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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Jazz66%102115
25Pistons34%96104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
38.4
35.1
18
54%
3
12
3
1
0
5
0
3
4-4
100%
7-13
5-9
54%
52%
0-2
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
36.6
29.8
18
71%
5
3
0
1
2
1
1
4
4-4
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
2-4
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.3
28.1
32.8
11
47%
12
3
0
1
0
3
6
6
3-4
75%
4-10
7-12
40%
54%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.1
27.7
28.0
11
69%
5
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
53%
1-3
33%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
24.0
25.2
14
80%
2
3
1
1
1
3
1
1
4-4
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
52%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.1
30.9
28.9
18
67%
9
4
0
1
1
0
4
5
4-8
50%
7-10
5-9
70%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.0
24.0
19.8
14
88%
7
4
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
48%
2-3
67%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
20.3
20.4
5
36%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
9.3
10.2
6
68%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 23.9
0.4
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.2
0.4
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.0
37.5
36.8
11
55%
2
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
6-12
44%
47%
1-1
100%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.2
35.0
24.0
14
54%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
6-7
86%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.1
31.5
34.9
16
53%
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
7-7
100%
3-10
6-12
30%
46%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.0
29.5
28.6
13
56%
5
0
3
1
0
1
5
0
5-6
83%
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
29.5
27.5
10
63%
11
0
2
1
0
3
3
8
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
53%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.5
26.8
18.1
19
53%
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
49%
3-8
38%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.9
23.1
22.7
11
45%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-4
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.8
11.6
7.3
8
69%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.0
6.5
10.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.6
4.8
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.1
4.1
2.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
5.9
0
1-2
52%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.