FinalWin Prob.pScore
1045%94
94
1355%96
100
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
108.08782.1
MIA logo MIA
112.48994.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)94
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 294
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)94
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 294
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)94
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot94
3.2%
98
96.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLSmith Dunk (17 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)94
3.2%
98
96.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)92
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 1:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)92
10.5%
95
89.5%
Q4 - 1:09ATLMISS Smith 7' Running Hook Shot92
12.8%
95
87.2%
Q4 - 1:16MIABeasley Putback Layup (19 PTS)92
20.1%
95
79.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)92
29.6%
93
70.4%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup92
39.9%
93
60.1%
Q4 - 1:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)92
30.4%
93
69.6%
Q4 - 1:27ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
34.8%
93
65.2%
Q4 - 1:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)92
45.5%
93
54.5%
Q4 - 1:32ATLMISS Johnson 13' Fadeaway Jumper92
35.2%
93
64.8%
Q4 - 1:51MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)92
44.3%
93
55.7%
Q4 - 1:54ATLBeasley STEAL (2 STL)92
55.6%
91
44.4%
Q4 - 2:11ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
70.6%
91
29.4%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
66.3%
91
33.7%
Q4 - 2:31ATLBeasley STEAL (1 STL)92
55.0%
91
45.0%
Q4 - 2:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
71.4%
91
28.6%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot92
64.3%
91
35.7%
Q4 - 3:08ATLArroyo STEAL (1 STL)92
54.7%
91
45.3%
Q4 - 3:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)92
69.3%
91
30.7%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 292
71.1%
90
28.9%
Q4 - 3:40ATLHorford Putback Layup (10 PTS)92
63.1%
90
36.9%
Q4 - 3:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
54.7%
90
45.3%
Q4 - 3:42ATLMISS Crawford Driving Layup90
47.6%
90
52.4%
Q4 - 3:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
54.8%
90
45.2%
Q4 - 3:55ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
47.6%
90
52.4%
Q4 - 4:26MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)90
54.9%
90
45.1%
Q4 - 4:44ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)90
72.2%
87
27.8%
Q4 - 5:10MIAWade 6' Floating Jump Shot (36 PTS)87
53.7%
87
46.3%
Q4 - 5:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
61.6%
85
38.4%
Q4 - 5:18ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot87
64.1%
85
35.9%
Q4 - 5:43ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
69.7%
85
30.3%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
67.4%
85
32.6%
Q4 - 5:55ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)87
61.7%
85
38.3%
Q4 - 5:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
69.7%
85
30.3%
Q4 - 5:58ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
64.3%
85
35.7%
Q4 - 6:15ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
67.5%
85
32.5%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
65.3%
85
34.7%
Q4 - 6:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
60.1%
85
39.9%
Q4 - 6:42ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
62.5%
85
37.5%
Q4 - 7:05MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)87
65.9%
85
34.1%
Q4 - 7:20ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)87
71.4%
83
28.6%
Q4 - 7:44MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
59.5%
83
40.5%
Q4 - 7:58MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
71.5%
80
28.5%
Q4 - 7:59ATLHaslem BLOCK (2 BLK)84
73.4%
80
26.6%
Q4 - 8:17ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
75.2%
80
24.8%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot84
73.8%
80
26.2%
Q4 - 8:42ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)84
70.3%
80
29.7%
Q4 - 8:59MIABeasley 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)80
52.0%
80
48.0%
Q4 - 9:14ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)80
57.8%
78
42.2%
Q4 - 9:34MIARichardson Tip Shot (19 PTS)80
63.4%
78
36.6%
Q4 - 9:35MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
68.9%
76
31.1%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot80
72.3%
76
27.7%
Q4 - 9:56ATLCrawford 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)80
68.9%
76
31.1%
Q4 - 10:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)77
56.8%
76
43.2%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
55.1%
76
44.9%
Q4 - 10:44ATLRichardson STEAL (2 STL)77
51.2%
76
48.8%
Q4 - 10:54ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
56.9%
76
43.1%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
55.2%
76
44.8%
Q4 - 11:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
50.9%
76
49.1%
Q4 - 11:03ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot77
52.5%
76
47.5%
Q4 - 11:04ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
56.1%
76
43.9%
Q4 - 11:05ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot77
52.5%
76
47.5%
Q4 - 11:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
56.1%
76
43.9%
Q4 - 11:07ATLMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot77
52.5%
76
47.5%
Q4 - 11:17ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
56.1%
76
43.9%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Running Jump Shot77
54.5%
76
45.5%
Q4 - 11:35ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)77
50.9%
76
49.1%
Q4 - 11:49MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)77
56.1%
76
43.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
50.9%
76
49.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
50.8%
76
49.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot77
52.2%
76
47.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)77
55.4%
76
44.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Crawford 11' Running Jump Shot77
52.2%
76
47.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
55.4%
76
44.6%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot77
54.0%
76
46.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0ATLSmith Dunk (15 PTS)77
50.8%
76
49.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)75
45.3%
76
54.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)75
40.7%
76
59.3%
Q3 - 1:01ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
35.6%
76
64.4%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Haslem Layup73
34.3%
76
65.7%
Q3 - 1:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
31.5%
76
68.5%
Q3 - 1:10ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)73
32.8%
76
67.2%
Q3 - 1:15ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
35.6%
76
64.4%
Q3 - 1:16ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup73
32.8%
76
67.2%
Q3 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)73
35.6%
76
64.4%
Q3 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)73
36.5%
75
63.5%
Q3 - 1:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
40.6%
74
59.4%
Q3 - 1:47ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
41.9%
74
58.1%
Q3 - 1:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
45.0%
74
55.0%
Q3 - 1:57ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
41.9%
74
58.1%
Q3 - 2:21MIAArroyo 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)73
44.9%
74
55.1%
Q3 - 2:34MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
49.6%
72
50.4%
Q3 - 2:35ATLMISS Johnson 9' Floating Jump Shot73
51.0%
72
49.0%
Q3 - 2:47ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)73
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)72
49.7%
72
50.3%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)72
50.6%
71
49.4%
Q3 - 3:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
53.9%
70
46.1%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
57.2%
70
42.8%
Q3 - 3:20ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
53.9%
70
46.1%
Q3 - 3:32ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
49.7%
70
50.3%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 270
49.0%
70
51.0%
Q3 - 3:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)70
46.0%
70
54.0%
Q3 - 3:42ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)70
49.4%
69
50.6%
Q3 - 3:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
54.2%
69
45.8%
Q3 - 3:50ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
50.8%
69
49.2%
Q3 - 4:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)70
54.0%
69
46.0%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 270
54.8%
68
45.2%
Q3 - 4:12MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
53.3%
68
46.7%
Q3 - 4:13ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
54.8%
68
45.2%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWade Dunk (28 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)70
58.3%
68
41.7%
Q3 - 4:46ATLRichardson STEAL (1 STL)70
61.9%
66
38.1%
Q3 - 5:07MIAAnthony Tip Shot (2 PTS)70
65.2%
66
34.8%
Q3 - 5:08MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
68.4%
64
31.6%
Q3 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper70
71.2%
64
28.8%
Q3 - 5:36ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)70
68.5%
64
31.5%
Q3 - 5:44ATLHawks Rebound68
65.3%
64
34.7%
Q3 - 5:45ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot68
62.2%
64
37.8%
Q3 - 6:07MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)68
64.4%
64
35.6%
Q3 - 6:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
71.1%
61
28.9%
Q3 - 6:14ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
72.2%
61
27.8%
Q3 - 6:34MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)68
74.7%
61
25.3%
Q3 - 6:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
80.0%
58
20.0%
Q3 - 6:42ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot68
80.9%
58
19.1%
Q3 - 7:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
81.2%
58
18.8%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot68
80.5%
58
19.5%
Q3 - 7:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
78.6%
58
21.4%
Q3 - 7:21ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot68
79.5%
58
20.5%
Q3 - 7:42MIARichardson Driving Layup (17 PTS)68
81.4%
58
18.6%
Q3 - 8:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
82.7%
56
17.3%
Q3 - 8:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
82.4%
56
17.6%
Q3 - 8:22ATLHawks Rebound66
80.6%
56
19.4%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot66
79.9%
56
20.1%
Q3 - 8:38ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
78.0%
56
22.0%
Q3 - 8:38ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
77.4%
56
22.6%
Q3 - 8:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
75.5%
56
24.5%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot64
74.6%
56
25.4%
Q3 - 9:07ATLSmith Driving Dunk (11 PTS)64
71.9%
56
28.1%
Q3 - 9:20MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)62
68.9%
56
31.1%
Q3 - 9:20MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
69.6%
55
30.4%
Q3 - 9:41ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
71.9%
54
28.1%
Q3 - 9:51ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
68.9%
54
31.1%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
67.9%
54
32.1%
Q3 - 10:09ATLJohnson Driving Layup (17 PTS)60
64.8%
54
35.2%
Q3 - 10:12MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)58
61.6%
54
38.4%
Q3 - 10:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
58.1%
54
41.9%
Q3 - 10:21ATLMISS Horford Driving Layup58
59.2%
54
40.8%
Q3 - 10:39MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
61.6%
54
38.4%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
64.9%
52
35.1%
Q3 - 10:58ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot58
65.9%
52
34.1%
Q3 - 11:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
67.5%
52
32.5%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot58
66.6%
52
33.4%
Q3 - 11:35ATLJohnson 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
64.3%
52
35.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL56
61.2%
52
38.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 38' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)56
61.2%
52
38.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
67.2%
49
32.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 255
66.7%
49
33.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0ATLHawks Rebound55
66.6%
49
33.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
65.8%
49
34.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
64.2%
49
35.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Evans 12' Jump Shot55
64.9%
49
35.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
66.6%
49
33.4%
Q2 - 1:15ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T4)55
72.4%
46
27.6%
Q2 - 1:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot55
73.8%
46
26.2%
Q2 - 1:31MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
72.5%
46
27.5%
Q2 - 1:32ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Hook Shot55
73.0%
46
27.0%
Q2 - 1:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot55
73.8%
46
26.2%
Q2 - 1:58ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)55
72.5%
46
27.5%
Q2 - 2:16MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)55
74.0%
46
26.0%
Q2 - 2:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
76.3%
44
23.7%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot55
77.9%
44
22.1%
Q2 - 2:34ATLJohnson Layup (12 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)55
76.3%
44
23.7%
Q2 - 2:40MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)53
74.0%
44
26.0%
Q2 - 2:58ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)53
71.4%
44
28.6%
Q2 - 3:11ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
65.8%
44
34.2%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot50
64.7%
44
35.3%
Q2 - 3:26ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)50
62.3%
44
37.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
56.8%
44
43.2%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
57.4%
43
42.6%
Q2 - 3:50ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
59.3%
42
40.7%
Q2 - 3:50ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
58.9%
42
41.1%
Q2 - 4:06MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)45
56.1%
42
43.9%
Q2 - 4:16MIAHEAT Rebound45
61.8%
39
38.2%
Q2 - 4:18ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
62.8%
39
37.2%
Q2 - 4:24ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
64.9%
39
35.1%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot45
64.0%
39
36.0%
Q2 - 4:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
61.8%
39
38.2%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot45
64.0%
39
36.0%
Q2 - 4:44ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
61.8%
39
38.2%
Q2 - 4:44ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
61.2%
39
38.8%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)43
59.2%
39
40.8%
Q2 - 4:57MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
64.7%
36
35.3%
Q2 - 4:59ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 243
65.1%
36
34.9%
Q2 - 4:59ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
67.1%
36
32.9%
Q2 - 5:21MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)42
64.4%
36
35.6%
Q2 - 5:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
69.8%
33
30.2%
Q2 - 5:27ATLMISS Smith 9' Fadeaway Jumper42
70.5%
33
29.5%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
72.2%
33
27.8%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
72.6%
32
27.4%
Q2 - 5:53ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)42
74.6%
31
25.4%
Q2 - 6:11MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)39
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
71.2%
29
28.8%
Q2 - 6:21ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot39
72.0%
29
28.0%
Q2 - 6:45MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)39
73.9%
29
26.1%
Q2 - 6:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
75.8%
27
24.2%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Magloire 6' Jump Hook Shot39
77.4%
27
22.6%
Q2 - 7:03ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
75.2%
27
24.8%
Q2 - 7:03ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
74.8%
27
25.2%
Q2 - 7:21MIABeasley Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
73.1%
27
26.9%
Q2 - 7:37ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)37
75.2%
25
24.8%
Q2 - 7:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
73.2%
25
26.8%
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot35
72.5%
25
27.5%
Q2 - 8:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
69.8%
25
30.2%
Q2 - 8:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
69.4%
25
30.6%
Q2 - 8:05ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
67.5%
25
32.5%
Q2 - 8:06ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot33
65.8%
25
34.2%
Q2 - 8:07ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
67.5%
25
32.5%
Q2 - 8:08ATLMISS Williams 10' Jump Bank Shot33
65.8%
25
34.2%
Q2 - 8:26MIAChalmers Driving Reverse Layup (3 PTS)33
67.6%
25
32.4%
Q2 - 8:51ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)33
69.9%
23
30.1%
Q2 - 9:13MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
66.8%
23
33.2%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 231
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q2 - 9:30ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)31
66.7%
22
33.3%
Q2 - 9:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot29
63.7%
22
36.3%
Q2 - 9:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
63.7%
22
36.3%
Q2 - 10:20ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
61.4%
22
38.6%
Q2 - 10:20ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
61.1%
22
38.9%
Q2 - 10:28ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
59.1%
22
40.9%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup27
58.3%
22
41.7%
Q2 - 10:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
56.4%
22
43.6%
Q2 - 10:38ATLMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot27
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q2 - 10:52ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
59.2%
22
40.8%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
58.3%
22
41.7%
Q2 - 11:00ATLCook STEAL (1 STL)27
56.4%
22
43.6%
Q2 - 11:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
58.6%
22
41.4%
Q2 - 11:05ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
56.8%
22
43.2%
Q2 - 11:15ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
58.6%
22
41.4%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
57.9%
22
42.1%
Q2 - 11:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
56.1%
22
43.9%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
58.7%
22
41.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound27
56.1%
22
43.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 45' 3PT Jump Shot27
57.9%
22
42.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
55.7%
22
44.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)27
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)27
57.6%
22
42.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
55.2%
22
44.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
53.3%
22
46.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Pachulia Layup26
53.9%
22
46.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
55.3%
22
44.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
55.8%
21
44.2%
Q1 - 1:05ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)26
57.8%
20
42.2%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMagloire Layup (2 PTS)23
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
55.5%
18
44.5%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot23
56.6%
18
43.4%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
55.5%
18
44.5%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot23
56.6%
18
43.4%
Q1 - 2:02ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)23
55.2%
18
44.8%
Q1 - 2:24MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)21
52.5%
18
47.5%
Q1 - 2:43ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
55.2%
16
44.8%
Q1 - 2:43ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
54.5%
16
45.5%
Q1 - 2:45ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
52.5%
16
47.5%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot19
51.9%
16
48.1%
Q1 - 3:04ATLJohnson Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)19
50.2%
16
49.8%
Q1 - 3:13ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
48.0%
16
52.0%
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot17
47.3%
16
52.7%
Q1 - 3:29ATLSmith 7' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)17
45.6%
16
54.4%
Q1 - 3:54MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 4:14ATLCrawford 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 4:42MIABeasley 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 4:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
45.3%
12
54.7%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 213
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 4:46MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 5:09ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)13
47.2%
11
52.8%
Q1 - 5:15ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
43.1%
11
56.9%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade Dunk10
42.4%
11
57.6%
Q1 - 5:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
40.8%
11
59.2%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMISS Beasley 9' Running Jump Shot10
42.4%
11
57.6%
Q1 - 5:42ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)10
40.8%
11
59.2%
Q1 - 6:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 27
37.3%
10
62.7%
Q1 - 6:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 6:13ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot7
37.4%
10
62.6%
Q1 - 6:30MIAArroyo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
38.9%
10
61.1%
Q1 - 6:43MIAHEAT Rebound7
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 6:44ATLMISS Smith 7' Running Hook Shot7
37.4%
10
62.6%
Q1 - 6:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
38.9%
10
61.1%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
38.2%
10
61.8%
Q1 - 7:03ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)7
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 7:26MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)7
38.9%
10
61.1%
Q1 - 7:32MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 7:33ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot7
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 7:47MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
42.9%
8
57.1%
Q1 - 8:06ATLHorford Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)7
46.9%
5
53.1%
Q1 - 8:15ATLBibby Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)5
44.8%
5
55.2%
Q1 - 8:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 8:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
40.8%
5
59.2%
Q1 - 8:38ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot4
41.4%
5
58.6%
Q1 - 9:00MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 9:18ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot4
47.7%
2
52.3%
Q1 - 9:47MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)4
49.0%
2
51.0%
Q1 - 10:08ATLJohnson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 10:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 10:50ATLHorford Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 11:08ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.5%
0
55.5%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot0
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 11:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 11:21ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot0
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 11:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup0
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to Arroyo0
42.9%
0
57.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
11
22
50%
MIA
14
20
70%
Midrange
ATL
11
32
34%
MIA
9
31
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
MIA
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
Free Throws
ATL
23
25
92%
MIA
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford2475%12.0 / 16
J. Johnson2042%10.0 / 24
J. Smith1747%8.5 / 18
A. Horford1063%5.0 / 8
J. Smith8100%4.0 / 4
M. Bibby675%3.0 / 4
M. Williams650%3.0 / 6
M. Evans338%1.5 / 4
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3856%19.0 / 34
Q. Richardson2269%11.0 / 16
M. Beasley2269%11.0 / 16
J. Magloire583%2.5 / 3
J. O'Neal338%1.5 / 4
U. Haslem338%1.5 / 4
M. Chalmers321%1.5 / 7
C. Arroyo213%1.0 / 8
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
74
+14
-13
88
MIA
83
+14
-6
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
106.7
ATL 108.0
MIA 112.4 +4.3
Pace
89.9
89.6
ATL 82.1
MIA 94.7 +12.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.5
ATL 17.5
MIA 15.2 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.6%
ATL 45.5%
MIA 49.4% +3.9%
TO %
12.7%
13.6%
ATL 12.7%
MIA 6.1% +6.6%
ORB %
28.3%
26.0%
ATL 28.9%
MIA 28.9%
FTrt
28.1
29.6
ATL 32.1
MIA 36.3 +4.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
51.9%
ATL 64.5% +14.5%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
8.0%
8.1%
ATL 3.4%
MIA 10.1% +6.7%
BLK %
7.9%
9.4%
ATL 5.9% +0.3%
MIA 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
52.1%
ATL 52.8% +1.3%
MIA 51.5%
Rim FG%
60.8%
62.0%
ATL 50.0%
MIA 70.0% +20.0%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.8%
ATL 34.4% +5.4%
MIA 29.0%
3P %
36.0%
34.6%
ATL 37.5%
MIA 37.9% +0.4%
FT %
75.9%
75.2%
ATL 92.0% +19.6%
MIA 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
29.8%
ATL 28.2% +3.2%
MIA 25.0%
Mid Att. %
43.1%
48.3%
ATL 41.0%
MIA 38.8% +2.3%
3P Att. %
21.4%
21.9%
ATL 30.8%
MIA 36.3% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points94100
Rebounds4545
Assists2017
Steals39
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals31-7834-80
At-the-Rim FG11-2214-20
Midrange FG11-329-31
2-Point FG22-5423-51
3-Point FG9-2411-29
Free Throws23-2521-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
42.3
20
42%
4
4
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
6-12
50%
2-11
18%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
40.0
17
47%
6
5
1
2
5
2
4
2
3-3
100%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 24
33.8
10
63%
9
4
0
1
2
5
3
6
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
30.3
6
75%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
24.6
6
50%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
6-6
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
31.4
24
75%
7
3
0
0
2
2
0
7
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
5-9
56%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
17.0
3
38%
4
2
1
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
13.8
0
0%
8
1
0
0
1
2
4
4
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35
6.7
8
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
C · 7'0" 255 · 31
#33 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
53%
45
20
3
3
13
0
13
32
23-25
92%
22-54
41%
9-24
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.