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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets16%9187
11Mavericks84%10496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
45.7
35.1
10
39%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-5
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
37.7
35.1
21
67%
2
7
3
1
0
6
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
6-12
57%
46%
3-7
43%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.9
36.6
36.3
10
31%
6
2
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-16
7-13
31%
51%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 31.0
23.0
17.7
2
33%
9
1
1
0
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.3
10.8
9.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
30.8
25.5
18
58%
13
3
1
1
1
1
3
10
4-8
50%
7-11
3-7
64%
42%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
27.5
20.2
13
51%
8
1
1
1
0
2
4
4
3-4
75%
5-11
3-7
45%
45%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.6
17.5
18.7
11
55%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
3-6
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.8
10.3
13.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
17.9
1
2-4
46%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.5
3.2
0
0-0
40%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.1
2.2
0
0-1
46%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.8
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.0
44.4
34.6
20
68%
4
9
4
2
1
2
0
4
3-4
75%
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
5-8
63%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
40.4
34.5
12
31%
5
4
0
1
1
5
0
5
6-7
86%
3-15
9-17
20%
52%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.8
39.6
33.0
14
60%
13
0
1
1
3
1
2
11
4-4
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.0
30.7
35.3
18
57%
2
2
1
2
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
50%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.3
23.9
12.3
11
67%
10
1
0
0
2
0
3
7
3-5
60%
4-6
1-2
67%
56%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.0
26.4
22.6
16
60%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
54%
1-3
33%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.7
16.1
21.6
2
100%
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.9
14.5
9.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.7
4.2
8.1
1
57%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
63%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
23.8
1
3-6
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
16.3
1
2-4
52%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.5
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.