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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bulls14%9082
1Magic86%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
28.1
9.4
13
66%
3
4
3
0
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
1-4
25%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.2
27.2
31.6
6
38%
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-6
38%
44%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
26.6
20.8
12
55%
9
0
0
0
0
1
3
6
0-2
0%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.9
20.7
29.2
2
20%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
12.0
37.1
3
31%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
9-18
25%
49%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.7
26.4
25.5
12
53%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
8-10
80%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
23.6
11.4
11
44%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
4-9
1-3
44%
39%
1-3
33%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.1
19.2
3.0
9
35%
3
1
1
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-10
0-1
40%
41%
0-2
0%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.2
18.4
12.8
2
50%
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
17.3
20.3
5
42%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
12.9
2.1
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
7.5
2.7
5
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
39%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.0
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.0
28.5
25.1
14
75%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
2-3
67%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
26.9
32.3
6
43%
6
0
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-3
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.1
26.4
31.2
23
76%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
5-5
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
48%
2-5
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.1
24.9
29.0
9
51%
0
3
0
1
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
51%
2-5
40%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.3
19.8
32.1
12
69%
6
2
0
1
2
5
1
5
4-6
67%
4-6
7-11
67%
60%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.7
34.9
15.1
11
55%
6
4
2
0
1
3
2
4
6-7
86%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
23.6
15.3
7
72%
11
1
1
0
2
2
1
10
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
57%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
22.0
12.3
13
85%
8
0
0
0
2
2
3
5
5-6
83%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.3
14.7
15.3
8
67%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.8
10.0
5.3
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.4
8.4
5.4
4
67%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 35.0
1.9
0
0-0
49%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.