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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 8, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Nets28%95101
18Grizzlies72%103107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.9
41.0
34.7
10
41%
7
6
1
1
1
3
3
4
4-5
80%
3-10
7-13
30%
52%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
38.7
34.0
28
63%
4
5
1
1
1
4
0
4
8-10
80%
7-12
6-12
58%
47%
2-6
33%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
37.3
35.1
30
70%
5
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
11-14
4-9
79%
48%
2-6
33%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 31.0
18.3
17.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.3
17.8
3.4
6
51%
9
0
0
0
2
1
5
4
0-2
0%
3-5
0-1
60%
53%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
26.1
26.0
14
59%
6
6
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
5-9
3-7
56%
43%
1-2
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
25.1
17.7
2
14%
7
2
2
0
3
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
46%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.6
13.7
21.9
6
38%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
1-6
17%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
12.0
21.7
2
50%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.8
10.0
15.4
3
38%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.4
3.1
0
0-0
41%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.1
2.2
0
0-1
46%
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.3
40.0
38.5
8
41%
4
6
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
38.1
39.3
21
48%
10
0
2
2
0
0
3
7
7-9
78%
7-17
7-13
41%
52%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.1
37.6
35.1
19
63%
13
3
0
1
2
1
3
10
3-5
60%
8-13
6-10
62%
58%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.4
35.0
31.6
21
56%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
7-13
4-7
54%
48%
2-5
40%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
17.8
10.1
7
72%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
24.6
1.4
10
63%
8
1
3
0
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
5-8
0-0
63%
49%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
22.9
14.8
10
39%
7
1
1
0
1
2
3
4
4-4
100%
3-10
2-4
30%
53%
0-1
0%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.3
13.0
14.9
8
67%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.8
10.9
9.3
3
80%
5
0
0
0
2
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
36.4
1
7-14
52%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.0
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.1
2.4
0
0-0
58%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.0
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.