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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hornets25%9491
6Spurs75%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.5
43.8
42.0
32
80%
2
2
0
2
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
12-16
6-13
75%
47%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.5
42.2
38.9
22
58%
9
7
4
1
2
1
3
6
0-0
-
11-19
7-15
58%
48%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.7
34.5
34.7
3
14%
5
1
2
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
1-8
3-7
13%
44%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
32.5
22.4
4
25%
5
0
2
0
1
1
2
3
0-2
0%
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.5
20.7
19.2
3
22%
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
23.7
29.8
18
57%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
7-12
4-10
58%
46%
1-3
33%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.1
21.3
18.5
5
125%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.1
12.2
10.4
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
5.8
9.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
3.3
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
11.6
1
2-3
51%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.8
33.5
38.0
14
63%
4
3
3
1
0
2
0
4
3-5
60%
1-5
5-9
20%
51%
3-4
75%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.9
32.1
20.2
10
63%
12
1
1
1
1
2
4
8
0-2
0%
5-7
4-7
71%
55%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
31.9
31.0
12
44%
8
4
0
1
1
2
1
7
2-4
50%
5-11
7-14
45%
52%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.8
30.4
28.4
20
73%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
8-12
6-11
67%
53%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.8
28.4
17.6
15
95%
0
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
4-6
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.6
30.8
29.5
16
67%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
2-4
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.7
25.6
28.9
3
30%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.9
23.4
10.6
12
68%
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
54%
2-3
67%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.3
2.6
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
1.3
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
16.4
0
2-5
51%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
11.8
0
1-2
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.