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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 7, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2176ers40%99114
17Raptors60%102101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
43.0
35.4
16
55%
6
10
1
2
3
0
0
6
5-8
63%
4-10
4-9
40%
51%
1-1
100%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
42.9
28.9
32
81%
5
2
4
1
0
1
4
1
3-4
75%
10-14
5-9
71%
52%
3-4
75%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.7
35.0
25.8
21
82%
7
6
1
1
2
4
2
5
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
46%
3-4
75%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
34.5
35.9
12
56%
5
5
1
2
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
22.9
22.2
12
50%
9
1
0
1
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
18.1
24.9
5
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.0
13.9
7.6
5
46%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
12.8
29.2
8
80%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.1
7.4
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.9
6.4
12.8
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
3.2
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
1.8
0
0-0
44%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.0
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.4
39.3
33.3
11
55%
4
2
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
5-10
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
35.5
26.5
20
71%
0
9
4
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
52%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
32.9
38.3
12
43%
12
1
0
1
0
2
4
8
0-0
-
6-14
9-17
43%
53%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.7
25.0
23.9
10
71%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
51%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.6
16.9
21.7
9
46%
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
26.6
27.0
5
25%
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
1-5
20%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
24.0
24.1
8
50%
1
5
3
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
55%
2-3
67%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
18.0
7.1
11
80%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
47%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.8
13.4
11.7
10
69%
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
2-5
40%
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
8.3
23.1
5
102%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
60%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.8
9.1
0
2-3
54%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.3
7.0
0
1-1
50%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.