13
40%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-7
43%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.1
35.8
35.2
12
54%
10
0
1
1
1
1
4
6
2-5
40%
5-9
6-10
56%
56%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.4
34.8
32.4
26
64%
3
7
5
1
0
2
1
2
3-5
60%
10-14
3-7
71%
45%
1-4
25%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
20.6
13.9
7
51%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-2
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.8
12.0
8.4
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.2
9.5
15.0
3
44%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
6.3
9.6
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.0
4.2
0
0-1
43%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
2.6
0
0-1
56%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
2.1
0
0-1
46%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.0
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.0
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.5
45.3
41.9
17
54%
1
14
5
2
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
6-12
7-14
50%
49%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.5
42.0
38.2
15
60%
6
5
2
1
5
1
1
5
1-1
100%
7-12
7-15
58%
50%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.7
38.3
33.7
18
46%
9
3
1
1
0
3
1
8
4-4
100%
7-14
3-6
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.5
16.9
20.7
5
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
14.6
27.2
10
83%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
54%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
32.1
29.3
24
66%
3
2
1
1
1
3
2
1
5-5
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
3-7
43%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
20.1
6.4
7
79%
8
2
1
0
1
4
3
5
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.0
14.8
7.1
4
40%
1
2
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
52%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.1
10.1
23.4
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
5.9
10.4
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
11.7
1
2-3
53%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
2.5
0
0-0
49%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.