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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings22%91100
10Mavericks78%102108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.7
38.2
34.2
20
72%
3
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
4-6
67%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.5
37.8
35.0
20
60%
1
6
1
1
0
6
0
1
1-4
25%
8-13
7-14
62%
48%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.5
36.8
35.2
21
70%
8
1
0
1
0
3
3
5
7-7
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
53%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.9
19.6
29.3
7
44%
9
1
0
1
0
2
3
6
1-2
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
49%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
15.8
20.8
4
40%
5
0
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.3
25.9
4.7
15
61%
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
1-3
33%
4-7
0-1
57%
44%
2-4
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.2
24.9
24.2
2
20%
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.6
16.4
13.7
5
50%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.8
8.4
7.6
3
61%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.9
8.2
10.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.0
8.0
14.8
3
25%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.2
9.3
0
1-2
47%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
41.6
38.2
31
53%
12
3
0
1
3
1
2
10
7-7
100%
12-26
9-18
46%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.0
34.7
34.4
17
79%
5
12
1
2
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.0
34.2
30.1
12
55%
5
0
3
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
6-10
5-11
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.8
30.2
29.6
12
76%
7
3
3
1
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
54%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.3
7.3
29.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
56%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
29.5
16.8
8
40%
2
7
1
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
26.2
16.5
1
17%
5
2
0
1
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.0
24.5
13.6
22
76%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
6-8
2-3
75%
51%
3-6
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.9
11.8
8.1
5
42%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.6
9.1
0
1-1
63%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 24.6
3.6
0
1-1
48%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.5
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.