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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors28%100122
11Hawks72%107127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
48.0
37.0
31
75%
5
11
2
2
0
7
1
4
4-4
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
5-9
56%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
43.6
29.0
20
59%
7
5
0
1
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
4-8
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.1
36.9
23.8
6
61%
10
5
0
0
0
1
2
8
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
35.3
37.4
21
51%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
3-4
75%
6-13
4-8
46%
48%
2-6
33%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.9
34.0
34.4
20
72%
4
6
0
2
0
1
2
2
10-11
91%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
22.8
7.7
18
58%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
6-8
75%
6-12
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
12.6
16.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
6.9
23.5
4
40%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
20.0
1
1-2
44%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.4
14.7
1
3-6
49%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.9
9.0
0
1-2
57%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.5
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.2
45.0
34.8
29
69%
9
5
3
2
3
2
2
7
9-14
64%
10-15
7-13
67%
53%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
37.6
32.8
27
71%
15
1
0
1
0
0
7
8
7-9
78%
10-15
6-11
67%
55%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.7
37.1
35.1
10
31%
1
8
1
1
0
3
0
1
4-5
80%
3-13
7-14
23%
50%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.7
36.2
29.9
12
51%
14
1
2
1
0
2
9
5
4-4
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.8
32.5
23.6
23
115%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
7-9
78%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.0
28.4
28.3
14
47%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
2-6
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.1
10.4
13.9
8
106%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.7
5.7
10.9
4
100%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
4.1
13.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
2.9
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.6
9.1
0
1-3
48%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.3
2.4
0
0-0
38%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.