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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 7, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Thunder61%98108
26Kings39%94102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.4
43.1
34.4
27
55%
8
5
1
1
1
3
2
6
8-8
100%
8-18
8-15
44%
51%
1-3
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
33.7
33.2
12
48%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
32.2
32.8
21
51%
8
4
0
1
1
1
3
5
5-6
83%
8-17
6-13
47%
46%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.6
29.2
26.7
5
36%
10
0
0
1
0
2
2
8
1-2
50%
2-6
4-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
25.6
23.2
10
63%
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
23.8
17.7
4
67%
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.5
19.5
25.0
14
62%
2
0
2
1
1
3
2
0
3-3
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.5
17.1
18.5
11
85%
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2
1-1
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
54%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
15.8
12.9
4
52%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Antonio Anderson
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
7.0
0
1-2
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.9
6.1
0
1-1
52%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.0
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.1
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.5
41.3
35.1
20
66%
8
0
2
1
1
1
2
6
2-5
40%
9-13
6-12
69%
53%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.5
39.6
35.3
24
63%
4
7
3
1
0
2
0
4
4-7
57%
7-13
7-14
54%
49%
2-3
67%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.7
35.3
34.8
10
54%
1
5
1
1
0
2
1
0
3-3
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.9
23.8
25.5
4
29%
2
4
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.0
19.1
12.4
8
48%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
29.9
27.2
11
44%
8
1
0
1
0
2
3
5
1-1
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.2
26.6
24.2
14
70%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
2-3
67%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.3
11.7
13.0
6
44%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.6
10.5
14.5
3
61%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
2.2
3.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.9
9.5
0
1-3
46%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.8
8.1
0
1-1
46%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.0
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.2
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.