FinalWin Prob.pScore
2518%92
99
1082%104
112
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
113.88782.0
ATL logo ATL
128.78792.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL99
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)97
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETWilliams STEAL (1 STL)97
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLWest Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)97
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETSummers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETMISS Summers Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETMISS Jerebko 2' Reverse Layup95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02DETMISS Bynum Free Throw 2 of 295
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02DETMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23DETMISS Jerebko 2' Layup95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51ATLCrawford 2' Running Layup (17 PTS) (West 1 AST)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56DETWest STEAL (1 STL)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09ATLWest Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T14)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DETMaxiell Putback Layup (16 PTS)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07DETMISS Prince 9' Running Jump Shot91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21ATLJohnson 2' Running Layup (26 PTS) (Crawford 6 AST)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26DETBibby STEAL (2 STL)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Smith 11 AST)91
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 4:13DETBynum 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)91
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 4:34ATLHorford Dunk (15 PTS) (Smith 10 AST)89
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 4:51DETBynum 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)89
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 5:20ATLSmith Dunk (18 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)87
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 5:31DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)87
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 5:31DETPistons Rebound87
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 5:31DETSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)87
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 5:56DETPistons Rebound87
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 5:56ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 6:11ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 6:13DETMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 287
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 6:13DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 287
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 6:31ATLJohnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)87
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 6:49DETGordon 1' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)87
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 7:01ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)85
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 7:21DETBrown Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)85
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 7:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 7:27ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup83
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 7:48DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)83
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 8:05ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)83
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 8:19DETBynum 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 8:34DETPistons Rebound81
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 8:34ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot81
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 8:55DETGordon 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bynum 6 AST)81
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 9:11ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)79
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 9:13ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:15ATLMISS Crawford 18' Fadeaway Jumper79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 9:26ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:28DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:41DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 9:42ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 10:06ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 10:09DETMISS Gordon 11' Fadeaway Jumper79
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 10:30ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 10:30ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)79
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 10:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 10:43DETMISS Bynum 3' Driving Layup79
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 10:56DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 10:59ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot79
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 11:21DETBynum 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 11:40ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)77
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 11:43ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 11:45ATLMISS Smith 8' Driving Jump Shot77
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL77
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Williams 12' Driving Jump Shot77
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)77
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLJohnson 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)73
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot73
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q3 - 1:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 1:05ATLHorford Putback Dunk (13 PTS)73
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 1:07ATLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup73
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q3 - 1:24DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q3 - 1:24DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)72
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 1:50ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)71
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q3 - 2:10DETVillanueva 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)71
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 2:27ATLSmith 2' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)69
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 2:49ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 2:51DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 2:58ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)69
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q3 - 3:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 3:01DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 3:22ATLJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Crawford 5 AST)69
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q3 - 3:36DETHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)69
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 3:53ATLSmith 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)66
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 4:17DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q3 - 4:17DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 4:17DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 4:17DETMISS Villanueva Putback Layup64
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 4:18DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 4:20DETMISS Bynum 10' Fadeaway Jumper64
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 4:47ATLHorford Dunk (11 PTS) (Smith 9 AST)64
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 5:04DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 5:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 5:20ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot62
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 5:36DETHamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)62
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 5:52ATLJohnson 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)59
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 6:18DETBynum 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 6:26ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)57
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 6:45DETVillanueva Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)57
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 6:50ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)55
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 7:04DETMaxiell Dunk (10 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)55
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 7:27ATLSmith Dunk (8 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)53
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 7:30ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 7:32DETMISS Maxiell 19' Jump Shot53
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 7:53ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)53
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 8:09DETVillanueva 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)53
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 8:29ATLHorford 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)51
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 8:45ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 8:46DETMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot51
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 9:06DETPistons Rebound51
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 9:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 9:06ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot51
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 9:07ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup51
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 9:22DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)51
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 9:22DETJerebko Tip Shot (9 PTS)51
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 9:23DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot49
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 9:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 9:37ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot49
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 10:09DETJerebko 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)49
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 10:16ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)47
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 10:37DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 10:39DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 10:41ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 10:41ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot45
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 10:45ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot45
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 11:02DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)45
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 11:02DETJerebko Putback Layup (5 PTS)45
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 11:04DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot43
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 11:21DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 11:22ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 243
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 11:22ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 11:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q3 - 11:22ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot43
0.7%
69
99.3%
Q3 - 11:39DETHamilton 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)43
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET41
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLTeague 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 241
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLSmith Running Dunk (6 PTS)40
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETSmith STEAL (5 STL)40
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)40
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
1.2%
62
98.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
1.2%
62
98.8%
Q2 - 1:13DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q2 - 1:14ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 238
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q2 - 1:14ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 238
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q2 - 1:33DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q2 - 1:55ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)36
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q2 - 1:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q2 - 1:59DETMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q2 - 2:30ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)36
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q2 - 2:45DETMaxiell 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)36
1.0%
60
99.0%
Q2 - 3:12ATLWilliams Dunk (12 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)34
1.0%
60
99.0%
Q2 - 3:15ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q2 - 3:16DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)34
1.3%
58
98.7%
Q2 - 3:16DETMISS Jerebko Tip Shot34
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q2 - 3:18DETMISS Gordon 6' Driving Jump Shot34
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q2 - 3:32ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
1.3%
58
98.7%
Q2 - 3:42DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q2 - 3:42DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q2 - 3:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q2 - 3:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
1.0%
57
99.0%
Q2 - 4:11DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
1.2%
56
98.8%
Q2 - 4:11DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 4:12DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q2 - 4:18DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 4:19ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot29
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 4:31DETBibby STEAL (1 STL)29
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q2 - 4:55ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)29
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 4:55ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 229
0.9%
55
99.1%
Q2 - 5:12DETSmith STEAL (4 STL)29
1.0%
55
99.0%
Q2 - 5:32ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
1.1%
55
98.9%
Q2 - 5:32ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 5:39DETPrince 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
1.2%
53
98.8%
Q2 - 5:54ATLTeague 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)27
1.1%
53
98.9%
Q2 - 6:05DETSmith STEAL (3 STL)27
1.3%
51
98.7%
Q2 - 6:23ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)27
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 6:43DETBynum 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
1.7%
49
98.3%
Q2 - 7:01ATLSmith Dunk (7 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)25
1.6%
49
98.4%
Q2 - 7:23DETBrown Foul Turnover (P2.T9)25
1.7%
47
98.3%
Q2 - 7:35ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
1.9%
47
98.1%
Q2 - 7:44DETGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
2.4%
44
97.6%
Q2 - 7:59ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P3.T4)22
1.9%
44
98.1%
Q2 - 8:11ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
1.9%
44
98.1%
Q2 - 8:12DETMISS Daye 7' Fadeaway Jumper22
1.9%
44
98.1%
Q2 - 8:35ATLCrawford Running Dunk (10 PTS)22
2.1%
44
97.9%
Q2 - 8:39DETCrawford STEAL (1 STL)22
2.3%
42
97.7%
Q2 - 9:05ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 9:17DETVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)22
3.2%
39
96.8%
Q2 - 9:43ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
2.6%
39
97.4%
Q2 - 9:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
3.2%
36
96.8%
Q2 - 9:50DETMISS Daye 10' Jump Shot19
3.3%
36
96.7%
Q2 - 10:13ATLSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)19
3.8%
36
96.2%
Q2 - 10:25DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
4.1%
34
95.9%
Q2 - 10:25DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)18
4.1%
34
95.9%
Q2 - 10:31DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
3.8%
34
96.2%
Q2 - 10:32ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot17
3.6%
34
96.4%
Q2 - 10:54DETBrown 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)17
3.4%
34
96.6%
Q2 - 11:12ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)15
3.2%
34
96.8%
Q2 - 11:14DETBrown Inbound Turnover (P1.T7)15
3.5%
32
96.5%
Q2 - 11:14ATLEvans 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
3.9%
32
96.1%
Q2 - 11:19ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
4.3%
30
95.7%
Q2 - 11:21ATLMISS Teague 19' Jump Shot15
4.6%
30
95.4%
Q2 - 11:47DETDaye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)15
4.3%
30
95.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET12
3.5%
30
96.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound12
3.5%
30
96.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETEvans BLOCK (1 BLK)12
3.5%
30
96.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLCrawford Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)12
3.6%
30
96.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0DETGordon Backcourt Turnover (P3.T6)12
3.4%
30
96.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)12
3.6%
30
96.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
3.4%
30
96.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
3.6%
30
96.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0DETMISS Prince 9' Jump Shot12
3.4%
30
96.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
3.6%
30
96.4%
Q1 - 1:07DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
3.6%
30
96.4%
Q1 - 1:07DETMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 211
3.5%
30
96.5%
Q1 - 1:25ATLPachulia 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)11
3.4%
30
96.6%
Q1 - 1:29DETSmith STEAL (2 STL)11
3.9%
28
96.1%
Q1 - 1:34DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
4.1%
28
95.9%
Q1 - 1:35DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
4.1%
28
95.9%
Q1 - 1:35DETMISS Jerebko Tip Shot11
4.0%
28
96.0%
Q1 - 1:36DETMISS Gordon 7' Jump Shot11
4.0%
28
96.0%
Q1 - 1:59DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
4.1%
28
95.9%
Q1 - 2:01ATLMISS Evans 16' Jump Shot11
4.2%
28
95.8%
Q1 - 2:22DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
4.0%
28
96.0%
Q1 - 2:36DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
3.6%
28
96.4%
Q1 - 2:37ATLMISS Evans 15' Jump Shot9
3.5%
28
96.5%
Q1 - 3:03DETMaxiell Dunk (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)9
3.3%
28
96.7%
Q1 - 3:25ATLJohnson 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)7
3.1%
28
96.9%
Q1 - 3:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
3.3%
26
96.7%
Q1 - 3:31DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot7
3.4%
26
96.6%
Q1 - 3:50ATLSmith Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)7
3.7%
26
96.3%
Q1 - 3:52DETHorford STEAL (2 STL)7
4.0%
24
96.0%
Q1 - 4:02ATLCrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
4.5%
24
95.5%
Q1 - 4:13ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
4.1%
24
95.9%
Q1 - 4:14DETMISS Jerebko 3' Layup7
4.2%
24
95.8%
Q1 - 4:45ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)7
4.4%
24
95.6%
Q1 - 4:58DETHorford STEAL (1 STL)7
4.8%
22
95.2%
Q1 - 5:11DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
5.5%
22
94.5%
Q1 - 5:13ATLMISS Horford 7' Turnaround Jump Shot7
5.4%
22
94.6%
Q1 - 5:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
5.0%
22
95.0%
Q1 - 5:36DETWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)7
5.2%
22
94.8%
Q1 - 5:38DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
5.5%
22
94.5%
Q1 - 5:39DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot7
5.2%
22
94.8%
Q1 - 6:05ATLJohnson 4' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)7
5.5%
22
94.5%
Q1 - 6:11ATLBibby Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)7
5.9%
20
94.1%
Q1 - 6:11ATLBibby Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)7
6.4%
19
93.6%
Q1 - 6:11ATLHAWKS Rebound7
7.0%
18
93.0%
Q1 - 6:11ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot7
7.4%
18
92.6%
Q1 - 6:16ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
7.0%
18
93.0%
Q1 - 6:18ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
7.4%
18
92.6%
Q1 - 6:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
7.0%
18
93.0%
Q1 - 6:28DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot7
7.1%
18
92.9%
Q1 - 6:39DETPistons Rebound7
7.6%
18
92.4%
Q1 - 6:40DETHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)7
7.1%
18
92.9%
Q1 - 6:53DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
7.6%
18
92.4%
Q1 - 6:54ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 27
7.5%
18
92.5%
Q1 - 6:54ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)7
7.1%
18
92.9%
Q1 - 6:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
7.5%
17
92.5%
Q1 - 6:58DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot7
7.7%
17
92.3%
Q1 - 7:16ATLHorford 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)7
8.1%
17
91.9%
Q1 - 7:32DETJerebko Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 7:32DETMISS Jerebko Free Throw 1 of 26
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 7:48ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)6
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 8:10DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)6
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 8:10DETPistons Rebound6
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 8:10DETMISS Jerebko 17' Jump Shot6
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 8:38ATLWilliams 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)6
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 8:52DETBynum 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 9:00DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
10.8%
10
89.2%
Q1 - 9:02ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 9:13ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.1%
10
89.9%
Q1 - 9:16DETMISS Prince 17' Turnaround Jump Shot4
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 9:47ATLSmith 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
10.8%
10
89.2%
Q1 - 9:53ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 9:55DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot4
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 10:21ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
12.6%
8
87.4%
Q1 - 10:35DETJerebko 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)4
14.3%
5
85.7%
Q1 - 10:46ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
13.5%
5
86.5%
Q1 - 11:03DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)2
14.1%
3
85.9%
Q1 - 11:24ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
13.3%
3
86.7%
Q1 - 11:31DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)0
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 11:39DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.8%
0
84.2%
Q1 - 11:41ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot0
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Maxiell: Tip to Horford0
15.0%
0
85.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.06 53.2%
ATL
1.37 68.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
18
28
64%
ATL
24
29
83%
Midrange
DET
14
33
42%
ATL
15
30
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
ATL
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
DET
20
29
69%
ATL
13
18
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Maxiell1973%9.5 / 13
R. Hamilton1860%9.0 / 15
W. Bynum1667%8.0 / 12
B. Gordon1255%6.0 / 11
J. Jerebko935%4.5 / 13
C. Villanueva964%4.5 / 7
T. Prince840%4.0 / 10
K. Brown467%2.0 / 3
A. Daye338%1.5 / 4
D. Summers150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2676%13.0 / 17
J. Smith1860%9.0 / 15
J. Crawford17106%8.5 / 8
A. Horford1575%7.5 / 10
M. Williams1250%6.0 / 12
M. Bibby758%3.5 / 6
J. Smith788%3.5 / 4
J. Teague675%3.0 / 4
Z. Pachulia2100%1.0 / 1
M. Evans233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
71
+20
-16
91
ATL
70
+10
-17
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.06 53.2%
ATL
1.37 68.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
112.2
DET 113.8
ATL 128.7 +14.9
Pace
88.8
89.9
DET 82.0
ATL 92.7 +10.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.2
DET 17.6
ATL 15.5 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.6%
DET 52.7%
ATL 67.8% +15.1%
TO %
14.2%
12.7%
DET 17.0% +0.4%
ATL 17.4%
ORB %
30.4%
28.3%
DET 42.1% +7.5%
ATL 34.6%
FTrt
30.3
28.1
DET 38.7 +14.0
ATL 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
56.2%
DET 48.6%
ATL 76.1% +27.5%
STL %
8.2%
8.0%
DET 10.3%
ATL 13.8% +3.5%
BLK %
6.7%
7.9%
DET 1.7%
ATL 6.6% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.9%
53.3%
DET 53.2%
ATL 68.3% +15.1%
Rim FG%
57.1%
60.8%
DET 64.3%
ATL 82.8% +18.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.6%
DET 42.4%
ATL 50.0% +7.6%
3P %
31.4%
36.0%
DET 35.7%
ATL 50.0% +14.3%
FT %
72.8%
75.9%
DET 69.0%
ATL 72.2% +3.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
35.5%
DET 37.3%
ATL 39.7% +2.4%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
43.1%
DET 44.0%
ATL 41.1% +2.9%
3P Att. %
18.0%
21.4%
DET 18.7%
ATL 19.2% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points99112
Rebounds3331
Assists1835
Steals912
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (4)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)17 (3)22 (0)
Field Goals37-7546-73
At-the-Rim FG18-2824-29
Midrange FG14-3315-30
2-Point FG32-6139-59
3-Point FG5-147-14
Free Throws20-2913-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 30
37.3
8
40%
4
4
2
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
36.5
16
67%
1
7
1
0
4
3
1
0
2-4
50%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
C · 6'7" 260 · 27
32.8
19
73%
12
1
0
0
1
1
6
6
7-9
78%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 231 · 23
32.4
9
35%
9
0
0
0
0
2
7
2
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 32
32.3
18
60%
2
3
1
0
2
3
0
2
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
26.2
12
55%
2
2
3
0
6
0
1
1
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 232 · 26
15.6
9
64%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 290 · 28
15.1
4
67%
1
0
1
1
2
3
0
1
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 220 · 22
10.8
3
38%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
1.0
1
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 36
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28
#3 · G · 6'5" 205 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
53%
33
18
9
1
16
0
16
17
20-29
69%
32-61
52%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.