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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Magic83%10297
30Nets17%9087
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.2
40.0
30.4
11
51%
16
4
3
1
4
5
5
11
1-4
25%
5-9
6-11
56%
61%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.1
39.7
26.5
13
51%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-8
4-8
25%
49%
2-3
67%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
34.9
30.6
9
30%
8
4
2
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
51%
1-6
17%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.1
28.6
27.5
15
70%
2
8
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
52%
3-5
60%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.0
24.0
24.2
16
68%
5
1
3
1
0
0
1
4
2-4
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
56%
2-4
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
21.5
21.3
10
73%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
2-5
40%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.3
19.4
17.5
13
81%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
3-5
60%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.8
13.2
13.2
7
60%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.7
10.8
20.8
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
8.0
17.1
1
57%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
58%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.8
5.8
0
1-1
49%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.4
5.3
0
0-1
46%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 35.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
39.5
34.8
17
39%
4
10
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
6-17
5-11
35%
46%
1-4
25%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.9
38.7
36.7
18
54%
8
1
1
1
1
3
4
4
4-4
100%
7-15
7-13
47%
52%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
33.5
35.8
2
20%
7
4
0
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
5-11
20%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
26.1
24.5
8
52%
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 31.0
18.2
20.4
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
28.1
21.2
14
63%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
5-5
100%
3-6
2-6
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
23.8
16.8
12
65%
5
1
0
0
3
2
1
4
4-5
80%
4-7
2-6
57%
45%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.8
16.4
14.3
7
70%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.6
15.7
18.7
5
42%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.3
3.6
0
0-1
52%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.4
3.1
0
0-0
40%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.1
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.8
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.