FinalWin Prob.pScore
2421%98
114
579%108
122
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
107.5106109.7
DEN logo DEN
114.0107103.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN114
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)114
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENMISS Petro Free Throw 2 of 2114
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENPetro Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)114
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)114
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDMISS Price Free Throw 1 of 1114
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)112
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot112
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)112
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENMISS Graham 26' 3PT Jump Shot112
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDMcRoberts 11' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)112
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14DENPetro Foul Turnover (P1.T15)110
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)110
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39DENMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49INDHibbert Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T17)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DENMISS Petro 9' Running Hook Shot107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09DENMISS Petro 9' Running Hook Shot104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24INDGraham STEAL (2 STL)104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45INDMISS Price 6' Floating Jump Shot104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58DENPetro 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18INDMcRoberts Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS)104
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23DENMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot102
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35INDPrice Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)102
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 3:35INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)101
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 3:36INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45INDPrice Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52DENNene Dunk (13 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03INDNene BLOCK (1 BLK)100
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 4:10DENAnthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (34 PTS)100
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 4:16DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 4:17DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot100
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 4:37INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)100
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 4:37INDMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 299
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 4:44DENGraham 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nene 5 AST)99
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 5:04INDPrice Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)99
0.8%
111
99.2%
Q4 - 5:04INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)98
0.8%
111
99.2%
Q4 - 5:04INDPrice Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)97
0.6%
111
99.4%
Q4 - 5:10DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)96
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 5:29INDMcRoberts Driving Layup (6 PTS)96
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 5:34DENCarter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)94
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 5:51INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)94
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 5:51INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)93
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 6:03DENSmith Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)92
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 6:12INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)92
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 6:20INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)89
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 6:21DENMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot89
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 6:37DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 6:38INDMISS Price 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 6:47INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 6:48DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot89
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 7:01INDFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)89
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 7:07DENCarter 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)86
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 7:14DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 7:15INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot86
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 7:37DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)86
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 7:37DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 286
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 7:46DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 7:48INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 7:51INDPacers Rebound86
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 7:51INDMISS Hibbert 11' Turnaround Jump Shot86
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 8:09DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)86
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 8:09DENNUGGETS Rebound86
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 8:10DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 8:33DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 8:35INDMISS Price 3PT Jump Shot86
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 8:51DENCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T12)86
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 9:07INDGranger Layup (29 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)86
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 9:17DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)84
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 9:17DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 284
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 9:19DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 9:20INDMISS Watson Driving Layup84
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 9:23INDWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 9:24INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 9:31INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 9:32DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 9:39DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 9:41INDAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)84
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 10:01DENAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)84
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 10:09INDBillups STEAL (2 STL)84
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 10:31DENCarter Driving Layup (10 PTS)84
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 10:36INDCarter STEAL (2 STL)84
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 10:42INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 10:44DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 10:53INDSmith STEAL (1 STL)84
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 10:58INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 10:59INDMISS Watson 20' Jump Shot84
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 11:07DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)84
2.3%
98
97.7%
Q4 - 11:23INDDunleavy Layup (5 PTS)84
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 11:24INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 11:25INDMISS Dunleavy Driving Layup82
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 11:44INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 11:45DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 282
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 11:45DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN82
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound82
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Carter 36' 3PT Jump Shot82
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDMISS Ford 6' Jump Shot82
1.8%
97
98.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 281
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDHibbert 8' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)81
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENCarter 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)79
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q3 - 1:08INDJones 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)79
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q3 - 1:23DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q3 - 1:23DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)79
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q3 - 1:23DENNUGGETS Rebound79
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q3 - 1:23INDMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot79
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q3 - 1:34DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)79
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q3 - 1:34DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)79
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q3 - 1:37INDAndersen STEAL (1 STL)79
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q3 - 1:53DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)79
3.9%
91
96.1%
Q3 - 2:04INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
6.0%
88
94.0%
Q3 - 2:04INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q3 - 2:26DENAnthony 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)77
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q3 - 2:48DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q3 - 2:49INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot77
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q3 - 2:55INDPacers Rebound77
7.1%
86
92.9%
Q3 - 2:56INDAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)77
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q3 - 3:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)77
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q3 - 3:16DENAndersen Putback Layup (7 PTS)77
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q3 - 3:18DENMISS Anthony Layup77
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q3 - 3:39DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
8.5%
84
91.5%
Q3 - 3:40INDMISS Watson Free Throw 2 of 277
8.7%
84
91.3%
Q3 - 3:40INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
9.7%
84
90.3%
Q3 - 3:45DENGraham Reverse Layup (6 PTS)76
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q3 - 3:48DENGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q3 - 3:49DENMISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
11.3%
82
88.7%
Q3 - 4:04INDMcRoberts Dunk (4 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)76
10.1%
82
89.9%
Q3 - 4:22DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)74
8.9%
82
91.1%
Q3 - 4:40INDMurphy 7' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)74
7.4%
82
92.6%
Q3 - 4:51DENAnthony 12' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)72
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q3 - 5:05INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
7.5%
80
92.5%
Q3 - 5:05INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
7.3%
80
92.7%
Q3 - 5:25DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
6.6%
80
93.4%
Q3 - 5:25DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 270
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q3 - 5:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)70
6.4%
79
93.6%
Q3 - 5:34INDMISS McRoberts 20' Jump Shot70
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q3 - 5:45INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
7.7%
79
92.3%
Q3 - 5:46DENMISS Anthony Layup70
7.3%
79
92.7%
Q3 - 6:02INDRush Layup (5 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)70
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q3 - 6:24DENAnthony 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)68
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 6:35INDBillups STEAL (1 STL)68
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 6:56DENBillups Driving Layup (13 PTS)68
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 7:05INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)68
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 7:05INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)67
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q3 - 7:19DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 7:19DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 7:37INDFord Dunk (4 PTS)66
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q3 - 7:40DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)64
8.0%
73
92.0%
Q3 - 7:45DENBillups Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)64
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q3 - 7:51DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q3 - 7:53INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 8:05DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)64
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q3 - 8:22INDGranger Driving Layup (25 PTS)64
12.1%
69
87.9%
Q3 - 8:25INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 8:26DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 8:31DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 8:33INDAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)62
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q3 - 8:46DENNene Foul Turnover (P1.T8)62
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 8:51INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P3.T8)62
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 9:06INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
10.6%
69
89.4%
Q3 - 9:07DENMISS Graham 10' Jump Shot62
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 9:19DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
9.3%
69
90.7%
Q3 - 9:20INDMISS Ford 15' Fadeaway Jumper62
9.7%
69
90.3%
Q3 - 9:30INDPacers Rebound62
10.6%
69
89.4%
Q3 - 9:31DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot62
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 9:39DENBillups Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)62
9.3%
69
90.7%
Q3 - 9:56INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)62
10.6%
68
89.4%
Q3 - 9:56INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)61
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q3 - 10:11DENGraham Putback Layup (4 PTS)60
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q3 - 10:12DENGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 10:13DENMISS Graham Layup60
11.7%
66
88.3%
Q3 - 10:28DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 10:29INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 260
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q3 - 10:29INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 260
11.9%
66
88.1%
Q3 - 10:37DENAfflalo 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)60
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 10:53INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST)60
13.7%
64
86.3%
Q3 - 11:01DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)57
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 11:13DENNUGGETS Rebound57
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 11:15DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot57
10.3%
64
89.7%
Q3 - 11:34INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T7)57
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 11:42INDGranger Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)57
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN56
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound56
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony Layup56
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
8.8%
64
91.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot56
9.3%
64
90.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)56
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)55
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)54
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
6.6%
64
93.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)52
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q2 - 1:15INDGranger Layup (18 PTS)52
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q2 - 1:16INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q2 - 1:17INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q2 - 1:17INDMISS Granger Tip Shot50
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q2 - 1:18INDMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot50
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q2 - 1:39INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q2 - 1:40DENMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot50
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q2 - 1:57DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)50
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q2 - 1:58INDMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot50
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q2 - 2:05INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q2 - 2:06DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot50
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q2 - 2:21INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)50
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q2 - 2:40DENAnthony Driving Layup (15 PTS)47
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q2 - 2:48DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q2 - 2:50INDMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot47
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q2 - 3:04DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)47
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 3:18INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q2 - 3:18INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q2 - 3:29DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)45
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q2 - 3:36DENBillups Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)45
8.6%
53
91.4%
Q2 - 3:47INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
9.7%
52
90.3%
Q2 - 3:47INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q2 - 3:54INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
8.8%
52
91.2%
Q2 - 3:55DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q2 - 4:10INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)43
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q2 - 4:16INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
6.3%
52
93.7%
Q2 - 4:17DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot40
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 4:27DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q2 - 4:28INDMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot40
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 4:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
6.3%
52
93.7%
Q2 - 4:47DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot40
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 5:04INDWatson Driving Layup (7 PTS)40
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 5:12DENCarter Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)38
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 5:30INDGranger Driving Layup (13 PTS)38
5.7%
50
94.3%
Q2 - 6:08DENNene Dunk (11 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)36
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 6:29INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)36
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 6:43INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
4.8%
48
95.2%
Q2 - 6:45DENMISS Andersen Alley Oop Layup33
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 6:47DENNUGGETS Rebound33
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 6:48DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 6:54DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 6:55INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Hook Shot33
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 7:19DENNene Dunk (9 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)33
4.8%
48
95.2%
Q2 - 7:27DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 7:28INDMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot33
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 7:46DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q2 - 7:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 7:57INDMISS Ford Driving Layup33
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 8:17DENCarter 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)33
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 8:43INDHibbert 12' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)33
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 8:54DENAndersen Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)31
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 9:12INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)31
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 9:25INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 9:26DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot28
4.5%
44
95.5%
Q2 - 9:32DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
4.2%
44
95.8%
Q2 - 9:33INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot28
4.3%
44
95.7%
Q2 - 9:47DENCarter 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)28
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 10:00INDJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)28
5.1%
42
94.9%
Q2 - 10:01INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
5.9%
42
94.1%
Q2 - 10:02DENMISS Nene 6' Jump Shot28
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 10:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 10:09DENMISS Afflalo Driving Layup28
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 10:14INDCarter STEAL (1 STL)28
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 10:33DENAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)28
5.9%
42
94.1%
Q2 - 10:36DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
6.4%
40
93.6%
Q2 - 10:37INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot28
6.6%
40
93.4%
Q2 - 10:55DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
7.1%
40
92.9%
Q2 - 10:55DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
7.3%
39
92.7%
Q2 - 11:04DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
8.0%
38
92.0%
Q2 - 11:05INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
8.2%
38
91.8%
Q2 - 11:12INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 11:13DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 11:34DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
8.0%
38
92.0%
Q2 - 11:35INDMISS Murphy 21' Jump Shot28
8.2%
38
91.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN28
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDWatson Driving Layup (5 PTS)28
8.0%
38
92.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)26
7.5%
37
92.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot26
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)26
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0INDMISS Watson Putback Layup26
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDMISS Hibbert 4' Jump Hook Shot26
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0DENSmith 18' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)26
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q1 - 1:15INDHibbert 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q1 - 1:34DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q1 - 1:43INDHibbert Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)24
14.0%
28
86.0%
Q1 - 1:54DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q1 - 1:54DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
15.1%
27
84.9%
Q1 - 1:58DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q1 - 2:00INDMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
16.8%
26
83.2%
Q1 - 2:08INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q1 - 2:08DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot24
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q1 - 2:22INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q1 - 2:26INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q1 - 2:27DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot21
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q1 - 2:44INDJones 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)21
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q1 - 3:07INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.8%
26
88.2%
Q1 - 3:08DENMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot19
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q1 - 3:19DENBillups Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)19
10.9%
26
89.1%
Q1 - 3:30DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q1 - 3:31INDMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot19
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q1 - 3:48DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q1 - 3:48DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 219
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 4:04INDMcRoberts Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)19
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q1 - 4:15DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 4:15DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 4:15DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 4:16DENMISS Graham Layup17
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 4:30INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)17
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 4:38INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 4:39DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot14
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 4:46DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q1 - 4:47INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot14
10.2%
22
89.8%
Q1 - 5:04DENAnthony Layup (7 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)14
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q1 - 5:19INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)14
11.9%
20
88.1%
Q1 - 5:32DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)11
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 5:42DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 5:43INDMISS Granger 3PT Jump Shot11
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 5:56DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)11
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 6:16INDMurphy Foul Turnover (P1.T3)11
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 6:30DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
12.8%
17
87.2%
Q1 - 6:54DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 6:55INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 7:04DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 7:06DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 7:07INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 7:17INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 7:18DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 7:25DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 7:26INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 7:35DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 7:39DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 7:40INDAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)11
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 7:54DENBillups 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)11
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 8:10INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 8:10INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 210
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 8:13INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 8:14DENMISS Graham 17' Jump Shot10
16.2%
12
83.8%
Q1 - 8:33INDHibbert Layup (4 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)10
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 8:45INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
14.4%
12
85.6%
Q1 - 8:46DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
14.1%
12
85.9%
Q1 - 8:57DENJump Ball Graham vs. Granger: Tip to Afflalo8
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 9:03DENBillups 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
14.4%
12
85.6%
Q1 - 9:13DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 9:14INDMISS Rush 20' Jump Shot8
15.8%
10
84.2%
Q1 - 9:25DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)8
16.5%
10
83.5%
Q1 - 9:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
18.8%
7
81.2%
Q1 - 9:34INDMurphy Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
18.8%
7
81.2%
Q1 - 9:35INDMISS Murphy Layup6
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 9:59DENGraham 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)6
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 10:14INDFord 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 10:23INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 10:24DENMISS Graham 18' Jump Shot4
17.2%
5
82.8%
Q1 - 10:45INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
16.4%
5
83.6%
Q1 - 10:56DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)4
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 11:11INDGranger Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)4
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 11:17INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 11:19DENMISS Afflalo Driving Layup2
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 11:32INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 11:32INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 11:46DENNene 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)0
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Hibbert: Tip to Graham0
17.2%
0
82.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.15 57.6%
DEN
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
19
30
63%
DEN
19
27
70%
Midrange
IND
8
30
27%
DEN
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
DEN
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
Free Throws
IND
33
40
83%
DEN
32
38
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger3267%16.0 / 24
T. Murphy1458%7.0 / 12
B. Rush1260%6.0 / 10
R. Hibbert1267%6.0 / 9
E. Watson1050%5.0 / 10
J. McRoberts1083%5.0 / 6
T. Ford744%3.5 / 8
A. Price750%3.5 / 7
D. Jones536%2.5 / 7
M. Dunleavy542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3474%17.0 / 23
J. Smith2059%10.0 / 17
C. Billups1447%7.0 / 15
Nene1393%6.5 / 7
C. Andersen1365%6.5 / 10
A. Carter1267%6.0 / 9
J. Graham840%4.0 / 10
A. Afflalo542%2.5 / 6
J. Petro338%1.5 / 4
M. Allen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
89
+10
-17
99
DEN
93
+13
-14
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.15 57.6%
DEN
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
111.9
IND 107.5
DEN 114.0 +6.5
Pace
97.0
94.7
IND 109.7 +6.3
DEN 103.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
14.7
IND 13.1 +0.8
DEN 13.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.9%
IND 49.4%
DEN 51.1% +1.7%
TO %
14.7%
14.2%
IND 14.6%
DEN 12.5% +2.1%
ORB %
21.6%
26.1%
IND 17.4%
DEN 19.0% +1.6%
FTrt
29.6
37.6
IND 48.8 +5.6
DEN 43.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
55.0%
IND 55.6%
DEN 61.9% +6.3%
STL %
7.4%
8.7%
IND 7.5%
DEN 7.5%
BLK %
8.0%
7.9%
IND 4.8%
DEN 8.3% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
54.9%
IND 57.6% +0.6%
DEN 57.0%
Rim FG%
57.4%
61.0%
IND 63.3%
DEN 70.4% +7.1%
Mid FG%
39.8%
39.6%
IND 26.7%
DEN 47.2% +20.5%
3P %
34.8%
35.9%
IND 40.9% +16.9%
DEN 24.0%
FT %
77.5%
77.2%
IND 82.5%
DEN 84.2% +1.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
37.5%
IND 36.6% +5.9%
DEN 30.7%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
39.8%
IND 36.6% +4.3%
DEN 40.9%
3P Att. %
27.8%
22.7%
IND 26.8%
DEN 28.4% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDEN
Possessions106107
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points114122
Rebounds4246
Assists2026
Steals88
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)38 (1)
Field Goals36-8242-88
At-the-Rim FG19-3019-27
Midrange FG8-3017-36
2-Point FG27-6036-63
3-Point FG9-226-25
Free Throws33-4032-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 27
35.1
32
67%
4
1
2
2
2
3
2
2
8-8
100%
6-13
46%
4-8
50%
F · 6'11" 245 · 30
32.6
14
58%
9
3
0
0
1
1
1
8
7-10
70%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
31.4
12
60%
6
1
1
0
1
2
0
6
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
C · 7'2" 270 · 23
27.9
12
67%
4
3
0
0
4
5
0
4
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 27
24.2
7
44%
1
4
3
1
2
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 31
23.3
10
50%
3
3
0
0
3
1
2
1
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 23
22.9
10
83%
4
4
2
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29
21.8
5
36%
8
1
0
0
2
4
0
8
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29
11.5
5
42%
2
0
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 23
9.3
7
50%
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
#10 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
58%
42
20
8
3
17
0
8
34
33-40
83%
27-60
45%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.