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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 8, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks74%104125
28Timberwolves26%96112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.0
42.0
33.1
23
58%
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
48%
3-6
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.8
37.9
31.6
29
56%
14
0
3
1
0
0
5
9
1-2
50%
14-25
5-9
56%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.0
36.5
34.9
12
68%
4
9
3
2
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
29.8
37.8
24
62%
6
3
1
1
1
0
1
5
8-10
80%
8-15
10-19
53%
51%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.0
22.4
23.2
11
40%
5
4
1
1
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
52%
0-3
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
30.1
20.8
9
56%
4
9
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.7
26.2
19.7
9
77%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
53%
1-3
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.9
7.7
10.2
4
69%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.5
7.6
2.0
4
69%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
22.1
1
3-6
51%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.3
15.8
0
2-3
55%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.7
8.3
0
1-1
63%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.0
39.3
32.2
11
45%
7
5
0
1
0
3
2
5
4-5
80%
2-3
4-8
67%
45%
1-7
14%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.2
37.5
25.5
36
72%
14
2
0
1
2
1
5
9
6-7
86%
15-22
6-12
68%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.5
36.8
32.0
12
47%
8
5
0
1
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
0-3
0%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.1
30.0
28.6
13
49%
2
8
4
1
0
8
1
1
3-3
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
45%
2-6
33%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.4
26.4
25.4
13
64%
9
1
1
0
0
2
2
7
3-5
60%
5-8
3-6
63%
55%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.3
20.8
8.5
7
31%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-3
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
1-6
17%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
18.5
23.5
3
39%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
18.0
17.7
11
94%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
5-5
3-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.5
12.0
29.9
6
34%
6
0
0
1
0
3
4
2
4-4
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
49%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 30.2
0.8
18.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 24.2
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.1
3.7
0
1-1
46%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.4
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.