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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Thunder57%97104
25Clippers43%9487
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.4
38.3
33.0
32
57%
9
2
2
1
2
1
1
8
12-14
86%
10-20
7-14
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
36.8
31.9
14
46%
8
2
1
1
3
3
0
8
3-5
60%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
36.2
31.7
15
53%
6
9
7
1
0
7
2
4
5-7
71%
5-11
6-13
45%
45%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.6
31.9
24.5
13
50%
11
1
0
0
0
0
6
5
1-2
50%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
19.7
25.6
0
0%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.5
28.3
23.5
17
67%
3
4
1
1
2
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
3-6
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
18.6
16.9
1
17%
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.5
18.4
18.8
9
77%
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
3
1-2
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
11.8
13.3
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Antonio Anderson
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
10.3
0
1-2
47%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.9
7.8
0
1-2
52%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
5.0
0
0-1
42%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.0
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
37.5
34.5
17
55%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
3-7
43%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.9
36.5
29.2
6
24%
1
6
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-3
67%
2-8
3-8
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.9
34.0
31.4
19
48%
15
2
0
1
0
2
3
12
3-6
50%
8-17
7-14
47%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.2
30.9
35.5
7
29%
0
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
2-8
4-8
25%
51%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
28.6
30.7
9
54%
13
0
1
1
0
1
3
10
3-3
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.0
21.7
20.8
2
17%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.3
21.6
12.4
19
67%
7
1
0
0
1
2
6
1
5-7
71%
7-10
2-4
70%
56%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.5
17.4
17.3
6
43%
2
1
2
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
2-4
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
11.9
19.8
2
35%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
58%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.7
7.1
0
0-1
52%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.4
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.8
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.