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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 8, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors42%104131
19Hornets58%107135
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.9
38.2
31.9
12
56%
3
7
3
2
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
37.6
32.4
28
104%
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-1
0%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
6-6
100%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
34.0
41.7
12
46%
3
6
1
2
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
22.2
17.8
18
77%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
18.0
20.4
10
63%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
34.4
17.6
28
72%
1
6
2
1
1
1
0
1
7-8
88%
9-13
2-4
69%
47%
1-3
33%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
30.0
12.4
18
82%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
4-7
57%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
25.6
36.2
5
37%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.1
21.3
0
2-4
52%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.4
12.4
1
3-5
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.9
7.1
0
1-1
59%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.6
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.5
46.3
41.6
16
62%
1
20
3
2
0
7
1
0
0-2
0%
5-9
7-14
56%
51%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.5
41.1
39.4
28
73%
13
3
2
1
0
2
6
7
6-7
86%
11-16
8-16
69%
51%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
33.3
25.9
22
83%
11
3
0
1
1
2
5
6
2-3
67%
10-12
4-7
83%
55%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.7
27.0
34.1
16
51%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
1-3
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.5
22.2
19.7
12
75%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
4-7
57%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
29.3
27.2
28
66%
6
2
2
1
0
2
2
4
4-5
80%
9-13
5-10
69%
50%
2-6
33%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.1
22.3
19.6
4
52%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-3
33%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.1
11.8
11.6
7
54%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
6.8
8.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
11.7
1
2-4
54%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
8.7
0
1-2
51%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.