FinalWin Prob.pScore
2134%91
91
1366%97
104
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
98.99294.7
MIA logo MIA
111.89390.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0PHIMISS Holiday 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Arroyo 8' Turnaround Jump Shot91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0PHIMISS Young Layup91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0PHISmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 291
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0PHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0PHIMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01PHIYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02PHIMISS Iguodala 9' Hook Shot89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot89
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:35MIAHEAT Rebound89
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36PHIMISS Dalembert 6' Hook Shot89
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:37PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)89
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:38PHIMISS Dalembert Tip Shot89
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:39PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)89
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:40PHIMISS Young Layup89
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:48PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:49PHIMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (35 PTS)89
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)89
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 2:24PHIMISS Holiday Layup89
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 2:42MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)89
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)89
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q4 - 3:03PHIMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot89
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q4 - 3:12PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)89
6.4%
95
93.6%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot89
5.4%
95
94.6%
Q4 - 3:39PHIKapono 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Iguodala 9 AST)89
6.0%
95
94.0%
Q4 - 3:48MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)87
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 4:07PHIWade STEAL (5 STL)87
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 4:10PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 4:35PHIKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Iguodala 8 AST)87
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 4:43PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 5:09PHIWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)84
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 5:33MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)81
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 5:55PHIKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 5:55PHIKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 6:10PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot79
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 6:29PHIKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)79
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMagloire Dunk (4 PTS) (Arroyo 10 AST)76
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 7:00PHIMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot76
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 7:09MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 9 AST)76
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 7:32PHISmith 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iguodala 7 AST)76
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 7:56MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Arroyo 8 AST)74
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 8:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 8:20PHIMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 274
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 8:20PHISmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 8:38MIAHaslem 9' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)73
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 8:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 8:59PHIJones BLOCK (1 BLK)73
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q4 - 9:00PHISmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)73
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q4 - 9:01PHIHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)73
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q4 - 9:03PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
6.4%
83
93.6%
Q4 - 9:04PHIMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)73
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q4 - 9:20MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)73
6.4%
83
93.6%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
9.9%
80
90.1%
Q4 - 9:42PHIMISS Williams Driving Layup73
10.5%
80
89.5%
Q4 - 10:05PHISmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)73
13.0%
80
87.0%
Q4 - 10:07PHIMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 10:28MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)73
12.9%
80
87.1%
Q4 - 10:39PHIJones STEAL (1 STL)73
15.7%
78
84.3%
Q4 - 10:59PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
18.9%
78
81.1%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
17.9%
78
82.1%
Q4 - 11:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
16.4%
78
83.6%
Q4 - 11:22PHIMISS Iguodala 20' Jump Shot73
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q4 - 11:36MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)73
19.5%
78
80.5%
Q4 - 11:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
16.4%
78
83.6%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Magloire 5' Jump Shot73
18.5%
78
81.5%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
16.4%
78
83.6%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup73
18.5%
78
81.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
16.4%
78
83.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHIIguodala 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
16.4%
78
83.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)71
14.2%
78
85.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)71
12.1%
78
87.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 268
8.0%
78
92.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)68
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)68
8.3%
77
91.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)65
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q3 - 1:10PHIWade STEAL (4 STL)65
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 1:13PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 1:23PHIMISS Iguodala Driving Layup65
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q3 - 1:51MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q3 - 1:51MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 2:03PHIMISS Iguodala 17' Jump Shot65
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q3 - 2:08PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)65
9.1%
75
90.9%
Q3 - 2:10PHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)65
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q3 - 2:26PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
9.1%
75
90.9%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
8.6%
75
91.4%
Q3 - 2:48PHIDalembert 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)65
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q3 - 2:58PHIKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
6.4%
75
93.6%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 3:16MIAHEAT Rebound63
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 3:17PHIMISS Young 8' Hook Shot63
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 3:21PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 3:39PHIKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)63
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 3:59PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 4:19PHIDalembert Tip Shot (4 PTS)60
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 4:20PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 4:21PHIMISS Holiday Driving Layup58
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 4:46MIAWade Driving Layup (31 PTS)58
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 4:49MIAHEAT Rebound58
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade Layup58
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q3 - 4:52PHIWade STEAL (3 STL)58
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 5:06PHIIguodala Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)58
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 5:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 257
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 5:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 5:22PHIMISS Holiday 17' Jump Shot57
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 5:37MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 6:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 6:04PHIMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q3 - 6:10PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Wade Layup57
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 6:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 6:19PHIO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)57
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q3 - 6:27PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot57
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 6:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 6:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 6:47PHIMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot57
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q3 - 7:12MIAWade Layup (29 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)57
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 7:16PHIWade STEAL (2 STL)57
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 7:27MIAWade Dunk (27 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)57
9.6%
68
90.4%
Q3 - 7:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 7:34PHIMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 7:40PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
12.7%
66
87.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup57
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 8:03PHIIguodala Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)57
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 8:09PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
9.9%
66
90.1%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot55
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q3 - 8:32MIAHEAT Rebound55
8.5%
66
91.5%
Q3 - 8:33PHIMISS Brand 12' Jump Shot55
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q3 - 9:00MIAArroyo 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)55
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 9:19PHIKapono Driving Layup (4 PTS)55
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)53
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q3 - 9:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 9:52PHIMISS Kapono 13' Jump Shot53
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 10:01PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
15.1%
61
84.9%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 10:10PHIWade STEAL (1 STL)53
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 10:12PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
15.1%
61
84.9%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper53
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 10:37PHIDalembert Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)53
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 10:45MIAO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
11.7%
61
88.3%
Q3 - 11:10PHIKapono 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)51
13.6%
59
86.4%
Q3 - 11:27MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)49
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q3 - 11:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q3 - 11:43PHIMISS Dalembert 12' Jump Shot49
14.1%
57
85.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
13.9%
57
86.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0PHIYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)47
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)44
11.0%
55
89.0%
Q2 - 1:04PHIHoliday 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Young 2 AST)44
12.9%
53
87.1%
Q2 - 1:16PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
9.7%
53
90.3%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q2 - 1:42PHIMISS Brand 6' Jump Shot41
9.3%
53
90.7%
Q2 - 1:57MIAWade Layup (20 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)41
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q2 - 2:20PHIHoliday 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Young 1 AST)41
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q2 - 2:24PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 2:25PHIMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
8.4%
51
91.6%
Q2 - 2:59MIAWade Putback Layup (18 PTS)38
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 3:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
10.3%
49
89.7%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot38
11.4%
49
88.6%
Q2 - 3:18PHIRichardson STEAL (4 STL)38
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q2 - 3:25PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot38
11.4%
49
88.6%
Q2 - 3:46PHIYoung 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q2 - 4:09MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)36
9.6%
49
90.4%
Q2 - 4:13PHIRichardson STEAL (3 STL)36
10.7%
47
89.3%
Q2 - 4:22MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 4:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 4:32PHIMISS Brand 11' Turnaround Jump Shot36
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 4:45PHI76ers Rebound36
14.8%
45
85.2%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
14.3%
45
85.7%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 4:55PHIMISS Carney 3PT Jump Shot36
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)36
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)36
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 5:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 5:12PHIMISS Carney Tip Shot36
17.2%
43
82.8%
Q2 - 5:13PHICarney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
18.4%
43
81.6%
Q2 - 5:14PHIMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
17.2%
43
82.8%
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)36
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)36
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)36
18.9%
41
81.1%
Q2 - 5:43PHIYoung 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 5:44PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 5:45PHIMISS Young 8' Jump Shot34
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 6:00MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T6)34
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 6:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 6:06PHIMISS Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 6:36MIAO'Neal Layup (7 PTS)34
20.6%
40
79.4%
Q2 - 6:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
22.2%
38
77.8%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMISS O'Neal Layup34
23.9%
38
76.1%
Q2 - 6:51PHI76ers Rebound34
22.2%
38
77.8%
Q2 - 6:51PHIBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
22.2%
38
77.8%
Q2 - 6:51PHIMISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 233
21.8%
38
78.2%
Q2 - 6:52PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
22.6%
38
77.4%
Q2 - 6:54PHIMISS Young 8' Jump Shot33
21.0%
38
79.0%
Q2 - 7:10MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
22.4%
38
77.6%
Q2 - 7:34PHIYoung Layup (2 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)33
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 7:53MIAChalmers Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 8:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 8:06PHIMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot31
21.2%
36
78.8%
Q2 - 8:12PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
22.6%
36
77.4%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Fadeaway Jumper31
22.0%
36
78.0%
Q2 - 8:36PHIIguodala Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)31
20.6%
36
79.4%
Q2 - 8:42PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
18.9%
36
81.1%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot29
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q2 - 8:59PHIBrand Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Carney 1 AST)29
17.3%
36
82.7%
Q2 - 9:16MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)27
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 9:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 9:30PHIMISS Brand 8' Jump Shot27
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 9:56MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)27
19.0%
34
81.0%
Q2 - 10:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
22.6%
31
77.4%
Q2 - 10:18PHIMISS Williams Driving Layup27
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 10:24PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
24.6%
31
75.4%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot27
24.0%
31
76.0%
Q2 - 10:46PHICarney 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)27
22.6%
31
77.4%
Q2 - 11:09PHICarney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot24
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 11:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 11:37PHICarney 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)24
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
13.8%
31
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot21
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0PHIRichardson STEAL (2 STL)21
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)21
15.2%
31
84.8%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
16.8%
29
83.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0PHIMISS Iguodala 10' Jump Shot21
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAWade 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)21
17.9%
29
82.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
19.7%
27
80.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0PHIMISS Meeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 1:11MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)21
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q1 - 1:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q1 - 1:18PHIMISS Young Layup21
23.6%
25
76.4%
Q1 - 1:32PHIMeeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot21
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 1:42PHIRichardson STEAL (1 STL)21
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q1 - 1:59MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)21
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
26.9%
23
73.1%
Q1 - 2:12PHIMISS Iguodala 17' Jump Shot21
27.4%
23
72.6%
Q1 - 2:26MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)21
28.5%
23
71.5%
Q1 - 2:38PHIIguodala Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)21
26.9%
23
73.1%
Q1 - 2:44MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 3:04PHISmith Putback Dunk (2 PTS)19
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 3:05PHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
21.6%
23
78.4%
Q1 - 3:06PHIMISS Holiday 9' Floating Jump Shot17
20.5%
23
79.5%
Q1 - 3:22PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21.6%
23
78.4%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 217
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 217
20.7%
23
79.3%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot17
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot17
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q1 - 3:57PHIHoliday 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)17
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 4:16MIAWade Driving Slam Dunk (8 PTS)14
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 4:28PHISmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 4:41MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 214
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 4:58PHIIguodala 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 5:18MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS)12
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 5:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
20.3%
18
79.7%
Q1 - 5:27PHIMISS Iguodala 9' Jump Shot12
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 5:38MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)12
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 5:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 5:43PHIMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 6:03PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
24.7%
16
75.3%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot12
24.2%
16
75.8%
Q1 - 6:22PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 6:22PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
22.8%
16
77.2%
Q1 - 6:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
21.7%
16
78.3%
Q1 - 6:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
22.1%
15
77.9%
Q1 - 6:42PHIBrand 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)10
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 6:55MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)10
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 7:13MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 7:14PHIMISS Brand 13' Turnaround Jump Shot10
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 7:30MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)10
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 7:30MIAHEAT Rebound10
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup10
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 7:55PHIHoliday 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)10
26.2%
12
73.8%
Q1 - 8:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
23.0%
12
77.0%
Q1 - 8:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
23.3%
11
76.7%
Q1 - 8:35PHIWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 8:35PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
24.2%
10
75.8%
Q1 - 8:40PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 8:41PHIAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)5
22.0%
10
78.0%
Q1 - 8:44MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 8:51PHIIguodala Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 8:58PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
22.6%
10
77.4%
Q1 - 9:15MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 9:16PHIMISS Brand Free Throw 2 of 25
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 9:16PHIBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 9:16PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
21.8%
10
78.2%
Q1 - 9:17PHIMISS Brand Layup4
20.9%
10
79.1%
Q1 - 9:33MIAArroyo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
21.8%
10
78.2%
Q1 - 9:50PHIBrand Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
23.3%
8
76.7%
Q1 - 10:02PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.3%
8
77.7%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot2
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 10:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.9%
8
79.1%
Q1 - 10:14PHIMISS Dalembert 14' Jump Shot2
21.3%
8
78.7%
Q1 - 10:34MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)2
22.3%
8
77.7%
Q1 - 10:42MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 10:43PHIMISS Brand 14' Jump Shot2
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 10:58MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
26.4%
5
73.6%
Q1 - 11:16PHIBrand 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.7%
3
72.3%
Q1 - 11:43MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)0
26.4%
3
73.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Dalembert: Tip to Arroyo0
29.1%
0
70.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.97 48.4%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
13
27
48%
MIA
16
24
67%
Midrange
PHI
8
35
23%
MIA
16
33
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
PHI
16
19
84%
MIA
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Kapono1757%8.5 / 15
A. Iguodala1544%7.5 / 17
T. Young1454%7.0 / 13
J. Holiday1267%6.0 / 9
E. Brand833%4.0 / 12
L. Williams840%4.0 / 10
S. Dalembert643%3.0 / 7
R. Carney675%3.0 / 4
J. Smith542%2.5 / 6
J. Meeks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3863%19.0 / 30
J. Jones1488%7.0 / 8
U. Haslem1359%6.5 / 11
C. Arroyo1267%6.0 / 9
J. O'Neal1038%5.0 / 13
Q. Richardson844%4.0 / 9
M. Chalmers542%2.5 / 6
J. Magloire450%2.0 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
78
+17
-14
95
MIA
84
+12
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.97 48.4%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
106.7
PHI 98.9 +12.9
MIA 111.8
Pace
91.8
89.6
PHI 94.7 +4.3
MIA 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.5
PHI 15.2 +0.7
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.6%
PHI 43.6%
MIA 53.8% +10.2%
TO %
15.0%
13.6%
PHI 12.9%
MIA 10.8% +2.1%
ORB %
27.7%
26.0%
PHI 31.4% +8.3%
MIA 23.1%
FTrt
27.0
29.6
PHI 22.1
MIA 32.9 +10.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
51.9%
PHI 62.5% +1.0%
MIA 61.5%
STL %
8.8%
8.1%
PHI 3.3%
MIA 11.8% +8.5%
BLK %
8.7%
9.4%
PHI 7.0%
MIA 9.7% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
52.1%
PHI 48.4%
MIA 53.6% +5.2%
Rim FG%
60.5%
62.0%
PHI 48.1%
MIA 66.7% +18.6%
Mid FG%
40.3%
40.8%
PHI 22.9%
MIA 48.5% +25.6%
3P %
34.3%
34.6%
PHI 45.8% +14.0%
MIA 31.8%
FT %
75.6%
75.2%
PHI 84.2% +11.1%
MIA 73.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
29.8%
PHI 31.4% +1.0%
MIA 30.4%
Mid Att. %
45.0%
48.3%
PHI 40.7% +1.1%
MIA 41.8%
3P Att. %
20.6%
21.9%
PHI 27.9% +0.1%
MIA 27.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points91104
Rebounds4644
Assists2024
Steals311
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)35 (5)
Field Goals32-8639-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2716-24
Midrange FG8-3516-33
2-Point FG21-6232-57
3-Point FG11-247-22
Free Throws16-1919-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 215 · 26
42.2
15
44%
6
9
0
1
4
1
0
6
5-5
100%
5-13
38%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 254 · 31
30.0
8
33%
10
2
0
0
2
3
2
8
2-4
50%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 20
29.8
12
67%
2
2
1
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
4-5
80%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
27.4
8
40%
3
4
1
0
2
0
1
2
3-3
100%
1-6
17%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
20.5
6
43%
9
0
0
0
0
4
4
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
32.5
14
54%
8
2
0
1
1
5
5
3
3-3
100%
4-10
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 29
24.7
17
57%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
3-8
38%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24
12.4
5
42%
4
0
1
1
2
1
3
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 205 · 26
11.9
6
75%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23
#3 · G · 6'0" 165 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
46
20
3
4
14
0
16
30
16-19
84%
21-62
34%
11-24
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.