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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 9, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2076ers47%9996
22Pacers53%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
36.4
34.8
11
36%
6
3
0
2
0
3
1
5
3-3
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
0-3
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.7
36.2
29.1
21
63%
2
4
1
1
2
4
1
1
3-4
75%
6-11
3-7
55%
45%
2-4
50%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
30.2
37.8
5
28%
5
4
1
2
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-6
5-9
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
22.4
22.5
16
62%
11
0
0
0
4
2
4
7
2-2
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
52%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
19.6
22.7
7
54%
3
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
27.5
34.0
8
57%
7
0
2
1
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
6-11
57%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
21.9
22.1
13
55%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.0
18.2
10.6
6
50%
6
1
0
0
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.1
15.3
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.9
10.8
10.4
6
68%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
1.5
1.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
9.4
0
2-4
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.0
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
40.0
32.5
24
56%
9
1
1
1
0
0
1
8
2-3
67%
5-13
2-5
38%
46%
4-7
57%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.0
39.2
28.5
11
33%
4
7
2
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
4-12
4-9
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.7
38.5
24.9
7
39%
5
10
3
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.9
36.8
33.3
19
68%
8
3
2
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
52%
3-4
75%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.2
24.9
24.0
12
40%
11
7
0
0
1
2
6
5
2-2
100%
5-14
5-9
36%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
29.1
15.2
25
67%
4
1
0
0
2
3
3
1
7-8
88%
9-15
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.5
21.1
13.1
9
56%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.3
6.0
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.0
4.3
15.3
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.9
35.4
1
6-11
49%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.4
8.8
0
1-2
48%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
3.5
0
0-1
52%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.3
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.