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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 4, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers60%95111
13Heat40%92114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.5
45.8
35.2
39
60%
2
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
7-10
70%
13-21
7-13
62%
49%
2-7
29%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.3
44.9
32.8
10
51%
0
2
5
1
0
2
0
0
1-4
25%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.7
34.3
34.0
10
39%
9
1
0
1
0
2
5
4
2-4
50%
4-10
6-12
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.6
33.9
26.6
14
79%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
2-4
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.4
33.0
25.8
12
51%
10
1
0
0
0
5
4
6
2-4
50%
5-10
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.3
35.9
26.2
13
77%
11
2
2
1
0
2
4
7
1-1
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
52%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
18.4
19.3
7
35%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-5
20%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.3
16.1
20.2
6
60%
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.1
2.9
4.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.6
8.4
0
1-2
40%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
4.9
0
1-1
48%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.9
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.1
42.4
31.0
27
54%
5
14
1
1
0
6
3
2
8-9
89%
8-18
7-14
44%
50%
1-3
33%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.6
42.0
20.6
17
88%
3
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
6-7
2-5
86%
46%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
41.1
31.2
13
44%
4
1
1
0
1
5
1
3
3-4
75%
5-13
6-12
38%
49%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.9
37.0
27.1
25
90%
5
0
3
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
7-11
64%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
22.4
23.5
6
43%
5
1
2
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
30.6
25.8
12
68%
11
0
0
0
1
0
1
10
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.3
19.4
20.3
7
70%
2
1
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
18.3
19.8
4
40%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
6.1
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.8
5.8
3.1
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.6
16.9
1
1-3
40%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
12.7
0
1-3
37%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.4
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.