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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pacers21%98114
5Nuggets79%108122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.9
35.1
33.2
32
65%
4
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
8-8
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
4-8
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.8
32.6
29.1
14
61%
9
3
0
1
0
1
1
8
7-10
70%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
31.4
30.1
12
61%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.2
27.9
21.0
12
68%
4
3
0
0
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.9
24.2
28.8
7
41%
1
4
3
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.7
23.3
27.5
10
49%
3
3
0
1
0
3
2
1
4-5
80%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.0
22.9
9.9
10
83%
4
4
2
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
21.8
21.0
5
37%
8
1
0
1
0
2
0
8
3-4
75%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.5
11.5
16.4
5
42%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
1-2
50%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.4
9.3
9.7
7
46%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
5-6
83%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.3
10.8
0
1-3
46%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
4.0
0
0-1
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 33.4
37.1
31.7
14
42%
6
2
2
1
0
3
0
6
7-8
88%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
1-6
17%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
34.4
34.5
34
70%
6
4
0
1
1
3
2
4
9-10
90%
11-17
8-16
65%
50%
1-3
33%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
28.9
30.1
13
89%
6
5
0
1
1
1
2
4
3-3
100%
5-6
5-8
83%
59%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
25.6
28.6
5
42%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
22.5
7.2
8
40%
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
1-2
44%
51%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
32.4
26.5
20
58%
4
8
1
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
3-10
30%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
26.9
18.6
13
69%
10
0
1
1
3
2
1
9
7-10
70%
3-5
2-3
60%
58%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.7
24.7
13.1
12
67%
3
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-7
1-2
86%
49%
0-2
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.7
3.8
9.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.1
3.8
5.1
3
39%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 32.2
28.6
1
5-9
51%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.6
4.4
0
0-1
54%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.