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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Raptors42%109112
18Warriors58%111124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.4
39.3
34.9
11
64%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
5-6
83%
3-5
5-11
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
36.0
34.3
24
69%
11
5
0
1
1
6
1
10
8-10
80%
8-13
9-17
62%
52%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.0
29.4
26.1
4
33%
6
8
0
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.6
26.1
23.5
18
73%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
8-11
4-8
73%
50%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
17.2
29.5
7
50%
1
3
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
52%
1-1
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
32.0
22.2
24
96%
1
12
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
54%
7-8
88%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.7
21.9
18.8
10
50%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
20.6
16.2
14
84%
6
0
2
1
3
1
1
5
2-3
67%
6-7
2-4
86%
59%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
11.0
19.5
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
6.5
8.7
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.8
10.4
0
1-2
46%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.8
4.6
0
1-2
53%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.4
45.0
20.8
31
66%
4
2
2
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
7-15
4-9
47%
51%
5-7
71%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
42.4
35.1
35
77%
6
10
4
2
1
2
2
4
4-4
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
50%
5-8
63%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
41.3
33.0
4
17%
11
2
3
1
0
1
5
6
0-0
-
2-10
3-6
20%
49%
0-2
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
36.9
27.1
20
60%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
24.2
33.3
11
51%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
3-6
50%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
21.3
23.3
12
77%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
2-2
100%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
15.2
13.6
4
40%
8
2
1
0
0
1
6
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.9
13.8
33.5
7
56%
6
1
1
2
0
1
1
5
4-5
80%
0-3
4-8
0%
54%
1-1
100%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
12.6
0
1-1
47%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.2
10.6
0
1-2
54%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.5
7.9
0
1-2
46%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
3.8
0
0-1
48%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.9
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.7
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.